bet365 Scottish Champion Chase (For The Bowes-Lyon Trophy) Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Musselburgh

15:35

Date 2024-02-04

Distance 2m4f68y

Class Class 2

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £41,624

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Thunder Rock Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Olly Murphy	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Olly Murphy	158	p	362-1P	146	163	149	50d	—	—	+8	30.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Favourite in Cheltenham Grade 3 handicap but soon struggled with jumping; cheekpieces now
7	Outlaw Peter Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	147	t	19-1P2	135	161	139	40d	—	—	+6	27.9	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Second at Kempton (2m4f, good) on Boxing Day was his best show over fences; back up 3lb
5	Petit Tonnerre Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo O'Neill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo O'Neill	149	—	57-244	137	162	132	34d	—	—	+10	26.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Lots of useful form in defeat; first season chasing but he has to be in calculations
4	Corrigeen Rock Bay J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	151	—	61-142	139	163	138	34d	—	—	+14	25.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Ran on well into a good second of nine over C&D last time; more to offer at the trip
1	Tommy's Oscar Bay J:Danny McMenamin T:Ann Hamilton	J:Danny McMenamin T:Ann Hamilton	168	—	12-147	156	160	147	50d	—	—	+20	28.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Has a bit more to prove judged on his few appearances under rules over this sort of trip
6	Frero Banbou Bay J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	148	—	-3232P	136	162	141	14d	—	—	+21	29.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Running with great credit this season until an early mistake cost him two weeks ago
8	Arthur's Quay Bay J:Richie McLernon T:Ben Haslam	J:Richie McLernon T:Ben Haslam	144	t	2-9411	132	157	141	72d	—	—	+20	25.4	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Up another 4lb and in class but he's going great guns and is on a hat-trick
3	A Wave Of The Sea Bay J:Kevin Brogan T:Ben Haslam	J:Kevin Brogan T:Ben Haslam	154	—	4404PU	142	159	134	37d	—	—	+20	24.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Third run for new yard; on a 16-race losing sequence but a case can be made
NR	Magna Sam Bay J:Alex Edwards T:Alastair Ralph	J:Alex Edwards T:Alastair Ralph	142	—	P15-7P	130	156	109	1d	—	—	—	20	—	—
Won Edinburgh National last year but pulled up in the same race yesterday; 6lb wrong today

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Thunder Rock	3/1	3/1	10/3	11/4	11/4
Outlaw Peter	10/3	11/4	5/2	5/2	11/4
Petit Tonnerre	4/1	9/2	7/2	4/1	4/1
Corrigeen Rock	7/1	13/2	6/1	13/2	13/2
Tommy's Oscar	9/1	17/2	17/2	9/1	8/1
Frero Banbou	9/1	8/1	8/1	17/2	8/1
Arthur's Quay	22/1	20/1	14/1	20/1	20/1
A Wave Of The Sea	28/1	22/1	28/1	25/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Thunder Rock

30.7

OR: 24 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

10/3

2nd

Frero Banbou

29.6

OR: 21.5 Form: 5.6 Odds: 2.5

9/1

3rd

Tommy's Oscar

28.9

OR: 26.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Outlaw Peter

27.9

OR: 21.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

10/3

Petit Tonnerre

26.8

OR: 21.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Corrigeen Rock

25.6

OR: 22.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Arthur's Quay

25.4

OR: 20.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.4

22/1

A Wave Of The Sea

24.1

OR: 23 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Magna Sam

OR: 20 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tommy's Oscar	156	160	147
Thunder Rock	146	163	149
A Wave Of The Sea	142	159	134
Corrigeen Rock	139	163	138
Petit Tonnerre	137	162	132
Frero Banbou	136	162	141
Outlaw Peter	135	161	139
Arthur's Quay	132	157	141
Magna Sam	130	156	109

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Magna Sam	1d ago	Quick return
Frero Banbou	14d ago	Fit
Petit Tonnerre	34d ago	Fit
Corrigeen Rock	34d ago	Fit
A Wave Of The Sea	37d ago	Fit
Outlaw Peter	40d ago	Fit
Thunder Rock	50d ago	Fresh
Tommy's Oscar	50d ago	Fresh
Arthur's Quay	72d ago	Fresh