Build Your Acca With BetUK Novice Stakes – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:15

Build Your Acca With BetUK Novice Stakes

Date 2024-02-10

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,967

Winning Time 1m 14.22s (slow by 3.82s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Jungle Charm (GB) Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	5/6F	Won
2nd	Ribal (GB) Marco Ghiani · Stuart Williams	5/2	0.1
3rd	Calder Valley (IRE) Ryan Sexton · Julie Camacho	10/1	3
4th	Nights Over Egypt (IRE) Ben Robinson · Rebecca Menzies	20/1	1
5th	Willow Baby (IRE) Gianluca Sanna · Jason Ward	13/2	0.2

Runners (5)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (3)	Jungle Charm Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	128	—	4-	-	89	-	250d	—	—	-34	17.9	0.17/1	4/6 60%
Half-sister to winners for her yard; duly showed promise at Windsor last June; respected
3 (4)	Ribal Grey J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	133	t	26237-	79	88	-	166d	—	—	-3	19.5	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Ex-Andrew Balding; has something to prove dropped sharply in trip but brings the best form
1 (5)	Calder Valley Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	133	—	0/	-	61	-	583d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Never dangerous in 6f maiden at Doncaster in July 2022; gelded since; check the betting
5 (1)	Willow Baby Bay J:Gianluca Sanna(5) T:Jason Ward	J:Gianluca Sanna(5) T:Jason Ward	128	—	220-43	57	77	62	16d	—	—	-4	4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Faces a difficult task at the weights but is a solid type; record here reads 2243
2 (2)	Nights Over Egypt Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Ben Robinson T:Rebecca Menzies	133	—	7987-3	66	73	18	37d	—	—	+4	8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Nine-race maiden; drops in distance on third run for shrewd new connections; may improve

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Jungle Charm	8/13	8/13	4/6	8/13	8/13
Ribal	3/1	11/4	5/2	5/2	5/2
Calder Valley	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	8/1
Willow Baby	11/1	10/1	12/1	11/1	10/1
Nights Over Egypt	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ribal

19.5

OR: 7.3 Form: 5.6 Odds: 6.7

3/1

2nd

Jungle Charm

17.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 17.9

4/6

3rd

Nights Over Egypt

OR: 4 Form: 3 Odds: 1

25/1

Willow Baby

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Calder Valley

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ribal	79	88	—
Nights Over Egypt	66	73	18
Willow Baby	57	77	62
Jungle Charm	—	89	—
Calder Valley	—	61	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Willow Baby	16d ago	Fit
Nights Over Egypt	37d ago	Fit
Ribal	166d ago	Long break
Jungle Charm	250d ago	Long break
Calder Valley	583d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.