Unibet Support Safe Gambling Novice Stakes (Div I) – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

19:30

Unibet Support Safe Gambling Novice Stakes (Div I)

Date 2024-01-10

Distance 1m2f219y

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,320

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (1)	Popcorn Magic Chestnut J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	137	—	1-	-	81	47	53d	—	—	-30	30	0.11/1	4/9 69%
Winning debut at Lingfield in November; open to progress; respected under 7lb penalty
4 (7)	Birthday Angel Grey J:Kevin Stott T:Archie Watson	J:Kevin Stott T:Archie Watson	130	—	4-	-	82	15	28d	—	—	-19	8.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Promising debut at Lingfield; form boosted since; leading contender at the weights
7 (2)	Running The Game Grey J:Tom Queally T:Gary Moore	J:Tom Queally T:Gary Moore	130	t	637-	80	-	-	—	—	—	+3	12	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Disappointing in both hurdles starts for new yard; showed ability on Flat in France
6 (6)	Reason To Pass Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Hugo Palmer	J:Ross Coakley T:Hugo Palmer	130	h	7-	-	59	26	34d	—	—	-4	1.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Shaped with a glimmer of promise at Chelmsford; may do better
1 (4)	Stenatee Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Adam West	J:Trevor Whelan T:Adam West	139	t	1/	-	-	-	—	—	—	+8	10.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Poor results over hurdles for Gary Moore; wide-margin Flat winner on sole French outing
9 (9)	River Chat Chestnut J:Olivia Tubb(7) T:Jonathan Portman	J:Olivia Tubb(7) T:Jonathan Portman	125	—	0/3-	-	64	-	177d	—	—	+2	3.3	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Only a modest third at Wolverhampton last time out but this longer trip may suit
5 (5)	Green Go Chestnut J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Pat Phelan	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Pat Phelan	130	—	50-	-	58	-	53d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Ran dismally in the Lingfield race won by Popcorn Magic
8 (3)	Spun Silver Grey J:Liam Keniry T:Sylvester Kirk	J:Liam Keniry T:Sylvester Kirk	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Tailed-off last in bumper
3 (8)	Amico Amore Bay J:Alex Jary(5) T:Lisa Williamson	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Lisa Williamson	132	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.1	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Beaten long way in two bumpers

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Popcorn Magic	4/9	4/9	4/9	4/11	2/5
Birthday Angel	9/4	5/2	9/4	9/4	5/2
Running The Game	10/1	17/2	9/1	8/1	8/1
Reason To Pass	22/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Stenatee	25/1	33/1	40/1	33/1	33/1
River Chat	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Green Go	150/1	125/1	125/1	100/1	125/1
Spun Silver	150/1	125/1	100/1	125/1	150/1
Amico Amore	150/1	250/1	200/1	200/1	250/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Popcorn Magic

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 20

4/9

2nd

Running The Game

OR: 7.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.4

10/1

3rd

Stenatee

10.8

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Birthday Angel

8.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

5/2

River Chat

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Reason To Pass

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

22/1

Green Go

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Spun Silver

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Amico Amore

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Running The Game	80	—	—
Popcorn Magic	—	81	47
Birthday Angel	—	82	15
Reason To Pass	—	59	26
Stenatee	—	—	—
River Chat	—	64	—
Green Go	—	58	—
Spun Silver	—	—	—
Amico Amore	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Birthday Angel	28d ago	Fit
Reason To Pass	34d ago	Fit
Popcorn Magic	53d ago	Fresh
Green Go	53d ago	Fresh
River Chat	177d ago	Long break
Running The Game	—	—
Stenatee	—	—
Spun Silver	—	—
Amico Amore	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m2f219y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.