Early Bird For Easter Festival @Fairyhouse Handicap Chase

Fairyhouse

13:40

Date 2024-01-27

Distance 3m2f

Class

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize €6,490

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6	Where's Frankie Bay J:Danny Gilligan(5) T:Karl Thornton	J:Danny Gilligan(5) T:Karl Thornton	164	—	14/339	105	110	58	14d	—	—	-3	21	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Won three races in a row at this venue in 2022 including this race, worth considering
8	Pictures Of Home Bay J:Jack Kennedy T:T M Walsh	J:Jack Kennedy T:T M Walsh	161	—	0-U815	102	110	57	13d	—	—	+2	17.4	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Course hurdles winner, needs to jump better than on recent chase start, mark seems fair
7	Josh D'id Bay J:Simon Torrens T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Simon Torrens T:Gavin Cromwell	163	tp	09/U-4	104	112	31	41d	—	—	+1	18.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Tackles a new trip now and has a new headgear combination, premature to write off
1	Baldur's Gate Bay J:Rachael Blackmore T:Miss Denise Marie O'Shea	J:Rachael Blackmore T:Miss Denise Marie O'Shea	168	—	3-P132	109	116	75	21d	—	—	+6	21.3	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Holding his form well, second over 2m4f last time, this trip should be within his range
4	Backintheroom Bay J:Richard Deegan T:Paul Nolan	J:Richard Deegan T:Paul Nolan	164	—	U-468F	105	99	-	41d	—	—	+7	16.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Little of note in his form since a maiden hurdle win at Gowran on debut in March 2022
5	Low Mileage Bay J:Shane Fitzgerald T:J P Dempsey	J:Shane Fitzgerald T:J P Dempsey	164	—	57-P54	105	120	103	26d	—	—	+9	15.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Given an initial handicap mark of 120, down to 105 now and could be competitive
10	Eddies Pride Bay J:G B Noonan(5) T:Norman Lee	J:G B Noonan(5) T:Norman Lee	140	ht	27-630	81	115	-	29d	—	—	+3	9.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Only win from 33 races came in a 3m handicap chase at this venue in 2022, others preferred
2	Lizrona Bay J:Niall Moore(7) T:Eric Larkin	J:Niall Moore(7) T:Eric Larkin	167	—	-20756	108	111	99	41d	—	—	+12	17	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Questions to answer following four lesser displays since good Roscommon run last autumn
9	Finding Freedom Bay J:Sam Ewing T:John Joseph Hanlon	J:Sam Ewing T:John Joseph Hanlon	142	p	064P5P	83	115	64	41d	—	—	+6	9.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Point winner; weak form over hurdles, no encouragement from his form in beginners' chases
NR	It Could Be You Grey J:TBC T:Thomas Mullins	J: T:Thomas Mullins	166	tb	6F-0P7	107	108	-	14d	—	—	—	14.3	—	—
Poor strike rate, three moderate runs over hurdles this term, hard to make a case for him

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Where's Frankie	5/2	11/4	11/4	11/4	5/2
Pictures Of Home	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Josh D'id	9/2	7/2	4/1	4/1	4/1
Baldur's Gate	5/1	9/2	9/2	5/1	4/1
Backintheroom	7/1	15/2	7/1	15/2	15/2
Low Mileage	12/1	11/1	11/1	12/1	11/1
Eddies Pride	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Lizrona	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Finding Freedom	28/1	25/1	22/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Baldur's Gate

21.3

OR: 14.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4.4

5/1

2nd

Where's Frankie

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

11/4

3rd

Josh D'id

18.5

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Pictures Of Home

17.4

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

4/1

Lizrona

OR: 14.5 Form: 1 Odds: 1.5

16/1

Backintheroom

16.4

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Low Mileage

15.5

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

It Could Be You

14.3

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Eddies Pride

9.5

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Finding Freedom

9.1

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Baldur's Gate	109	116	75
Lizrona	108	111	99
It Could Be You	107	108	—
Where's Frankie	105	110	58
Backintheroom	105	99	—
Low Mileage	105	120	103
Josh D'id	104	112	31
Pictures Of Home	102	110	57
Finding Freedom	83	115	64
Eddies Pride	81	115	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Pictures Of Home	13d ago	Quick return
Where's Frankie	14d ago	Fit
It Could Be You	14d ago	Fit
Baldur's Gate	21d ago	Fit
Low Mileage	26d ago	Fit
Eddies Pride	29d ago	Fit
Josh D'id	41d ago	Fit
Backintheroom	41d ago	Fit
Lizrona	41d ago	Fit
Finding Freedom	41d ago	Fit