Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

6:00

Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-01-23

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (10)	Counsel ch J:Callum Shepherd T:Michael Appleby	J:Callum Shepherd T:Michael Appleby	138	t	0042-1	72	84	73	8d	—	—	-8	26.1	6/4 40%
Well backed and won decisively on last week's stable debut (7f, Polytrack); big chance
1 (4)	Surprise Picture b J:Billy Garritty T:Grant Tuer	J:Billy Garritty T:Grant Tuer	138	v	706-21	72	83	72	7d	—	—	-5	9.5	11/2 15%
Impressive over this trip at Wolverhampton last week; respected despite a 5lb penalty
12 (8)	Mr Squires ch J:Daniel Tudhope T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	130	—	0044-3	64	80	67	14d	—	—	-2	9.8	6/1 14%
Conditions to suit and he comes here in good form; other pace to contend with here though
8 (11)	Vondelpark b J:Joanna Mason T:Sara Ender	J:Joanna Mason T:Sara Ender	131	—	0324-6	65	82	67	18d	—	—	-2	5.9	11/1 8%
Two good runs here last month but lesser run from a wide draw latest; others appeal more
9 (5)	Autumn Angel b J:Molly Gunn(7) T:Tony Carroll	J:Molly Gunn(7) T:Tony Carroll	130	b	328-13	64	82	67	7d	—	—	-2	5.4	11/1 8%
C&D win this month but only 3rd behind Surprise Picture at Wolverhampton last week
4 (3)	Arika b J:Rowan Scott T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Rowan Scott T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	134	—	25/45-	68	79	50	32d	—	—	-1	6.6	12/1 8%
Unexposed 5yo; promise on last month's handicap debut and this could be run to suit
6 (6)	Dion Baker b J:Adam Farragher T:Michael Wigham	J:Adam Farragher T:Michael Wigham	133	p	743-27	67	82	71	7d	—	—	0	5.9	14/1 7%
Poor strike-rate; disappointed behind Surprise Picture last week; others look stronger
10 (9)	Homer Stokes b J:Mia Nicholls(7) T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Mia Nicholls(7) T:David & Nicola Barron	130	—	77117-	64	81	55	118d	—	—	+11	17.2	16/1 6%
Three-time C&D winner; still feasibly treated and his yard horses are in form; contender
5 (7)	San Isidro ch J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	133	h	90003-	67	83	52	32d	—	—	+3	8.9	16/1 6%
Smart in his youth; ran well after a wind op when 3rd over C&D last month
3 (2)	Grant Wood gr J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	134	—	4/783-	68	82	58	26d	—	—	+1	5.7	20/1 5%
More realistically treated now but he's 0-11 and this looks a tough race
7 (1)	Smalleytime ch J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Ben Haslam	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Ben Haslam	131	—	6009-0	65	70	68	12d	—	—	+3	4.1	150/1 1%
150-1 when tailed off over 1m here on recent stable debut; hood left off this time
NR (12)	Wilde And Dandy b J:Marco Ghiani T:Ivan Furtado	J:Marco Ghiani T:Ivan Furtado	130	—	71824-	64	80	63	32d	—	—	—	10	—
Blew the start last time and did well to finish fourth; drawn wide but not ruled out

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Counsel	11/8	6/4	6/4	6/4	6/4
Surprise Picture	11/2	11/2	9/2	11/2	11/2
Mr Squires	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Vondelpark	10/1	10/1	11/1	10/1	10/1
Autumn Angel	10/1	11/1	10/1	11/1	11/1
Arika	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Dion Baker	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Homer Stokes	14/1	12/1	16/1	11/1	12/1
San Isidro	16/1	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1
Grant Wood	20/1	18/1	16/1	18/1	18/1
Smalleytime	150/1	100/1	150/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Counsel

26.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 10 Odds: 10.6

6/4

2nd

Homer Stokes

17.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 12 Odds: 1.7

16/1

3rd

Wilde And Dandy

OR: 3.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0

—

Mr Squires

9.8

OR: 3.5 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Surprise Picture

9.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

San Isidro

8.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Arika

6.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Vondelpark

5.9

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Dion Baker

5.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Grant Wood

5.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Autumn Angel

5.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Smalleytime

4.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Counsel Top Rated	72	84	73
Surprise Picture	72	83	72
Arika	68	79	50
Grant Wood	68	82	58
Dion Baker	67	82	71
San Isidro	67	83	52
Vondelpark	65	82	67
Smalleytime	65	70	68
Mr Squires	64	80	67
Autumn Angel	64	82	67
Homer Stokes	64	81	55
Wilde And Dandy	64	80	63

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Surprise Picture	7d ago	Quick return
Autumn Angel	7d ago	Quick return
Dion Baker	7d ago	Quick return
Counsel	8d ago	Quick return
Smalleytime	12d ago	Quick return
Mr Squires	14d ago	Fit
Vondelpark	18d ago	Fit
Grant Wood	26d ago	Fit
Arika	32d ago	Fit
San Isidro	32d ago	Fit
Wilde And Dandy	32d ago	Fit
Homer Stokes	118d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Arika	Mid-Pack
Autumn Angel	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 12 runners classified.