BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:00

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap

Date 2024-01-22

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,757

Winning Time 1m 45.71s (slow by 8.71s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Trais Fluors (GB) Jonny Peate · Linda Perratt	12/1	Won
2nd	Bashful (GB) Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	25/1	.5
3rd	Irish Flame (GB) Jason Hart · Michael Dods	8/1	0.2
4th	Hortzadar (GB) David Nolan · David O'Meara	6/1	.5
5th	Swiss Ace (GB) Joanna Mason · Ruth Carr	11/4	3.75
6th	Showmedemoney (IRE) Cam Hardie · Iain Jardine	40/1	5
7th	Star Zinc (IRE) Callum Rodriguez · Rebecca Menzies	5/2F	.5
8th	Jahidin (FR) Clifford Lee · K R Burke	10/1	4.25
9th	Dornoch Castle (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Charlie Johnston	6/1	10

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (5)	Star Zinc Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Rebecca Menzies	128	—	0166-2	73	91	85	11d	—	—	-6	18	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Both wins have come on Tapeta and he went close at Southwell (1m) last time; shortlisted
1 (1)	Swiss Ace Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	137	—	5291-3	82	92	48	6d	—	—	-3	16.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won over 7f here last month before a close third over C&D last week; respected
2 (4)	Dornoch Castle Chestnut J:Jack Mitchell T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jack Mitchell T:Charlie Johnston	136	—	/7034-	81	88	-	218d	—	—	-1	14.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Makes his AW debut after 218 days off but he needs watching in the market
4 (8)	Hortzadar Bay J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	133	p	2013-5	78	94	58	11d	—	—	-1	10.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Has done well since making his belated switch to AW and he remains feasibly treated
5 (7)	Jahidin Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	132	p	4519-3	77	93	66	15d	—	—	+2	12.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Dual course winner (7f) who looks worth a try at this new trip and he's in the mix
8 (3)	Irish Flame Bay J:Jason Hart T:Michael Dods	J:Jason Hart T:Michael Dods	125	p	25340-	70	92	52	45d	—	—	+1	9.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Had an excuse back at 7f last time and has claims if he can bounce back near best
7 (6)	Trais Fluors b/br J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Linda Perratt	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Linda Perratt	127	—	215-40	72	92	82	6d	—	—	+2	6.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Made a winning stable debut over C&D in November but his form has gone the wrong way since
3 (9)	Bashful Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	135	tp	4618-6	80	89	67	9d	—	—	+5	8.5	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Won four times last year but he's been well held after slow starts in last two Flat runs
9 (2)	Showmedemoney Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Iain Jardine	J:Cam Hardie T:Iain Jardine	120	tp	3887-6	65	91	56	10d	—	—	+1	4.6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Out of sorts on Tapeta in last four runs and needs to rediscover his spark

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Star Zinc	5/2	5/2	5/2	9/4	9/4
Swiss Ace	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3
Dornoch Castle	9/2	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1
Hortzadar	7/1	7/1	6/1	13/2	13/2
Jahidin	15/2	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1
Irish Flame	11/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Trais Fluors	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Bashful	20/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Showmedemoney	22/1	28/1	22/1	25/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Star Zinc

OR: 5.8 Form: 5 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Swiss Ace

16.7

OR: 8 Form: 3 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Dornoch Castle

14.3

OR: 7.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Jahidin

12.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Hortzadar

10.1

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Irish Flame

9.9

OR: 5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Bashful

8.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

22/1

Trais Fluors

6.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Showmedemoney

4.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Swiss Ace	82	92	48
Dornoch Castle	81	88	—
Bashful	80	89	67
Hortzadar	78	94	58
Jahidin	77	93	66
Star Zinc	73	91	85
Trais Fluors	72	92	82
Irish Flame	70	92	52
Showmedemoney	65	91	56

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Swiss Ace	6d ago	Quick return
Trais Fluors	6d ago	Quick return
Bashful	9d ago	Quick return
Showmedemoney	10d ago	Quick return
Star Zinc	11d ago	Quick return
Hortzadar	11d ago	Quick return
Jahidin	15d ago	Fit
Irish Flame	45d ago	Fit
Dornoch Castle	218d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.