Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:30

Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-01-22

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,234

Winning Time 1m 44.68s (slow by 7.68s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Armoured (IRE) Jonny Peate · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	25/1	Won
2nd	Mercurius Power (IRE) Ben Sanderson · Jessica Macey	15/2	0.2
3rd	Masterpainter (IRE) Phil Dennis · Michael Dods	15/2	6
4th	Panama City (GB) Billy Garritty · Ian McInnes	100/30	0.3
5th	Vampire Slayer (IRE) Jason Hart · Daragh Bourke	3/1F	.5
6th	Perfect Swiss (GB) David Allan · Tim Easterby	15/2	0.1
7th	Eleven Eleven (FR) Harrison Shaw · Jessica Macey	4/1	13
8th	Danielsflyer (IRE) Sean Kirrane · David Thompson	10/1	.75
9th	Ring Fenced (GB) Aiden Brookes · Micky Hammond	33/1	0.3
10th	Whatwouldyouknow (IRE) Rowan Scott · Nigel Tinkler	14/1	0.3
11th	Absolute Dream (IRE) Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	25/1	4.25

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (10)	Eleven Eleven Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Jessica Macey	J:Harrison Shaw T:Jessica Macey	132	h	0245-1	59	78	59	18d	—	—	-5	19.5	0.75/1	3/1 25%
All three wins have come over C&D and latest was a comfortable win 18 days ago; respected
5 (7)	Panama City Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Ian McInnes	J:Billy Garritty T:Ian McInnes	134	ht	80131-	61	77	57	26d	—	—	+5	26	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Made it 2-4 on AW with his comfortable win at Wolverhampton; big player again up 5lb
8 (2)	Perfect Swiss Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	133	—	54698-	60	78	31	31d	—	—	-7	6.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Triple C&D winner but he was well held in last two runs last year; needs to raise game
2 (5)	Vampire Slayer Bay J:Jason Hart T:Daragh Bourke	J:Jason Hart T:Daragh Bourke	135	—	/2700-	62	71	-	251d	—	—	-9	10.2	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Nine-race maiden who has struggled in last three runs and has a lot to prove on his return
4 (11)	Masterpainter Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Michael Dods	J:Phil Dennis T:Michael Dods	134	b	86366-	61	73	48	31d	—	—	-2	6.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Just one win from 11 starts and well held on Tapeta in last two runs; others look stronger
1 (8)	Mercurius Power Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Jessica Macey	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Jessica Macey	135	tp	5431-0	62	75	45	21d	—	—	-3	5.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Won in good style over C&D on penultimate run and has claims if he can recapture that form
3 (3)	Danielsflyer Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	135	p	57633-	62	77	44	69d	—	—	+4	9.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Placed over C&D in last two starts and he should go well again on this drop back in grade
6 (4)	Whatwouldyouknow Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	134	—	2149-8	61	74	53	3d	—	—	0	4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Nine wins on Tapeta but he's been well held over C&D the last twice and has bit to prove
11 (6)	Absolute Dream Chestnut J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	130	v	0304-7	57	74	49	16d	—	—	-1	3	5.00/1	20/1 5%
On dangerous mark but he's not easy to predict and others are preferred
7 (1)	Ring Fenced Bay J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Micky Hammond	J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Micky Hammond	133	—	0076-3	60	69	33	13d	—	—	+2	6.7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Made a successful handicap debut at Kempton last January but he's been disappointing since
9 (9)	Armoured Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	133	t	66077-	60	69	8	108d	—	—	0	3.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Six-race maiden and he needs a transformation after wind surgery

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Eleven Eleven	3/1	3/1	5/2	3/1	5/2
Panama City	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Perfect Swiss	13/2	6/1	11/2	13/2	6/1
Vampire Slayer	5/1	4/1	13/2	3/1	9/2
Masterpainter	9/1	9/1	17/2	9/1	9/1
Mercurius Power	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Danielsflyer	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Whatwouldyouknow	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Absolute Dream	20/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1
Ring Fenced	16/1	28/1	18/1	28/1	20/1
Armoured	33/1	40/1	22/1	28/1	20/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Panama City

OR: 2.8 Form: 17.1 Odds: 6.2

3/1

2nd

Eleven Eleven

19.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 10 Odds: 7.3

3/1

3rd

Vampire Slayer

10.2

OR: 3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 5.7

13/2

Danielsflyer

9.7

OR: 3 Form: 5.1 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Ring Fenced

6.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

28/1

Masterpainter

6.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.2

9/1

Perfect Swiss

6.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Mercurius Power

5.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Whatwouldyouknow

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Armoured

3.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

40/1

Absolute Dream

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Vampire Slayer	62	71	—
Mercurius Power	62	75	45
Danielsflyer	62	77	44
Panama City	61	77	57
Masterpainter	61	73	48
Whatwouldyouknow	61	74	53
Perfect Swiss	60	78	31
Ring Fenced	60	69	33
Armoured	60	69	8
Eleven Eleven	59	78	59
Absolute Dream	57	74	49

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Whatwouldyouknow	3d ago	Quick return
Ring Fenced	13d ago	Quick return
Absolute Dream	16d ago	Fit
Eleven Eleven	18d ago	Fit
Mercurius Power	21d ago	Fit
Panama City	26d ago	Fit
Perfect Swiss	31d ago	Fit
Masterpainter	31d ago	Fit
Danielsflyer	69d ago	Fresh
Armoured	108d ago	Long break
Vampire Slayer	251d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.