Remembering Bob Olney Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Newbury

2:35

Date 2024-01-23

Distance 2m6f93y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £6,337

Runners (14)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2	King's Threshold b J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	168	—	41-442	120	129	105	71d	—	—	+3	23.6	7/2 22%
Ran well (clear second) switched to fences at Kempton ten weeks ago; respected
12	Blairgowrie b J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	158	—	/4321/	110	-	-	662d	—	—	+17	35.2	7/2 22%
Won off this mark over hurdles here when last seen; chasing type; interesting
13	Invincible Nao gr J:Caoilin Quinn(3) T:Gary Moore	J:Caoilin Quinn(3) T:Gary Moore	158	h	33-463	110	124	88	54d	—	—	+6	18.6	11/2 15%
0-8 in Britain but ran encouragingly in small field at Lingfield most recently
10	Gazette Bourgeoise b J:Harry Bannister T:Ben Case	J:Harry Bannister T:Ben Case	162	tb	2355-2	114	128	126	42d	—	—	+13	24.1	8/1 11%
Went very close at Ffos Las six weeks ago; now 3lb higher in a deeper race
4	Off To A Flyer b J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	165	—	P1-047	117	122	82	28d	—	—	+10	19.3	10/1 9%
Point winner; drops in grade for this second chase attempt; not ruled out
1	Abuffalosoldier br J:James Bowen T:Warren Greatrex	J:James Bowen T:Warren Greatrex	168	p	6-7526	120	122	111	39d	—	—	+13	19.4	11/1 8%
Sole start at Newbury resulted in hurdle win off 1lb higher; interesting back here
7	Island Run b J:Micheal Nolan T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	J:Micheal Nolan T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	163	—	15-225	115	127	103	78d	—	—	+11	18.2	12/1 8%
Goes well fresh and has possibilities on return from 11-week break
9	Earth King b J:Harry Cobden T:Neil Mulholland	J:Harry Cobden T:Neil Mulholland	162	—	12-P53	114	128	113	28d	—	—	+11	18	12/1 8%
Bounced back to form at Wincanton on Boxing Day and could go well again
8	Ballydesmond b J:Jonathan Burke T:Jamie Snowden	J:Jonathan Burke T:Jamie Snowden	163	—	212-14	115	125	90	74d	—	—	+12	17.9	20/1 5%
Open to progress in handicaps and looks one to consider; second run for new yard
3	Trincomalee b J:Tom Cannon T:Lucy Wadham	J:Tom Cannon T:Lucy Wadham	165	p	/2152/	117	128	-	642d	—	—	+25	29.5	25/1 4%
Has to overcome 21-month absence and returns as a veteran (aged 11 now)
6	Gaelic Park br J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Charlie Longsdon	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Charlie Longsdon	165	p	25P1-5	117	119	91	28d	—	—	+14	17.7	25/1 4%
Soundly beaten at Wincanton on Boxing Day but should do better
5	Not At Present br J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	165	—	115/2-	117	125	-	543d	—	—	+20	22.5	33/1 3%
Absent since July 2022; on a favourable mark but goes without usual headgear
14	Baddesley b J:Freddie Gordon(5) T:Chris Gordon	J:Freddie Gordon(5) T:Chris Gordon	153	v	3-5136	105	124	85	16d	—	—	+14	16.4	50/1 2%
Modest effort returned to fences last time; more exposed than many
NR	Dream In The Park b J:Brian Hughes T:Emma Lavelle	J:Brian Hughes T:Emma Lavelle	159	—	117-5P	111	110	80	54d	—	—	—	15.3	—
Still has something to prove at this sort of distance; others preferred

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
King's Threshold	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3
Blairgowrie	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Invincible Nao	5/1	11/2	5/1	11/2	5/1
Gazette Bourgeoise	15/2	7/1	8/1	15/2	7/1
Off To A Flyer	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	8/1
Abuffalosoldier	10/1	10/1	11/1	11/1	10/1
Island Run	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Earth King	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Ballydesmond	16/1	14/1	20/1	14/1	12/1
Trincomalee	22/1	22/1	25/1	22/1	22/1
Gaelic Park	20/1	25/1	22/1	25/1	25/1
Not At Present	33/1	28/1	33/1	28/1	28/1
Baddesley	40/1	40/1	50/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Blairgowrie

35.2

OR: 15 Form: 15 Odds: 5.2

7/2

2nd

Trincomalee

29.5

OR: 16.8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1.2

25/1

3rd

Gazette Bourgeoise

24.1

OR: 16 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

8/1

King's Threshold

23.6

OR: 17.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.1

7/2

Not At Present

22.5

OR: 16.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Abuffalosoldier

19.4

OR: 17.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Off To A Flyer

19.3

OR: 16.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Invincible Nao

18.6

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Island Run

18.2

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Earth King

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 2

12/1

Ballydesmond

17.9

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Gaelic Park

17.7

OR: 16.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Baddesley

16.4

OR: 13.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Dream In The Park

15.3

OR: 15.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
King's Threshold Top Rated	120	129	105
Abuffalosoldier	120	122	111
Off To A Flyer	117	122	82
Trincomalee	117	128	—
Gaelic Park	117	119	91
Not At Present	117	125	—
Island Run	115	127	103
Ballydesmond	115	125	90
Gazette Bourgeoise	114	128	126
Earth King	114	128	113
Dream In The Park	111	110	80
Blairgowrie	110	—	—
Invincible Nao	110	124	88
Baddesley	105	124	85

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Baddesley	16d ago	Fit
Off To A Flyer	28d ago	Fit
Earth King	28d ago	Fit
Gaelic Park	28d ago	Fit
Abuffalosoldier	39d ago	Fit
Gazette Bourgeoise	42d ago	Fit
Invincible Nao	54d ago	Fresh
Dream In The Park	54d ago	Fresh
King's Threshold	71d ago	Fresh
Ballydesmond	74d ago	Fresh
Island Run	78d ago	Fresh
Not At Present	543d ago	Long break
Trincomalee	642d ago	Long break
Blairgowrie	662d ago	Long break