Ardmulchan Handicap Hurdle – Navan

Navan

14:30

Ardmulchan Handicap Hurdle

Date 2024-01-20

Distance 2m4f

Class

Going Soft To Heavy

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €6,490

Runners (19)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
15	Chosen Diamond Bay J:Sean O'Keeffe T:Edward Cawley	J:Sean O'Keeffe T:Edward Cawley	151	p	58-1U4	92	110	-	20d	—	—	-2	15.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Off the mark over fences in November; not as good since; respected from lower hurdle mark
12	Butty O Brien Bay J:E Walsh T:Patrick Magee	J:E Walsh T:Patrick Magee	156	—	-55815	97	107	35	8d	—	—	+8	23.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Off the mark over C&D last month; wasn't beaten far when 5th at Naas; respected back here
6	Mighty Jeremy Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Liam G O'Brien	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Liam G O'Brien	164	ht	11-205	105	108	83	49d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+4	17.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Won 2 h'cap hurdles end of last term; low-key return here but better when 5th latest
8	Clonbury Bridge Brown J:Keith Donoghue T:J P Dempsey	J:Keith Donoghue T:J P Dempsey	160	tb	0P4537	101	114	101	23d	—	—	+2	19.6	1.25/1	5/1 17%
No wins since Galway festival in 2021; 3rd in Nov' but not as good at Leoaprdstown since
17	Elle Dorado Rock Bay J:J J Slevin T:A J Martin	J:J J Slevin T:A J Martin	145	t	098P-P	86	107	78	39d	—	—	-1	13	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Unplaced in eight starts over hurdles and pulled up last two runs
5	All For Rachel Bay J:Phillip Enright T:Oliver McKiernan	J:Phillip Enright T:Oliver McKiernan	165	—	78-229	106	113	76	69d	—	—	+8	16.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
0-12 under rules; 2 promising runs in maiden hurdles last term; may improve now h'capping
14	Nazine Bay J:Mark McDonagh(3) T:Michael J McDonagh	J:Mark McDonagh(3) T:Michael J McDonagh	154	b	-00960	95	112	82	23d	—	—	+5	13.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
No wins since his maiden hurdle success here nearly three years ago; tailed off latest
4	Quite Incredible Bay J:Niall Moore(7) T:Dermot A McLoughlin	J:Niall Moore(7) T:Dermot A McLoughlin	167	—	8-P4P7	108	113	-	51d	—	—	+10	16.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
0-13 under rules; 2nd at Fairyhouse last term; struggled over fences in recent times
11	Benkei Bay J:Rachael Blackmore T:H Rogers	J:Rachael Blackmore T:H Rogers	156	p	4-832F	97	112	87	55d	—	—	+7	13.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Narrowly denied over 3m in November; fell latest; 2m4f possibly against him these days
2	Run For Harry Bay J:Donagh Meyler T:Mrs Gillian Callaghan	J:Donagh Meyler T:Mrs Gillian Callaghan	168	—	470-80	109	113	-	9d	—	—	+12	15.7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Promise in bumpers but struggled since and tailed off at Clonmel latest; h'cap debut
9	Yulong Voice b/br J:Shane Fitzgerald T:Shane Nolan	J:Shane Fitzgerald T:Shane Nolan	160	t	27156-	101	113	-	505d	—	—	+16	19.6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Not seen since struggling on chase debut in September 2022 and best form on better ground
16	Lucky Two Bay J:Mike O'Connor(3) T:Thomas Gibney	J:Mike O'Connor(3) T:Thomas Gibney	146	—	P-9PP7	87	88	69	19d	—	—	+8	9.8	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Minor promise on bumper debut but poor form since; needs marked improvement on h'cap bow
19	Uppertown Mya Bay J:Simon Torrens T:P J Rothwell	J:Simon Torrens T:P J Rothwell	140	tp	5P0-00	81	102	-	183d	—	—	+6	8.2	20.00/1	80/1 1%
0-14 and showed very little last year; new yard; off 183 days
18	Final Endeavour Bay J:Charlie O'Dwyer(5) T:H Rogers	J:Charlie O'Dwyer(5) T:H Rogers	144	t	/0/7-P	85	103	-	19d	—	—	+8	9.1	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Jumped poorly before pulling up latest; hasn't shown enough in 6 runs over timber
NR	Penny Jar b/br J:TBC T:Patrick Downey	J: T:Patrick Downey	168	tp	13-34F	109	113	85	58d	—	—	—	14.8	—	—
Okay 4th in September but fell early back over timber latest and doesn't look well treated
NR	Ebenezer Scrooge Bay J:TBC T:Gordon Elliott	J: T:Gordon Elliott	167	t	P3-U80	108	109	53	63d	—	—	—	14.5	—	—
Promising at times last term but ran poorly thrice since inc' h'cap debut latest
NR	Welsh Saint Bay J:TBC T:C A McBratney	J: T:C A McBratney	164	p	5P-600	105	107	9	35d	—	—	—	13.8	—	—
Losing run since 2020 and shown nothing this season; trip probably too short for him
NR	Zeeband Bay J:TBC T:Paul John Gilligan	J: T:Paul John Gilligan	159	t	98-750	100	113	50	25d	—	—	—	12.5	—	—
Minor promise in maiden hurdles last season but shown nothing in 3 starts this time around
NR	Golden Nugget Bay J:TBC T:Gordon Elliott	J: T:Gordon Elliott	154	—	9-7707	95	106	24	34d	—	—	—	11.3	—	—
Unplaced in 7 starts; struggled in 2 h'caps here; best watched for now

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Chosen Diamond	4/1	4/1	7/2	9/2	7/2
Butty O Brien	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2	9/2
Mighty Jeremy	11/2	9/2	9/2	5/1	5/1
Clonbury Bridge	5/1	5/1	7/2	5/1	4/1
Elle Dorado Rock	13/2	5/1	7/1	5/1	5/1
All For Rachel	10/1	9/1	10/1	17/2	8/1
Nazine	12/1	12/1	9/1	10/1	10/1
Quite Incredible	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1
Benkei	12/1	11/1	10/1	12/1	12/1
Run For Harry	25/1	22/1	20/1	25/1	25/1
Yulong Voice	28/1	22/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Lucky Two	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	33/1
Uppertown Mya	80/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	66/1
Final Endeavour	150/1	80/1	100/1	66/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Butty O Brien

23.2

OR: 11.8 Form: 7 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Clonbury Bridge

19.6

OR: 12.8 Form: 1.8 Odds: 5

5/1

3rd

Yulong Voice

19.6

OR: 12.8 Form: 6 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Mighty Jeremy

17.8

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

All For Rachel

16.4

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Quite Incredible

16.1

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Run For Harry

15.7

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Chosen Diamond

15.5

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Penny Jar

14.8

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ebenezer Scrooge

14.5

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Welsh Saint

13.8

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Benkei

13.7

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Nazine

13.6

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Elle Dorado Rock

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 4

7/1

Zeeband

12.5

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Golden Nugget

11.3

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Lucky Two

9.8

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Final Endeavour

9.1

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150/1

Uppertown Mya

8.2

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Run For Harry	109	113	—
Penny Jar	109	113	85
Quite Incredible	108	113	—
Ebenezer Scrooge	108	109	53
All For Rachel	106	113	76
Mighty Jeremy	105	108	83
Welsh Saint	105	107	9
Clonbury Bridge	101	114	101
Yulong Voice	101	113	—
Zeeband	100	113	50
Butty O Brien	97	107	35
Benkei	97	112	87
Nazine	95	112	82
Golden Nugget	95	106	24
Chosen Diamond	92	110	—
Lucky Two	87	88	69
Elle Dorado Rock	86	107	78
Final Endeavour	85	103	—
Uppertown Mya	81	102	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Butty O Brien	8d ago	Quick return
Run For Harry	9d ago	Quick return
Lucky Two	19d ago	Fit
Final Endeavour	19d ago	Fit
Chosen Diamond	20d ago	Fit
Clonbury Bridge	23d ago	Fit
Nazine	23d ago	Fit
Zeeband	25d ago	Fit
Golden Nugget	34d ago	Fit
Welsh Saint	35d ago	Fit
Elle Dorado Rock	39d ago	Fit
Mighty Jeremy	49d ago	Fresh
Quite Incredible	51d ago	Fresh
Benkei	55d ago	Fresh
Penny Jar	58d ago	Fresh
Ebenezer Scrooge	63d ago	Fresh
All For Rachel	69d ago	Fresh
Uppertown Mya	183d ago	Long break
Yulong Voice	505d ago	Long break