Navan Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race) – Navan

Navan

13:55

Navan Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race)

Date 2024-01-20

Distance 2m4f

Class Class 1

Going Soft To Heavy

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €26,550

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Harvard Guy Bay J:Mark Walsh T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	J:Mark Walsh T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	166	—	520-11	131	131	114	34d	—	—	0	29.1	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Won back-to-back over C&D this season and while up 12lb, he's clearly progressive
3	Fortunedefortunata Bay J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	164	—	00-913	129	138	104	24d	—	—	+7	25	1.25/1	5/1 17%
3-9 over hurdles; good 3rd latest and should go well back up in trip
12	Talk In The Park Bay J:Danny Mullins T:Ms Margaret Mullins	J:Danny Mullins T:Ms Margaret Mullins	148	—	-F2464	113	131	115	34d	—	—	+7	21	1.25/1	5/1 17%
9l behind Harvard Guy over C&D latest and 7l behind Lord Erskine; tough ask from this mark
8	Catch The Beast Bay J:Phillip Enright T:Edward Cawley	J:Phillip Enright T:Edward Cawley	157	—	5-7071	122	133	88	20d	—	—	+8	22	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Beaten 22l on h'cap debut; well backed to win 2nd h'cap start since; up 17lb but unexposed
9	Lord Erskine Bay J:J J Slevin T:H Rogers	J:J J Slevin T:H Rogers	156	b	520-32	121	137	90	34d	—	—	+9	21.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Big run when 2nd to Harvard Guy over C&D latest and now 10lb better off with that rival
6	Drumbear Bay J:Ben Harvey T:John C McConnell	J:Ben Harvey T:John C McConnell	160	ht	/21U-7	125	139	-	25d	—	—	+14	20.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Won chase debut last term; shown little since but interesting back up in trip over hurdles
11	Kilbree Warrior b/br J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Oliver McKiernan	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Oliver McKiernan	151	tb	61-65P	116	136	85	69d	—	—	+14	17.5	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Won at Fairyhouse towards end of last term; nothing in 2 runs this term; pulled up latest
4	Make Good Bay J:Aidan Kelly(5) T:Shane Crawley	J:Aidan Kelly(5) T:Shane Crawley	164	tp	2211/8	129	100	36	62d	—	—	+17	20.7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Missed 2021; has run okay on Flat since joining this yard; tailed off over timber latest
2	Capilano Bridge Bay J:Charlie O'Dwyer(5) T:Conor O'Dwyer	J:Charlie O'Dwyer(5) T:Conor O'Dwyer	164	—	6/524-	129	136	-	364d	—	—	+18	20.3	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Not seen since finishing 4th in a beginners' on this card last year; likely needs further
10	Rodaniche Bay J:Sam Ewing T:Gordon Elliott	J:Sam Ewing T:Gordon Elliott	156	—	/F70-8	121	132	57	20d	—	—	+16	18.3	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Struggled last season and tailed off on this season's return; plenty to prove
5	Itswhatunitesus Bay J:Kieren Buckley T:H Rogers	J:Kieren Buckley T:H Rogers	161	—	U-PP00	126	125	55	24d	—	—	+18	19.3	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Has really struggled since winning last season and shown nothing in two runs for this yard
NR	Zoffanien Bay J:TBC T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J: T:Denis Gerard Hogan	158	—	50F-50	123	138	64	24d	—	—	—	18.3	—	—
Shaped okay when 5th on return but tailed off since and not easy to predict

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Harvard Guy	7/4	2/1	2/1	15/8	7/4
Fortunedefortunata	9/2	5/1	7/2	9/2	9/2
Talk In The Park	5/1	5/1	9/2	9/2	5/1
Catch The Beast	11/2	9/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Lord Erskine	6/1	6/1	11/2	6/1	11/2
Drumbear	12/1	12/1	10/1	11/1	10/1
Kilbree Warrior	20/1	28/1	25/1	22/1	28/1
Make Good	28/1	20/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Capilano Bridge	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Rodaniche	66/1	33/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Itswhatunitesus	150/1	100/1	125/1	125/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Harvard Guy

29.1

OR: 20.3 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

2/1

2nd

Fortunedefortunata

OR: 19.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

5/1

3rd

Catch The Beast

OR: 18 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Lord Erskine

21.4

OR: 17.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Talk In The Park

OR: 15.8 Form: 1.2 Odds: 4

5/1

Drumbear

20.7

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Make Good

20.7

OR: 19.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Capilano Bridge

20.3

OR: 19.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Itswhatunitesus

19.3

OR: 19 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Rodaniche

18.3

OR: 17.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Zoffanien

18.3

OR: 18.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Kilbree Warrior

17.5

OR: 16.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Harvard Guy	131	131	114
Fortunedefortunata	129	138	104
Make Good	129	100	36
Capilano Bridge	129	136	—
Itswhatunitesus	126	125	55
Drumbear	125	139	—
Zoffanien	123	138	64
Catch The Beast	122	133	88
Lord Erskine	121	137	90
Rodaniche	121	132	57
Kilbree Warrior	116	136	85
Talk In The Park	113	131	115

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Catch The Beast	20d ago	Fit
Rodaniche	20d ago	Fit
Fortunedefortunata	24d ago	Fit
Itswhatunitesus	24d ago	Fit
Zoffanien	24d ago	Fit
Drumbear	25d ago	Fit
Harvard Guy	34d ago	Fit
Talk In The Park	34d ago	Fit
Lord Erskine	34d ago	Fit
Make Good	62d ago	Fresh
Kilbree Warrior	69d ago	Fresh
Capilano Bridge	364d ago	Long break