Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:45

Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-01-19

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,716

Winning Time 1m 48.08s (slow by 11.08s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Tasmanian Legend (IRE) Kieran O'Neill · Alice Haynes	100/30	Won
2nd	Likeashadow (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Alan Brown	7/2	0.3
3rd	Wait And Hope (GB) Sam James · K R Burke	10/11F	1.75
4th	Yeah Nah (IRE) Billy Loughnane · John Butler	14/1	1.25
5th	Polly The Rocket (GB) Tom Eaves · Craig Lidster	14/1	0.2

Runners (5)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (5)	Wait And Hope Bay J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	139	—	546-1	72	78	58	9d	—	—	-15	30.9	0.20/1	4/5 56%
Made a successful handicap debut over this trip at Kempton nine days ago; major player
3 (4)	Tasmanian Legend Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	134	—	57652-	67	74	51	97d	—	—	-3	14.5	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Makes stable debut after three months off having been gelded in the meantime; watch market
5 (1)	Likeashadow Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Alan Brown	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Alan Brown	128	—	1344-4	61	77	55	11d	—	—	-8	7.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Dual course winner and closely matched with Polly The Rocket on recent running
4 (2)	Polly The Rocket Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	130	h	6338-1	63	72	55	11d	—	—	+10	14.5	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Finally off the mark here last time; has stamina to prove, but still respected; hood on
2 (3)	Yeah Nah Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:John Butler	J:Billy Loughnane T:John Butler	135	p	0996-5	68	70	50	9d	—	—	+2	5.5	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Over 3l behind Wait And Hope at Kempton nine days ago; 6lb pull not enough to tempt

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Wait And Hope	4/5	4/5	4/5	4/5	4/5
Tasmanian Legend	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Likeashadow	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Polly The Rocket	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Yeah Nah	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Wait And Hope

30.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 10 Odds: 15.4

4/5

2nd

Tasmanian Legend

14.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 5 Odds: 5.2

10/3

3rd

Polly The Rocket

14.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 10 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Likeashadow

7.2

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

4/1

Yeah Nah

5.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Wait And Hope	72	78	58
Yeah Nah	68	70	50
Tasmanian Legend	67	74	51
Polly The Rocket	63	72	55
Likeashadow	61	77	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Wait And Hope	9d ago	Quick return
Yeah Nah	9d ago	Quick return
Likeashadow	11d ago	Quick return
Polly The Rocket	11d ago	Quick return
Tasmanian Legend	97d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.