BetUK. Home Of The Acca-Fenwa Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:00

BetUK. Home Of The Acca-Fenwa Handicap

Date 2024-02-04

Distance 5f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £13,870

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (3)	Castan Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	134	—	78127-	77	92	82	54d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+4	19.7	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Had 54 days off but likely contender if on his game at a venue he likes
7 (2)	Moon Flight Bay J:Tommie Jakes(7) T:Linda Perratt	J:Tommie Jakes(7) T:Linda Perratt	132	—	221-22	75	93	82	16d	—	—	-6	11.3	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Winner for Sir Mark Prescott and it's been a very solid start for this yard
6 (11)	Nelson Gay Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Michael Dods	J:Billy Loughnane T:Michael Dods	132	p	7623-4	75	92	80	16d	—	—	-2	9.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Course winner in fair form at the minute and should have a fighting chance
1 (4)	Khabib b/br J:Tom Eaves T:Ray Craggs	J:Tom Eaves T:Ray Craggs	135	p	24143-	78	92	80	44d	—	—	+9	18.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
C&D winner in the past and hasn't been far away in any of his last five races
5 (8)	Jenever Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	133	—	21130-	76	92	76	54d	—	—	+10	20.5	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Progressive last year and it was a rare blip at Southwell two months ago
8 (12)	Quandary Chestnut J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	132	—	516-62	75	92	63	12d	—	—	0	8.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Probably ran her best race yet when going down narrowly at Southwell 12 days ago
2 (6)	Juicy Bay J:Jason Hart T:Richard Spencer	J:Jason Hart T:Richard Spencer	135	—	1-2	78	90	72	22d	—	—	+12	21.7	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Made all on debut and not disgraced with a penalty; open to improvement
4 (7)	Pockley Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Linda Perratt	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Linda Perratt	134	—	1555-5	77	92	79	28d	—	—	-1	9.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Fair run last time at Wolverhampton; prefers it here with the stiffer finish in his favour
12 (5)	Dark Kestrel Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	129	t	807-32	72	94	80	8d	1W/1P 1 run	1W/1P 1 run	0	7.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Has gone close the last twice despite slow starts; could do with kicking that habit
9 (10)	Rodborough Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Alan Brown	J:Rowan Scott T:Alan Brown	130	p	95-215	73	90	78	16d	—	—	+2	7.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Three wins at Southwell; fair effort here last time but now 0-5 at this track
11 (9)	Majeski Man Chestnut J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	130	—	9022-9	73	93	58	16d	—	—	+4	6.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Back from a break and wind surgery he was weak in the market and finished last here
NR (1)	Night On Earth Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Ian Williams	J:Clifford Lee T:Ian Williams	130	ht	49-421	73	91	81	11d	—	—	—	5.8	—	—
Made all at Lingfield but those tactics will be harder to carry out here

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Castan	5/1	5/1	5/1
Moon Flight	5/1	9/2	9/2
Nelson Gay	13/2	13/2	13/2
Khabib	15/2	7/1	7/1
Jenever	7/1	7/1	7/1
Quandary	8/1	8/1	8/1
Juicy	9/1	9/1	9/1
Pockley	8/1	8/1	8/1
Dark Kestrel	12/1	10/1	10/1
Rodborough	14/1	14/1	14/1
Majeski Man	33/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Juicy

21.7

OR: 7 Form: 12 Odds: 2.7

9/1

2nd

Jenever

20.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 11.1 Odds: 2.9

7/1

3rd

Castan

19.7

OR: 6.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Khabib

18.7

OR: 7 Form: 9 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Moon Flight

11.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

5/1

Pockley

9.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Nelson Gay

9.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Quandary

8.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Dark Kestrel

7.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Rodborough

7.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Majeski Man

6.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Night On Earth

5.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Khabib	78	92	80
Juicy	78	90	72
Castan	77	92	82
Pockley	77	92	79
Jenever	76	92	76
Moon Flight	75	93	82
Nelson Gay	75	92	80
Quandary	75	92	63
Rodborough	73	90	78
Majeski Man	73	93	58
Night On Earth	73	91	81
Dark Kestrel	72	94	80

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dark Kestrel	8d ago	Quick return
Night On Earth	11d ago	Quick return
Quandary	12d ago	Quick return
Moon Flight	16d ago	Fit
Nelson Gay	16d ago	Fit
Rodborough	16d ago	Fit
Majeski Man	16d ago	Fit
Juicy	22d ago	Fit
Pockley	28d ago	Fit
Khabib	44d ago	Fit
Castan	54d ago	Fresh
Jenever	54d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.