Navan Ford & Opel Maiden Hurdle – Navan

Navan

13:45

Navan Ford & Opel Maiden Hurdle

Date 2024-02-11

Distance 1m7f150y

Class

Going Soft To Heavy

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize €7,375

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Ascending Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Henry De Bromhead	166	—	245-33	133	137	107	47d	—	—	-11	37	0.21/1	5/6 55%
Maintaining a decent level of form and sure to be thereabouts again
5	Gaucher Chestnut J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	166	ht	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-19	8.4	0.56/1	9/4 31%
French flat winner has Supreme Novices' entry so obvious respect from top yard
7	Helvic Dream Bay J:Sam Ewing T:Noel Meade	J:Sam Ewing T:Noel Meade	166	—	55	-	118	78	47d	—	—	-9	3.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Smart flat performer hasn't quite stayed in two maiden hurdle runs; more needed
4	Claude Du Val Bay J:Mr Finian Maguire T:Barry Connell	J:Mr Finian Maguire T:Barry Connell	166	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
54,000euros half-brother to winning hurdler; market best guide on debut
1	Angostura Bay J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	166	—	6-3	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	4.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Placed in Boulta 4yo maiden point-in December (heavy); rules debut for top yard now
13	Karacole Bay J:J J Slevin T:James M Barcoe	J:J J Slevin T:James M Barcoe	159	—	7P04F	-	105	52	6d	—	—	-1	0.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Standout effort hurdling when fourth at Punchestown; first-flight faller at Leopardstown
14	Lazy Bones Bay J:Carl Millar(7) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Carl Millar(7) T:Gordon Elliott	159	—	4	-	-	-	47d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Encouraging enough Down Royal debut; much more expected of here
3	Barton Snow Bay J:Miss M M McElligott(7) T:William P Murphy	J:Miss M M McElligott(7) T:William P Murphy	166	h	283656	-	97	5	45d	—	—	0	1.2	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Didn't run badly in Galway maiden two starts back; of more interest in handicaps
8	Hypersonic Missile Bay J:Alix Balfe(7) T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Alix Balfe(7) T:Gavin Cromwell	166	—	1-5215	-	88	36	13d	—	—	+5	7.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Bumper form on better ground and struggled on heavy at Leopardstown recently
11	Borora River Bay J:E Walsh T:Patrick Magee	J:E Walsh T:Patrick Magee	159	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Half-sister to 2m4f hurdle winner Cornakill Rose; newcomer likely best watched
6	Harveys Point Bay J:Brian Hayes T:C A Murphy	J:Brian Hayes T:C A Murphy	166	—	2-89	-	66	21	28d	—	—	+3	3.7	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Two low-key maiden hurdles runs this term and likely to be of more interest in handicaps
9	Mister Vic Bay J:Jody McGarvey T:Noel C Kelly	J:Jody McGarvey T:Noel C Kelly	166	t	79-368	-	83	61	47d	—	—	-1	0.3	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Lots to find on recent hurdles debut and may want better ground
10	Not My Problem Brown J:Simon Torrens T:Ross O'Sullivan	J:Simon Torrens T:Ross O'Sullivan	166	—	—	-	79	29	59d	—	—	-1	0.3	50.00/1	200/1 0%
No show on debut in 2m3f Naas maiden in December, likely to need more time
12	Crimlin Rose Bay J:Phillip Enright T:Mark Michael McNiff	J:Phillip Enright T:Mark Michael McNiff	159	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Debutante likely all the better for the experience

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Ascending	5/6	4/5	4/5
Gaucher	9/4	2/1	2/1
Helvic Dream	6/1	13/2	6/1
Claude Du Val	8/1	9/1	17/2
Angostura	16/1	16/1	14/1
Karacole	40/1	50/1	50/1
Lazy Bones	40/1	66/1	66/1
Barton Snow	66/1	66/1	66/1
Hypersonic Missile	66/1	66/1	66/1
Borora River	80/1	100/1	100/1
Harveys Point	200/1	150/1	150/1
Mister Vic	200/1	200/1	200/1
Not My Problem	100/1	200/1	200/1
Crimlin Rose	200/1	200/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ascending

OR: 20.8 Form: 0 Odds: 16.3

5/6

2nd

Gaucher

8.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

9/4

3rd

Hypersonic Missile

7.6

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Angostura

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Harveys Point

3.7

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Helvic Dream

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Claude Du Val

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

9/1

Barton Snow

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Borora River

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

100/1

Karacole

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Lazy Bones

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Mister Vic

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200/1

Not My Problem

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200/1

Crimlin Rose

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ascending	133	137	107
Gaucher	—	—	—
Helvic Dream	—	118	78
Claude Du Val	—	—	—
Angostura	—	—	—
Karacole	—	105	52
Lazy Bones	—	—	—
Barton Snow	—	97	5
Hypersonic Missile	—	88	36
Borora River	—	—	—
Harveys Point	—	66	21
Mister Vic	—	83	61
Not My Problem	—	79	29
Crimlin Rose	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Karacole	6d ago	Quick return
Hypersonic Missile	13d ago	Quick return
Harveys Point	28d ago	Fit
Barton Snow	45d ago	Fit
Ascending	47d ago	Fresh
Helvic Dream	47d ago	Fresh
Lazy Bones	47d ago	Fresh
Mister Vic	47d ago	Fresh
Not My Problem	59d ago	Fresh
Gaucher	—	—
Claude Du Val	—	—
Angostura	—	—
Borora River	—	—
Crimlin Rose	—	—