Limerick Novice Handicap Hurdle – Limerick

Limerick

15:45

Limerick Novice Handicap Hurdle

Date 2024-01-30

Distance 2m

Class

Going Heavy

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €6,490

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Mitiva Bay J:Charlie O'Dwyer(5) T:Liz Doyle	J:Charlie O'Dwyer(5) T:Liz Doyle	166	h	-04334	102	111	93	16d	—	—	0	23.9	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Running well but keen over further; dropping back in trip looks helpful; taken seriously
3	Mount Frisco Bay J:Philip Donovan(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Philip Donovan(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	164	—	945513	100	104	77	9d	0W/0P 1 run	—	+9	28.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
In fine form over fences; 10lb lower back to this discipline, so has to be considered
5	Caoimhes Pet Bay J:G B Noonan(5) T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	J:G B Noonan(5) T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	159	t	-13694	95	108	89	7d	—	—	+2	19.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Some decent runs in defeat lately and has a chance if repeating the best of those efforts
4	New Barn Lane Bay J:Richard Deegan T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	J:Richard Deegan T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	160	t	5-7230	96	108	72	5d	—	—	+2	15.5	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Two fine C&D runs but questions after finishing tailed-off at Gowran five days ago
6	Jay Pee M Bay J:Sam Ewing T:Daniel William O'Sullivan	J:Sam Ewing T:Daniel William O'Sullivan	157	—	6-0067	93	100	79	24d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+3	13.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Should fare better on handicap debut and worth a market look
7	In The Trenches Bay J:Conor Stone-Walsh(5) T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Conor Stone-Walsh(5) T:Gavin Cromwell	155	—	000	104	107	67	15d	—	—	+7	16	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Respected and interesting to see any market strength for handicap debut
1	Flidais Brown J:John Shinnick(7) T:John Patrick Ryan	J:John Shinnick(7) T:John Patrick Ryan	166	—	476624	102	108	67	71d	—	—	+12	18.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Well beaten in a Plumpton handicap when last seen and others make more appeal
NR	Astrophysicist Bay J:TBC T:J A Nash	J: T:J A Nash	153	tp	0-0000	89	106	33	18d	—	—	—	9.8	—	—
Has been in poor form in both codes recently and others are preferred

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Mitiva	11/4	5/2	5/2	11/4	9/4
Mount Frisco	3/1	10/3	3/1	10/3	3/1
Caoimhes Pet	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
New Barn Lane	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2	9/2
Jay Pee M	15/2	7/1	15/2	13/2	7/1
In The Trenches	8/1	17/2	17/2	8/1	9/1
Flidais	16/1	18/1	16/1	18/1	18/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mount Frisco

28.2

OR: 12.5 Form: 10 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

Mitiva

23.9

OR: 13 Form: 3.6 Odds: 7.3

11/4

3rd

Caoimhes Pet

19.2

OR: 11.3 Form: 2.9 Odds: 5

9/2

Flidais

18.1

OR: 13 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.6

18/1

In The Trenches

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

New Barn Lane

15.5

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Jay Pee M

13.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Astrophysicist

9.8

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
In The Trenches	104	107	67
Mitiva	102	111	93
Flidais	102	108	67
Mount Frisco	100	104	77
New Barn Lane	96	108	72
Caoimhes Pet	95	108	89
Jay Pee M	93	100	79
Astrophysicist	89	106	33

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
New Barn Lane	5d ago	Quick return
Caoimhes Pet	7d ago	Quick return
Mount Frisco	9d ago	Quick return
In The Trenches	15d ago	Fit
Mitiva	16d ago	Fit
Astrophysicist	18d ago	Fit
Jay Pee M	24d ago	Fit
Flidais	71d ago	Fresh