BetMGM: Its Showtime Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Southwell (AW)

12:25

Date 2024-01-25

Distance 1m4f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,942

Runners (5)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (4)	Pagliacci ch J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	130	—	72-2	-	91	32	9d	—	—	-25	20	11/10 48%
Went close over 8.5f latest and bred to be suited by the much longer trip; leading claims
1 (5)	Lord Normandy b J:Daniel Tudhope T:Tom Clover	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Tom Clover	135	—	31-	75	80	24	42d	—	—	-1	26.8	9/4 31%
Winner of 1m2f Chelmsford novice last month but more needed under penalty in this field
3 (2)	Trojan Storm ch J:Rossa Ryan T:Ian Williams	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ian Williams	130	t	2	-	85	48	12d	—	—	-6	9.4	5/1 17%
Went close on 9.4f Wolver debut 12 days ago; sold from Ralph Beckett since; more to come
4 (1)	Dunstan b J:Kieran O'Neill T:Barry Brennan	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Barry Brennan	128	v	22922-	74	88	71	33d	—	—	+11	19.5	17/2 11%
Second four times, including yard debut latest, but others have more scope for progress
5 (3)	Alextrician b J:Callum Shepherd T:Stella Barclay	J:Callum Shepherd T:Stella Barclay	126	—	0-9	-	52	18	20d	—	—	-1	0.3	200/1 0%
Down the field on both starts and booked for another struggle

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Pagliacci	evn	10/11	10/11	11/10	10/11
Lord Normandy	9/4	2/1	15/8	2/1	2/1
Trojan Storm	9/2	9/2	5/1	5/1	9/2
Dunstan	8/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1
Alextrician	200/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lord Normandy

26.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 8.4

9/4

2nd

Pagliacci

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 15

11/10

3rd

Dunstan

19.5

OR: 6 Form: 11 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Trojan Storm

9.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Alextrician

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lord Normandy Top Rated	75	80	24
Dunstan	74	88	71
Pagliacci	—	91	32
Trojan Storm	—	85	48
Alextrician	—	52	18

Last Run