Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:30

Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-01-08

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £2,983

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (5)	Desert Raider Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jack Mitchell T:Charlie Johnston	136	p	6014-1	65	75	65	4d	—	—	-17	29.1	0.23/1	10/11 52%
Made it 2-4 in handicaps when making all at Lingfield; big player again under penalty
5 (4)	Likeashadow Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Alan Brown	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Alan Brown	132	p	11344-	61	74	51	10d	—	—	-3	14.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Dual course winner (7f/1m) and has claims if things go his way back at this trip
2 (7)	Havana Smoke Grey J:Kieran O'Neill T:Dylan Cunha	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Dylan Cunha	135	p	78304-	64	71	53	11d	—	—	-6	9.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Disappointing in both his handicaps and has something to prove at this new trip
4 (1)	Haya Taal Bay J:David Allan T:Gay Kelleway	J:David Allan T:Gay Kelleway	133	t	77376-	62	71	51	74d	—	—	-3	7.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Six-race maiden who has not progressed and others are more convincing
3 (6)	Love Yours Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Gemma Tutty	J:Rowan Scott T:Gemma Tutty	133	—	75676-	62	70	42	11d	—	—	-1	4.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Down the field in all six starts and needs a transformation on this step up to 7f
6 (3)	Polly The Rocket Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	128	—	36338-	57	72	57	10d	—	—	+3	6.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Went close over C&D in November and she had an excuse at 1m latest; dangerous back in trip
7 (2)	Goldmine Girl Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Craig Lidster	J:Cam Hardie T:Craig Lidster	116	p	45757-	45	71	52	27d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
0-10 and she's been some way below form in last three starts; others preferred

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Desert Raider	10/11	5/6	10/11	5/6	5/6
Likeashadow	7/2	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2
Havana Smoke	11/2	11/2	9/2	5/1	5/1
Haya Taal	15/2	8/1	15/2	9/1	15/2
Love Yours	16/1	16/1	14/1	20/1	14/1
Polly The Rocket	25/1	25/1	25/1	20/1	20/1
Goldmine Girl	33/1	40/1	33/1	50/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Desert Raider

29.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 10 Odds: 15.4

10/11

2nd

Likeashadow

14.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5.2

4/1

3rd

Havana Smoke

9.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Haya Taal

7.4

OR: 3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.9

9/1

Polly The Rocket

6.9

OR: 1.8 Form: 4.2 Odds: 1

25/1

Love Yours

4.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Goldmine Girl

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Desert Raider	65	75	65
Havana Smoke	64	71	53
Haya Taal	62	71	51
Love Yours	62	70	42
Likeashadow	61	74	51
Polly The Rocket	57	72	57
Goldmine Girl	45	71	52

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Desert Raider	4d ago	Quick return
Likeashadow	10d ago	Quick return
Polly The Rocket	10d ago	Quick return
Havana Smoke	11d ago	Quick return
Love Yours	11d ago	Quick return
Goldmine Girl	27d ago	Fit
Haya Taal	74d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.