BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C/D) (GBB Race)

Newcastle (AW)

16:30

Date 2024-01-08

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3-5yo

Prize £2,896

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (12)	Berrygate Grey Roan J:Rowan Scott T:Edward Bethell	J:Rowan Scott T:Edward Bethell	121	—	32-	-	66	42	51d	—	—	-14	16.5	0.53/1	85/40 32%
Two promising placed efforts at Wolverhampton in November; in the mix back in trip
3 (7)	Mattella Black J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	135	—	22-	-	84	54	24d	—	—	-8	15.8	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Runner-up in both her starts and she sets a clear standard back up in trip; big player
4 (4)	Fletchers Dream Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	133	—	1-	-	71	64	30d	—	—	-5	16.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Made a good start with his 33-1 win over C&D last month; respected under a penalty
6 (6)	True Promise Chestnut J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Has plenty of speed in his pedigree and he needs a close look on debut
10 (5)	Ruth Langmore Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:David Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane T:David Loughnane	121	—	3-	-	65	41	11d	—	—	-2	4.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Showed promise when third over C&D last month and she should know more this time
5 (2)	Angel Of The Bay Bay J:Joe Fanning T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Joe Fanning T:David & Nicola Barron	126	—	4-	-	59	33	11d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Well held over C&D on recent debut and he needs major improvement
8 (3)	Buzz Box Bay J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	124	—	06-	-	50	-	145d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Well held at 100-1 in two sprint maidens last summer; can only be watched
7 (8)	Walter Mitty Chestnut J:Clifford Lee T:Michael Dods	J:Clifford Lee T:Michael Dods	126	—	78-	-	61	46	30d	—	—	-3	1.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
In rear in two C&D events late last year and he has a lot to find on the figures
1 (11)	Busan Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Julie Camacho	140	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Refused to enter stalls on intended debut here (14-1) in November and been gelded since
11 (1)	Dollarindex Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Bryan Smart	J:Cam Hardie T:Bryan Smart	119	—	66-	-	54	41	11d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Well-held sixth in two C&D events last month, with RPRs in the 40s on both occasions
2 (10)	Cherrytreeprincess Bay J:Faye McManoman T:Brian Rothwell	J:Faye McManoman T:Brian Rothwell	135	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Has fair standard to aim at on belated debut and is best watched
12 (9)	Ms Barbaro Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:Jessica Bedi	J:James Sullivan T:Jessica Bedi	119	—	9-	-	-	-	18d	—	—	-1	0.2	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Tailed off at a massive price on her Chelmsford debut (6f) last month; no appeal

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Berrygate	2/1	2/1	15/8	85/40	15/8
Mattella	3/1	11/4	5/2	5/2	11/4
Fletchers Dream	7/2	7/2	7/2	11/4	10/3
True Promise	10/1	8/1	11/1	17/2	8/1
Ruth Langmore	14/1	12/1	14/1	11/1	12/1
Angel Of The Bay	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Buzz Box	16/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Walter Mitty	22/1	20/1	25/1	22/1	20/1
Busan	25/1	28/1	28/1	25/1	28/1
Dollarindex	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Cherrytreeprincess	200/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1
Ms Barbaro	300/1	200/1	200/1	150/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Berrygate

16.5

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 9.4

85/40

2nd

Fletchers Dream

16.2

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 6.2

7/2

3rd

Mattella

15.8

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 7.3

3/1

Ruth Langmore

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

14/1

True Promise

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

11/1

Angel Of The Bay

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Buzz Box

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Walter Mitty

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Busan

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Dollarindex

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Cherrytreeprincess

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ms Barbaro

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

300/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Berrygate	—	66	42
Mattella	—	84	54
Fletchers Dream	—	71	64
True Promise	—	—	—
Ruth Langmore	—	65	41
Angel Of The Bay	—	59	33
Buzz Box	—	50	—
Walter Mitty	—	61	46
Busan	—	—	—
Dollarindex	—	54	41
Cherrytreeprincess	—	—	—
Ms Barbaro	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ruth Langmore	11d ago	Quick return
Angel Of The Bay	11d ago	Quick return
Dollarindex	11d ago	Quick return
Ms Barbaro	18d ago	Fit
Mattella	24d ago	Fit
Fletchers Dream	30d ago	Fit
Walter Mitty	30d ago	Fit
Berrygate	51d ago	Fresh
Buzz Box	145d ago	Long break
True Promise	—	—
Busan	—	—
Cherrytreeprincess	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.