BetMGM: It's Showtime Classified Stakes – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

14:15

BetMGM: It's Showtime Classified Stakes

Date 2024-02-05

Distance 7f1y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,548

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (3)	Neptune Legend Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Tony Carroll	J:Hollie Doyle T:Tony Carroll	128	tb	468-35	49	70	64	21d	—	—	-18	8	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Had a wide trip at Wolverhampton last month and has claims if things go more to plan here
12 (10)	Time Patrol Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	128	h	5738-2	48	67	54	26d	—	—	-12	12.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Close second at Kempton latest and he should get a decent two into this race; shortlisted
4 (11)	Hold The Press Bay J:Clifford Lee T:J R Jenkins	J:Clifford Lee T:J R Jenkins	128	—	7102-2	50	67	56	22d	—	—	-4	8.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Returned from a short break with a near-miss behind Ajrad over C&D last month; respected
1 (1)	Ajrad Chestnut J:Adam Farragher T:Michael Attwater	J:Adam Farragher T:Michael Attwater	128	p	6670-1	50	67	52	22d	—	—	+4	12.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Ended a lengthy losing run when landing a C&D handicap last month; respected
6 (6)	Mc's Wag Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Joseph Parr	J:Dylan Hogan T:Joseph Parr	128	—	5263-4	47	66	48	21d	—	—	-9	3.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
In-form 4yo who looks worth another try at this trip and she's in the mix
10 (7)	Repartee Brown J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Lee Carter	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Lee Carter	128	v	4786-8	50	64	48	12d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Very useful in his prime but last win was in 2020 and has been well held in last six runs
8 (5)	Pontius Bay J:William Cox T:Charles Hills	J:William Cox T:Charles Hills	128	—	3/29-0	48	65	58	34d	—	—	-4	3.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Good second at Chelmsford on comeback but he's been disappointing since and is now 0-11
9 (12)	Rebel Redemption Grey J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	128	tp	852-47	45	64	42	16d	—	—	-3	1.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
All wins have been at 6f and he's faded over this trip in last two starts; down the list
2 (9)	Button Bay Bay J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Jack Jones	J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Jack Jones	128	p	878-9	45	55	35	27d	—	—	-1	0.4	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Well held after slow starts in all four runs and she needs a transformation; headgear on
3 (8)	Gintini Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Laura Mongan	J:Kevin Stott T:Laura Mongan	128	b	7400-9	41	56	35	14d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Regressive 13-race maiden who has beat only one rival in her last three runs; passed over
11 (2)	Ricardo Ofworthing Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Simon Dow	J:Callum Shepherd T:Simon Dow	128	h	06-950	38	52	31	14d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
14-race maiden who has poor claims on most of his form; others preferred
5 (4)	Legal Mind Chestnut J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Emma Owen	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Emma Owen	128	b	/8/00/	40	52	-	1240d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
16-race maiden who returns after a massive absence and can only be watched; new headgear

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Neptune Legend	9/4	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1
Time Patrol	11/4	11/4	11/4	5/2	11/4
Hold The Press	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Ajrad	8/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1
Mc's Wag	13/2	8/1	8/1	8/1	5/1
Repartee	8/1	9/1	10/1	9/1	9/1
Pontius	12/1	11/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Rebel Redemption	16/1	18/1	20/1	18/1	18/1
Button Bay	66/1	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Gintini	150/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
Ricardo Ofworthing	150/1	125/1	150/1	125/1	150/1
Legal Mind	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ajrad

12.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 2.4

17/2

2nd

Time Patrol

12.3

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 7.3

11/4

3rd

Hold The Press

8.6

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Neptune Legend

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8

9/4

Mc's Wag

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

8/1

Pontius

3.4

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Repartee

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Rebel Redemption

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Button Bay

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Gintini

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Ricardo Ofworthing

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Legal Mind

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hold The Press	50	67	56
Ajrad	50	67	52
Repartee	50	64	48
Neptune Legend	49	70	64
Time Patrol	48	67	54
Pontius	48	65	58
Mc's Wag	47	66	48
Rebel Redemption	45	64	42
Button Bay	45	55	35
Gintini	41	56	35
Legal Mind	40	52	—
Ricardo Ofworthing	38	52	31

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Repartee	12d ago	Quick return
Gintini	14d ago	Fit
Ricardo Ofworthing	14d ago	Fit
Rebel Redemption	16d ago	Fit
Neptune Legend	21d ago	Fit
Mc's Wag	21d ago	Fit
Hold The Press	22d ago	Fit
Ajrad	22d ago	Fit
Time Patrol	26d ago	Fit
Button Bay	27d ago	Fit
Pontius	34d ago	Fit
Legal Mind	1240d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 7f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.