Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

7:00

Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-01-09

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 2

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £13,608

Runners (14)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
12 (12)	Doctor Khan Junior b J:Harry Russell T:Geoff Oldroyd	J:Harry Russell T:Geoff Oldroyd	121	v	14611-	86	116	101	45d	—	—	+17	32.4	5/1 17%
Has won four of his last six starts; 9lb rise and a high draw make things more difficult
6 (7)	Greatgadian b J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Roger Varian	J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Roger Varian	127	—	70142-	92	114	76	31d	—	—	+13	23.6	7/1 13%
Off the same mark as when second at Newcastle last time but he may find this too sharp
11 (4)	Follow Your Heart b J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	122	t	32312-	87	113	95	14d	—	—	+16	28.2	7/1 13%
Beaten by just Intervention at Wolverhampton last time but better drawn than him here
8 (13)	Intervention b J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	125	h	1111-2	90	113	93	7d	—	—	+7	18.1	15/2 12%
In fine form in recent months, including a four-timer, but stall 13 won't make things easy
10 (10)	Chuzzlewit b J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	124	—	5004-5	89	112	73	8d	—	—	+2	12.6	8/1 11%
Lightly raced 4yo; has twice run well at Newcastle since back from a gelding operation
2 (2)	Misty Grey gr J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Tom Dascombe	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Tom Dascombe	133	—	56354-	98	113	89	14d	—	—	+7	15.9	10/1 9%
Behind three of these when fourth at Wolverhampton last time; losing run up to 13
1 (11)	Lord Of The Lodge b J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:K R Burke	J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:K R Burke	135	—	40573-	100	114	92	14d	—	—	+9	18.2	10/1 9%
Finished behind a couple of these when third at Wolverhampton last time; should go well
3 (8)	Excel Power b J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	133	p	97352-	98	111	77	26d	—	—	+12	20.9	10/1 9%
Only just caught at Chelmsford last month but he is normally seen over further these days
9 (9)	Zip ro J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	125	v	87153-	90	113	95	31d	—	—	+13	19.9	12/1 8%
C&D winner who split a couple of these when third at Newcastle last month; each-way claims
13 (1)	Gulliver b J:Mark Winn(3) T:David O'Meara	J:Mark Winn(3) T:David O'Meara	119	p	00763-	84	115	107	10d	—	—	+7	13.1	18/1 5%
Smart in his time but he has become very hard to win with these days
5 (3)	Trumble b J:Rossa Ryan T:David Loughnane	J:Rossa Ryan T:David Loughnane	129	—	38/00-	94	109	-	65d	—	—	+8	12.2	20/1 5%
All four wins have come at Chelmsford; returns to his former yard with something to prove
4 (6)	Stone Soldier ch J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Richard Fahey	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Richard Fahey	130	p	0/266-	95	107	76	34d	—	—	+8	12.3	25/1 4%
5lb below last winning mark but his form since has been patchy; others more solid
14 (5)	Starshiba b J:Harry Davies T:Michael Appleby	J:Harry Davies T:Michael Appleby	119	—	76514-	84	114	83	10d	—	—	+13	16.5	28/1 3%
Stepping back up to 7f is no problem but he may find this a shade too competitive
NR (14)	Silver Samurai gr J:NON-RUNNER T:Marco Botti	J:NON-RUNNER T:Marco Botti	125	—	65130-	90	114	-	95d	—	—	—	17.1	—
Has gone well fresh in the past but 0-8 on the AW and the outside stall is no help

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Doctor Khan Junior	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1
Greatgadian	7/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Follow Your Heart	7/1	13/2	7/1	13/2	11/2
Intervention	15/2	13/2	7/1	7/1	13/2
Chuzzlewit	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1
Misty Grey	10/1	9/1	17/2	9/1	8/1
Lord Of The Lodge	10/1	17/2	10/1	10/1	9/1
Excel Power	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Zip	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Gulliver	18/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	12/1
Trumble	20/1	20/1	20/1	18/1	20/1
Stone Soldier	25/1	20/1	22/1	18/1	20/1
Starshiba	28/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Doctor Khan Junior

32.4

OR: 9 Form: 19 Odds: 4.4

5/1

2nd

Follow Your Heart

28.2

OR: 9.3 Form: 15.6 Odds: 3.3

7/1

3rd

Greatgadian

23.6

OR: 10.5 Form: 10 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Excel Power

20.9

OR: 12 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Zip

19.9

OR: 10 Form: 8 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Lord Of The Lodge

18.2

OR: 12.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.7

10/1

Intervention

18.1

OR: 10 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Silver Samurai

17.1

OR: 10 Form: 7.1 Odds: 0

—

Starshiba

16.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1

28/1

Misty Grey

15.9

OR: 12 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Gulliver

13.1

OR: 8.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Chuzzlewit

12.6

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Stone Soldier

12.3

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Trumble

12.2

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lord Of The Lodge Top Rated	100	114	92
Misty Grey	98	113	89
Excel Power	98	111	77
Stone Soldier	95	107	76
Trumble	94	109	—
Greatgadian	92	114	76
Intervention	90	113	93
Zip	90	113	95
Silver Samurai	90	114	—
Chuzzlewit	89	112	73
Follow Your Heart	87	113	95
Doctor Khan Junior	86	116	101
Gulliver	84	115	107
Starshiba	84	114	83

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Intervention	7d ago	Quick return
Chuzzlewit	8d ago	Quick return
Gulliver	10d ago	Quick return
Starshiba	10d ago	Quick return
Follow Your Heart	14d ago	Fit
Misty Grey	14d ago	Fit
Lord Of The Lodge	14d ago	Fit
Excel Power	26d ago	Fit
Greatgadian	31d ago	Fit
Zip	31d ago	Fit
Stone Soldier	34d ago	Fit
Doctor Khan Junior	45d ago	Fit
Trumble	65d ago	Fresh
Silver Samurai	95d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Lord Of The Lodge	Front Runner
Silver Samurai	Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 14 runners classified.