Bet. It's Where The UK Bets Novice Stakes – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

14:45

Bet. It's Where The UK Bets Novice Stakes

Date 2024-02-05

Distance 1m4f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £6,156

Winning Time 2m 32.06s (slow by 4.26s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Caustic (GB) David Probert · Owen Burrows	11/8F	Won
2nd	Eleanor Cross (GB) Oisin Murphy · Andrew Balding	7/4	0.05
3rd	Lartigue (USA) Clifford Lee · K R Burke	7/2	2
4th	Birthday Angel (IRE) Kevin Stott · Archie Watson	8/1	1.75
5th	Spitfire Bridge (GB) Trevor Whelan · Sheena West	150/1	5
6th	Ridge Hill (GB) Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	66/1	11
7th	Red Circle (FR) Kieran O'Neill · Scott Dixon	150/1	99

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (7)	Caustic Bay J:David Probert T:Owen Burrows	J:David Probert T:Owen Burrows	131	t	3-	-	85	63	49d	—	—	-25	16.3	—	—
Fair NHF form; did well to finish third (slow start) on Wolverhampton Flat debut; chance.
7 (6)	Eleanor Cross Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	126	—	2/43-6	73	89	57	16d	—	—	-7	14.9	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Placed in a similar novice (1m2f) here in December; in deep for h'cap debut since; player.
5 (5)	Lartigue Chestnut J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	131	—	2-3	-	83	52	26d	—	—	-5	10.9	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Beaten favourite at Kempton; should be bang there if replicating Wolverhampton debut form.
3 (4)	Birthday Angel Grey J:Kevin Stott T:Archie Watson	J:Kevin Stott T:Archie Watson	131	—	4-2	-	81	34	26d	—	—	-1	7.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Promise on both starts, incl when runner-up at Kempton (1m3f); stablemate of Ridge Hill.
2 (1)	Ridge Hill Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	133	—	0-	-	33	-	95d	—	—	-1	0.4	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Hasn't kicked on since promising Worcester debut third (2m, NHF); made low-key Flat debut.
1 (2)	Red Circle Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Won over fences in France (2m4f); faces stiff task on Flat & stable debut; look elsewhere.
6 (3)	Spitfire Bridge Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Sheena West	J:Trevor Whelan T:Sheena West	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Failed to shine in NHF (0-3; & work to do with Caustic); Flat switch; others more obvious.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Caustic	evn	evn	evn	evn	evn
Eleanor Cross	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Lartigue	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Birthday Angel	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Ridge Hill	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Red Circle	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1
Spitfire Bridge	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Caustic

16.3

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 13.3

—

2nd

Eleanor Cross

14.9

OR: 5.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 6.7

5/2

3rd

Lartigue

10.9

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 4.4

4/1

Birthday Angel

7.2

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Ridge Hill

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Red Circle

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Spitfire Bridge

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Eleanor Cross	73	89	57
Caustic	—	85	63
Lartigue	—	83	52
Birthday Angel	—	81	34
Ridge Hill	—	33	—
Red Circle	—	—	—
Spitfire Bridge	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Eleanor Cross	16d ago	Fit
Lartigue	26d ago	Fit
Birthday Angel	26d ago	Fit
Caustic	49d ago	Fresh
Ridge Hill	95d ago	Long break
Red Circle	—	—
Spitfire Bridge	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m4f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.