Boost Your Acca-Fenwa With BetUK Classified Stakes (Div II)

Newcastle (AW)

18:30

Date 2024-01-08

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (6)	Atrafan Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Alan Brown	J:Dougie Costello T:Alan Brown	128	b	1807-6	50	70	25	4d	—	—	-19	8.4	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Below best over 7f since back from break but 2-3 in C&D classifieds and in pole position
6 (4)	Margot Robbie Bay J:Harry Russell T:Geoff Oldroyd	J:Harry Russell T:Geoff Oldroyd	128	v	036-	48	65	44	24d	—	—	-16	10.1	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Clear signs of ability over C&D on second start; possibilities back at 6f; visor refitted
3 (3)	Bonito Cavalo Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	128	—	86700-	45	69	-	84d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Maiden; two good 5f runs on turf in July; not in the same form in the autumn; AW debut
4 (5)	Glory Hallelujah Chestnut J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	128	—	33080-	48	58	-	102d	—	—	-7	4.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Both sprint wins on turf (6f and 5f); had excuses for AW defeats but has gone off the boil
2 (1)	Beneficiary Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	128	b	55580-	47	64	48	32d	—	—	-10	4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Southwell winner; ran no sort of race there latest; claims if that was just an off day
9 (7)	Royal Mariner Bay J:P J McDonald T:Ewan Whillans	J:P J McDonald T:Ewan Whillans	128	tb	60000-	45	65	62	32d	—	—	-4	1.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Not in much form since close up over 6f at Wolverhampton last July; tongue-tie refitted
5 (9)	Gunmetal Grey J:Shane Gray T:Colin Teague	J:Shane Gray T:Colin Teague	128	b	/0079-	50	65	14	32d	—	—	-4	1.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Much better than this level in his prime; has C&D form; finally eligible for this grade
8 (2)	Rebelle Lady Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	128	—	76300-	50	67	-	12d	—	—	0	2.2	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Best run when 3rd in 6f Carlisle novice; non-stayer over 1m since; raises interest at 6f
NR (8)	Mutabaahy Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	128	p	00068-	44	58	38	56d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Below best since back from break but tight between him and Atrafan over C&D last January

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Atrafan	2/1	2/1	9/4	15/8	15/8
Margot Robbie	5/2	11/4	2/1	11/4	5/2
Bonito Cavalo	6/1	6/1	6/1	13/2	6/1
Glory Hallelujah	13/2	6/1	6/1	7/1	6/1
Beneficiary	7/1	11/2	6/1	11/2	5/1
Royal Mariner	16/1	16/1	20/1	14/1	16/1
Gunmetal	20/1	18/1	16/1	20/1	18/1
Rebelle Lady	40/1	40/1	50/1	50/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Margot Robbie

10.1

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 8

11/4

2nd

Atrafan

8.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

9/4

3rd

Glory Hallelujah

4.8

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Beneficiary

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

7/1

Bonito Cavalo

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Rebelle Lady

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Royal Mariner

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Gunmetal

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Mutabaahy

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Atrafan	50	70	25
Gunmetal	50	65	14
Rebelle Lady	50	67	—
Margot Robbie	48	65	44
Glory Hallelujah	48	58	—
Beneficiary	47	64	48
Bonito Cavalo	45	69	—
Royal Mariner	45	65	62
Mutabaahy	44	58	38

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Atrafan	4d ago	Quick return
Rebelle Lady	12d ago	Quick return
Margot Robbie	24d ago	Fit
Beneficiary	32d ago	Fit
Royal Mariner	32d ago	Fit
Gunmetal	32d ago	Fit
Mutabaahy	56d ago	Fresh
Bonito Cavalo	84d ago	Fresh
Glory Hallelujah	102d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.