Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Southwell (AW)

18:30

Date 2024-01-09

Distance 1m3f23y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £5,670

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (7)	Jacques Cartier Bay J:James Doyle T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:James Doyle T:Simon & Ed Crisford	133	—	3-	-	86	31	31d	—	—	-35	23	0.13/1	8/15 65%
Promising third on last month's Wolverhampton debut; longer trip should suit; high on list
4 (6)	Mach Ten Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	133	—	45-	-	82	24	31d	—	—	-11	4.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Behind Jacques Cartier on stable debut at Wolverhampton last month; needs a bit more
5 (2)	Turing Chestnut J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	133	—	85-	-	85	45	20d	—	—	-7	2.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Showed more than on debut when fifth at Kempton last month; shouldn't be far away
7 (5)	Shadowofyoursmile Bay J:Harry Davies T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Harry Davies T:Charlie Fellowes	128	—	9-	-	71	-	31d	—	—	-5	1.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Behind a couple of these on her Wolverhampton debut last month; look elsewhere
1 (4)	Encomiare Grey J:Neil Callan T:Marco Botti	J:Neil Callan T:Marco Botti	133	—	9-	-	72	-	20d	—	—	-4	1.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Behind Turing on Kempton debut but is a half-brother to a dual Tapeta winner
6 (3)	Attila The Honey Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jack Mitchell T:Charlie Johnston	128	—	0-	-	63	16	27d	—	—	-4	1.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Well held on last month's Kempton debut; the longer trip should suit; improvement needed
2 (1)	Flickering Halo Brown J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	133	—	43-	-	80	48	53d	—	—	+1	3.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
In the frame both starts (Newcastle last time) but he gets a mark after this

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Jacques Cartier	1/2	8/15	4/9	8/15	8/15
Mach Ten	5/1	5/1	6/1	5/1	5/1
Turing	10/1	15/2	8/1	15/2	8/1
Shadowofyoursmile	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Encomiare	20/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	16/1
Attila The Honey	20/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Flickering Halo	40/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Jacques Cartier

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 20

8/15

2nd

Mach Ten

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

6/1

3rd

Flickering Halo

3.8

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Turing

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

10/1

Shadowofyoursmile

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Encomiare

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Attila The Honey

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Jacques Cartier	—	86	31
Mach Ten	—	82	24
Turing	—	85	45
Shadowofyoursmile	—	71	—
Encomiare	—	72	—
Attila The Honey	—	63	16
Flickering Halo	—	80	48

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Turing	20d ago	Fit
Encomiare	20d ago	Fit
Attila The Honey	27d ago	Fit
Jacques Cartier	31d ago	Fit
Mach Ten	31d ago	Fit
Shadowofyoursmile	31d ago	Fit
Flickering Halo	53d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m3f23y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.