Build Your Acca With BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:00

Build Your Acca With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-01-08

Distance 5f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (9)	The Caltonian Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Linda Perratt	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Linda Perratt	135	b	12321-	75	91	76	11d	—	—	-9	42.6	0.20/1	4/5 56%
Made it 3-6 on AW with his emphatic win here last time; major player again back in trip
10 (10)	Rory Chestnut J:Mark Winn(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Mark Winn(3) T:Jim Goldie	125	p	84125-	65	89	70	11d	—	—	+4	15.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Win and close second here last month but he was well held behind The Caltonian last time
9 (7)	Honour Your Dreams Bay J:Kyle McHugh(7) T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Kyle McHugh(7) T:Adrian Paul Keatley	126	tv	29264-	66	90	74	10d	—	—	+2	9.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
On last winning mark but he has a patchy profile and has been well held last twice
4 (4)	Zuffolo Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Michael Dods	J:Clifford Lee T:Michael Dods	132	—	84519-	72	88	80	31d	—	—	+7	14.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Won over C&D in November but he's hard to predict and was well held here last time
3 (5)	Westmorian Bay J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	133	—	73448-	73	87	66	177d	—	—	0	9.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Two wins on Tapeta last December but he's been disappointing since; something to prove
2 (8)	Quandary Chestnut J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	134	—	3516-	74	86	-	150d	—	—	+10	15.5	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Still unexposed and could resume her progress back at 5f after another break
8 (1)	Whisky McGonagall Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	127	—	4/417-	67	85	50	31d	—	—	0	5.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Musselburgh winner (5f) who is still unexposed and he's one to keep an eye on
7 (2)	Love Your Work Chestnut J:Jack Enright(7) T:Darryll Holland	J:Jack Enright(7) T:Darryll Holland	129	—	62247-	69	89	66	19d	—	—	+6	10	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Eight-time winner (7f-1m2f) but he's untried at this trip and looks one for another day
11 (3)	Aconcagua Mountain Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	116	b	46659-	56	88	73	12d	—	—	-1	2.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Won off this mark at Ayr in September but he's not been at best since; bit to prove
5 (6)	Glory Fighter Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Paul Midgley	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Paul Midgley	131	—	00460-	71	90	48	17d	—	—	+3	6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
8yo who is not easy to predict and was out the back at Southwell on his recent return
6 (11)	Rogue De Vega Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	131	—	21208-	71	88	59	135d	—	—	+10	12.3	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Disappointing in both handicaps and has questions to answer on return for new yard

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
The Caltonian	4/5	8/11	4/5	4/5	4/6
Rory	7/1	13/2	7/1	7/1	7/1
Honour Your Dreams	10/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	10/1
Zuffolo	11/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Westmorian	12/1	11/1	11/1	12/1	15/2
Quandary	16/1	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1
Whisky McGonagall	16/1	14/1	12/1	16/1	16/1
Love Your Work	20/1	18/1	16/1	20/1	18/1
Aconcagua Mountain	28/1	28/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Glory Fighter	33/1	33/1	40/1	33/1	33/1
Rogue De Vega	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

The Caltonian

42.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 18.5 Odds: 17.9

4/5

2nd

Quandary

15.5

OR: 6 Form: 7.9 Odds: 1.6

16/1

3rd

Rory

15.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Zuffolo

14.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 7 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Rogue De Vega

12.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Love Your Work

OR: 4.8 Form: 4 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Honour Your Dreams

9.6

OR: 4 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Westmorian

9.2

OR: 5.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.5

12/1

Glory Fighter

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Whisky McGonagall

5.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Aconcagua Mountain

2.3

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
The Caltonian	75	91	76
Quandary	74	86	—
Westmorian	73	87	66
Zuffolo	72	88	80
Glory Fighter	71	90	48
Rogue De Vega	71	88	59
Love Your Work	69	89	66
Whisky McGonagall	67	85	50
Honour Your Dreams	66	90	74
Rory	65	89	70
Aconcagua Mountain	56	88	73

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Honour Your Dreams	10d ago	Quick return
The Caltonian	11d ago	Quick return
Rory	11d ago	Quick return
Aconcagua Mountain	12d ago	Quick return
Glory Fighter	17d ago	Fit
Love Your Work	19d ago	Fit
Zuffolo	31d ago	Fit
Whisky McGonagall	31d ago	Fit
Rogue De Vega	135d ago	Long break
Quandary	150d ago	Long break
Westmorian	177d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.