Find More Big Deals At BetUK Handicap (Div I) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

20:00

Find More Big Deals At BetUK Handicap (Div I)

Date 2024-02-04

Distance 5f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £7,851

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (3)	King Of The Jungle Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	133	—	8401-1	55	72	62	19d	—	—	-7	19.3	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Has won his last two over C&D and could quite plausibly have more improvement to come
3 (9)	Urban Dandy Chestnut J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	134	—	3-3264	56	71	63	8d	—	—	-9	8.6	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Consistent 4yo who is now 1lb below last winning mark; probably in the mix again
4 (12)	Enderman Bay J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	134	b	165-36	56	69	56	10d	—	—	-10	5.9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Placed over 6f here last month and this drop back to 5f is an interesting move
7 (6)	Mehmo Chestnut J:Jason Hart T:Michael Appleby	J:Jason Hart T:Michael Appleby	132	v	5033-2	54	69	57	10d	—	—	-2	9.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Kept on from the rear to go close at Southwell recently; has to take 3lb rise on the chin
2 (11)	Tilsworth Ony Ta Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:J R Jenkins	J:Lewis Edmunds T:J R Jenkins	135	—	4515-1	57	70	62	14d	—	—	+6	13.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Career-best effort when battling on well to score at Chelmsford last month; up 3lb
1 (2)	Henery Hawk Bay J:Tommie Jakes(7) T:Linda Perratt	J:Tommie Jakes(7) T:Linda Perratt	141	—	266-51	63	68	43	13d	—	—	-3	5.8	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Took form to whole new level with comfortable C&D win last month; hiked up 9lb for that
11 (5)	Sir Benedict Chestnut J:Shane Gray T:Stella Barclay	J:Shane Gray T:Stella Barclay	130	—	79-629	52	70	61	8d	—	—	-5	2.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Arrested decline with second in C&D classified last month; well beaten in that grade since
6 (7)	The Princes Poet Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Ian McInnes	J:Billy Garritty T:Ian McInnes	132	tb	865-56	54	68	48	17d	—	—	-3	2.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Unplaced all five stable starts; tried 7f last time; back to 5f in new headgear today
8 (1)	Amber Dew Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	131	tp	0077-1	53	68	59	17d	—	—	+8	11.6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Narrow 6f winner at Southwell last month but this race looks much more competitive
9 (10)	Mrs Trump Bay J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Paul Midgley	J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Paul Midgley	130	p	2497-0	52	68	35	28d	—	—	-2	1.3	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Back from break with low-key run last month; needs help from the first-time cheekpieces
10 (4)	One Last Hug Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	130	—	4641-8	52	69	54	20d	—	—	-1	1.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Kept on for narrow 6f Tapeta win in December but didn't fire last time; others preferred
NR (8)	Coley's Koko Bay J:Faye McManoman T:Stella Barclay	J:Faye McManoman T:Stella Barclay	124	—	06-760	46	68	54	2d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Without a win since 2021; well held in a 5f classified here on Friday

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
King Of The Jungle	9/4	2/1	9/4	85/40	2/1
Urban Dandy	9/2	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2
Enderman	9/2	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2
Mehmo	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1	7/1
Tilsworth Ony Ta	12/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	10/1
Henery Hawk	11/1	9/1	8/1	17/2	8/1
Sir Benedict	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
The Princes Poet	14/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Amber Dew	25/1	28/1	22/1	22/1	25/1
Mrs Trump	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	28/1
One Last Hug	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

King Of The Jungle

19.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 10 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Tilsworth Ony Ta

13.9

OR: 1.8 Form: 10 Odds: 2.1

12/1

3rd

Amber Dew

11.6

OR: 0.8 Form: 10 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Mehmo

9.1

OR: 1 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Urban Dandy

8.6

OR: 1.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5

5/1

Enderman

5.9

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Henery Hawk

5.8

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

11/1

The Princes Poet

2.6

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Sir Benedict

2.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Mrs Trump

1.3

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

One Last Hug

1.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Coley's Koko

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Henery Hawk	63	68	43
Tilsworth Ony Ta	57	70	62
Urban Dandy	56	71	63
Enderman	56	69	56
King Of The Jungle	55	72	62
Mehmo	54	69	57
The Princes Poet	54	68	48
Amber Dew	53	68	59
Sir Benedict	52	70	61
Mrs Trump	52	68	35
One Last Hug	52	69	54
Coley's Koko	46	68	54

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Coley's Koko	2d ago	Quick return
Urban Dandy	8d ago	Quick return
Sir Benedict	8d ago	Quick return
Enderman	10d ago	Quick return
Mehmo	10d ago	Quick return
Henery Hawk	13d ago	Quick return
Tilsworth Ony Ta	14d ago	Fit
The Princes Poet	17d ago	Fit
Amber Dew	17d ago	Fit
King Of The Jungle	19d ago	Fit
One Last Hug	20d ago	Fit
Mrs Trump	28d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.