Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

16:00

Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-01-14

Distance 7f1y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (6)	Essme Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	J:Callum Shepherd T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	129	—	8435-3	46	64	48	4d	—	—	-13	9.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Thereabouts lately and needs a second look despite her strike-rate of 1-31
1 (3)	Kodi Noir Bay J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Alice Haynes	J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Alice Haynes	135	hp	20658-	52	64	49	16d	—	—	-15	8.8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Below form latest start but had mostly been running with credit; considered each-way
2 (5)	Hold The Press Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:J R Jenkins	J:Marco Ghiani T:J R Jenkins	132	—	07102-	49	65	52	68d	—	—	-2	15	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Breakthrough win in September and second on latest start, both when front-running over C&D
7 (2)	Lord Clenaghcastle Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Adam West	J:Sean Kirrane T:Adam West	129	p	3586-0	46	60	23	4d	—	—	-7	2.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
10yo; unraced at shorter than 1m since 2020 but some recent starts give him a chance
4 (1)	Al Tarmaah Bay J:Ethan Jones(7) T:Lee Carter	J:Ethan Jones(7) T:Lee Carter	129	—	9/02-5	46	62	26	1d	—	—	-6	2.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Outran his 80-1 odds at Chelmsford two starts ago; lesser effort there yesterday
6 (4)	My Kind Of Girl Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	129	—	/0754-	46	63	37	133d	—	—	-6	2.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Best in September latest; a bit prove back on AW and upped to 7f but needs a second look
3 (8)	Ajrad Chestnut J:Adam Farragher T:Michael Attwater	J:Adam Farragher T:Michael Attwater	131	p	06670-	48	68	60	32d	—	—	-6	2.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
2-34 overall; seen almost exclusively at Lingfield these days; below form lately
8 (7)	My Sand Boy Bay J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	129	—	95074-	46	59	36	87d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
No serious impact; still put up a lesser show on latest outing, nearly three months ago

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Essme	3/1	3/1	5/2	3/1	11/4
Kodi Noir	7/2	10/3	5/2	3/1	11/4
Hold The Press	4/1	4/1	5/1	4/1	7/2
Lord Clenaghcastle	17/2	15/2	17/2	15/2	15/2
Al Tarmaah	15/2	17/2	9/1	9/1	9/1
My Kind Of Girl	17/2	10/1	10/1	11/1	11/1
Ajrad	11/1	10/1	12/1	10/1	10/1
My Sand Boy	16/1	12/1	16/1	12/1	14/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hold The Press

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 5

5/1

2nd

Essme

9.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 6.7

3/1

3rd

Kodi Noir

8.8

OR: 0.5 Form: 1 Odds: 7.3

7/2

Lord Clenaghcastle

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Al Tarmaah

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Ajrad

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

12/1

My Kind Of Girl

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

My Sand Boy

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Kodi Noir	52	64	49
Hold The Press	49	65	52
Ajrad	48	68	60
Essme	46	64	48
Lord Clenaghcastle	46	60	23
Al Tarmaah	46	62	26
My Kind Of Girl	46	63	37
My Sand Boy	46	59	36

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Al Tarmaah	1d ago	Quick return
Essme	4d ago	Quick return
Lord Clenaghcastle	4d ago	Quick return
Kodi Noir	16d ago	Fit
Ajrad	32d ago	Fit
Hold The Press	68d ago	Fresh
My Sand Boy	87d ago	Fresh
My Kind Of Girl	133d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 7f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.