Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Kelso

13:20

Date 2024-01-14

Distance 2m6f151y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,357

Winning Time 6m 20.12s (slow by 1m 2.12s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Nab Wood (IRE) Sean Quinlan · Nicky Richards	9/2	Won
2nd	Choose A Copper (IRE) Patrick Wadge · Lucinda Russell	6/5F	12
3rd	Gypsey's Secret (IRE) Stephen Mulqueen · Sandy Forster	80/1	0.3
4th	Rob Roy Macgregor (IRE) Ryan Mania · Sandy Thomson	2/1	11
5th	Somebody's Fortune (IRE) Jack Power · Lucinda Russell	25/1	9.5
6th	Tufton Avenue (IRE) Richie McLernon · Laura Horsfall	28/1	.75
7th	Paris Cercy (FR) Ross Chapman · Rebecca Menzies	150/1	64

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Carrigeen Kali (IRE) Bruce Lynn · N W Alexander	9/1
P.U.	Houxty Belle (GB) Craig Nichol · Donald Whillans	250/1
P.U.	Wotyoudunnow Buddy (IRE) Sam Coltherd · Susan Corbett	125/1

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Choose A Copper Bay J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	167	t	UF-213	119	119	78	36d	—	—	-13	32.6	0.23/1	10/11 52%
Not beaten far when Listed third of three at Sandown; leading claims back down in grade
4	Rob Roy Macgregor Bay J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	160	—	17-45	-	109	103	28d	—	—	-18	8	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Heavy-ground bumper winner; this step up in trip could be just what he needs
2	Nab Wood Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:Nicky Richards	J:Sean Quinlan T:Nicky Richards	160	—	672	108	112	69	25d	—	—	+7	24.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Stayed on strongly when second over 2m at Ayr last month; one to consider now up in trip
7	Carrigeen Kali Bay J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	153	—	445-44	97	107	49	52d	—	—	+5	14.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Fair 4th last time and this longer trip could help, but others may have greater potential
5	Tufton Avenue Bay J:Richie McLernon T:Laura Horsfall	J:Richie McLernon T:Laura Horsfall	160	—	1/54-5	-	98	84	43d	—	—	+3	5.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Others have better form but he's open to improvement now up in trip
10	Somebody's Fortune Bay J:Mr Jack Power(7) T:Lucinda Russell	J:Mr Jack Power(7) T:Lucinda Russell	153	—	632-	-	-	-	—	—	—	+5	7.9	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Point runner-up who brings potential to rules debut; one of two for yard; watch betting
3	Paris Cercy Bay J:Ross Chapman T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Ross Chapman T:Rebecca Menzies	160	t	2/P5-P	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	1.6	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Rules debut; promise in points in April 2022 but unable to reproduce that last spring
6	Wotyoudunnow Buddy Bay J:Sam Coltherd T:Susan Corbett	J:Sam Coltherd T:Susan Corbett	160	—	3-7PP6	85	93	70	19d	—	—	+10	11.1	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Pulled up or well beaten on his three hurdle starts and it's best to look elsewhere
8	Gypsey's Secret Bay J:Stephen Mulqueen T:Sandy Forster	J:Stephen Mulqueen T:Sandy Forster	153	—	P76-P6	75	96	44	27d	—	—	+6	6.5	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Has shown some ability but 0-10 and looks vulnerable once more
9	Houxty Belle Bay J:Craig Nichol T:Donald Whillans	J:Craig Nichol T:Donald Whillans	153	—	5	-	-	-	246d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Tailed off in sole bumper and probably best watched on this first hurdle start

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Choose A Copper	10/11	4/5	10/11	evn	10/11
Rob Roy Macgregor	3/1	11/4	3/1	5/2	3/1
Nab Wood	7/2	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2
Carrigeen Kali	17/2	10/1	15/2	17/2	15/2
Tufton Avenue	33/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Somebody's Fortune	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Paris Cercy	100/1	100/1	66/1	80/1	80/1
Wotyoudunnow Buddy	150/1	200/1	150/1	150/1	150/1
Gypsey's Secret	150/1	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1
Houxty Belle	150/1	200/1	150/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Choose A Copper

32.6

OR: 17.3 Form: 0 Odds: 15.4

10/11

2nd

Nab Wood

24.5

OR: 14.5 Form: 5 Odds: 5

4/1

3rd

Carrigeen Kali

14.4

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

10/1

Wotyoudunnow Buddy

11.1

OR: 8.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Rob Roy Macgregor

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8

3/1

Somebody's Fortune

7.9

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Gypsey's Secret

6.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Tufton Avenue

5.9

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Paris Cercy

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 1 Odds: 0.6

100/1

Houxty Belle

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Choose A Copper	119	119	78
Nab Wood	108	112	69
Carrigeen Kali	97	107	49
Wotyoudunnow Buddy	85	93	70
Gypsey's Secret	75	96	44
Rob Roy Macgregor	—	109	103
Tufton Avenue	—	98	84
Somebody's Fortune	—	—	—
Paris Cercy	—	—	—
Houxty Belle	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Wotyoudunnow Buddy	19d ago	Fit
Nab Wood	25d ago	Fit
Gypsey's Secret	27d ago	Fit
Rob Roy Macgregor	28d ago	Fit
Choose A Copper	36d ago	Fit
Tufton Avenue	43d ago	Fit
Carrigeen Kali	52d ago	Fresh
Houxty Belle	246d ago	Long break
Somebody's Fortune	—	—
Paris Cercy	—	—