Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

20:30

Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap

Date 2024-01-27

Distance 1m7f218y

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (4)	Tamaris Brown J:Joe Bradnam(7) T:Joe Tizzard	J:Joe Bradnam(7) T:Joe Tizzard	136	t	5/732-	58	74	50	38d	—	—	-16	10	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Near miss in a 2m handicap at Lingfield last month; should give another good account
7 (2)	Baileys Warrior Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Deborah Faulkner	J:Rossa Ryan T:Deborah Faulkner	129	hp	882-42	51	69	64	7d	—	—	-12	5.5	1.25/1	5/1 17%
0-22 but banging at the door, behind a progressive sort on last three starts; solid claims
4 (8)	Chacha Dancer Grey J:Kieran Shoemark T:Gary Brown	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Gary Brown	134	t	007/1-	56	70	60	236d	—	—	+2	15.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Well backed when winning on stable debut (2m) last summer; yard in form; interesting
9 (1)	Blenheim Lad Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Camilla Poulton	J:Jack Mitchell T:Camilla Poulton	127	—	00500-	54	68	-	101d	—	—	-7	4.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Regressed in Ireland and sold cheaply in October; new trip/surface but has enough to prove
1 (10)	Socially Shady Chestnut J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Jim & Suzi Best	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Jim & Suzi Best	138	—	77633-	60	72	59	46d	—	—	-1	10.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Capable but he needs things to fall just right and can be opposed for win purposes again
3 (3)	Longuerue Chestnut J:David Probert T:Robert Eddery	J:David Probert T:Robert Eddery	135	—	3674-3	57	68	61	14d	—	—	-1	7.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
She has run OK in two runs since upped to 2m without suggesting a win was imminent
6 (9)	Zivaniya Chestnut J:Ross Coakley T:Hugo Palmer	J:Ross Coakley T:Hugo Palmer	132	b	65368-	59	71	66	52d	—	—	-2	5.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Pick of his Tapeta form gives him claims but ended 2023 quietly; new headgear; stamina ?
10 (7)	Gerrots Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Deborah Faulkner	J:Rowan Scott T:Deborah Faulkner	124	b	281-47	46	68	54	7d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Wolverhampton win last month (2m); not so good twice since; could prove vulnerable again
5 (5)	Bond Spirit Chestnut J:Robert Havlin T:Louise Allan	J:Robert Havlin T:Louise Allan	132	p	1790-4	54	68	34	16d	—	—	-2	2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Two 1m4f wins at Southwell last year; signs of a revival latest; stamina to prove
8 (6)	Triple Nickle Bay J:Jordan Williams(5) T:Bernard Llewellyn	J:Jordan Williams(5) T:Bernard Llewellyn	128	p	55/0-5	50	67	56	7d	—	—	-2	0.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Late headway from a poor position at Wolverhampton last week (behind Baileys Warrior)

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Tamaris	5/2	9/4	9/4	9/4	2/1
Baileys Warrior	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1
Chacha Dancer	5/1	11/2	5/1	11/2	11/2
Blenheim Lad	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	13/2
Socially Shady	15/2	15/2	6/1	15/2	7/1
Longuerue	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1
Zivaniya	9/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1
Gerrots	16/1	18/1	16/1	18/1	18/1
Bond Spirit	25/1	22/1	20/1	22/1	22/1
Triple Nickle	33/1	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Chacha Dancer

15.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 10 Odds: 4

11/2

2nd

Socially Shady

10.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 5.1 Odds: 3.3

15/2

3rd

Tamaris

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 8

5/2

Longuerue

7.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Zivaniya

5.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Baileys Warrior

5.5

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

5/1

Blenheim Lad

4.1

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Bond Spirit

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Gerrots

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Triple Nickle

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Socially Shady	60	72	59
Zivaniya	59	71	66
Tamaris	58	74	50
Longuerue	57	68	61
Chacha Dancer	56	70	60
Blenheim Lad	54	68	—
Bond Spirit	54	68	34
Baileys Warrior	51	69	64
Triple Nickle	50	67	56
Gerrots	46	68	54

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Baileys Warrior	7d ago	Quick return
Gerrots	7d ago	Quick return
Triple Nickle	7d ago	Quick return
Longuerue	14d ago	Fit
Bond Spirit	16d ago	Fit
Tamaris	38d ago	Fit
Socially Shady	46d ago	Fresh
Zivaniya	52d ago	Fresh
Blenheim Lad	101d ago	Long break
Chacha Dancer	236d ago	Long break