Virgin Bet Conditional Jockeys' Mares' Handicap Hurdle (Go North Lady Buttons Series Qualifier)

Ayr

13:45

Date 2024-02-13

Distance 2m4f100y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,697

Runners (9)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7	Joie De Vivre Grey J:William Maggs(3) T:Martin Todhunter	J:William Maggs(3) T:Martin Todhunter	153	—	5-9531	85	105	77	96d	—	—	-4	14	10/3 23%
Won off much-reduced mark at Sedgefield in November and can handle a 3lb rise
4	Fiveafterfour Bay J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	160	t	1-843	92	97	69	30d	—	—	+4	23.2	3/1 25%
Displayed clear promise in last two qualifying runs; high on the list on handicap debut
2	Spice Diva Bay J:Peter Kavanagh T:S R B Crawford	J:Peter Kavanagh T:S R B Crawford	167	t	535U24	99	93	66	33d	—	—	+5	20	4/1 20%
0-6 over hurdles but was creditable second in 20-runner Punchestown handicap in December
3	Carrigeen Kali Bay J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	165	—	45-44P	97	95	37	30d	—	—	+3	15.4	5/1 17%
Ran no race last time but wasn't beaten far when fourth in first two hurdles
6	Moroccan Moon Bay J:Tom Midgley T:Gillian Boanas	J:Tom Midgley T:Gillian Boanas	156	—	8-U893	88	99	59	11d	—	—	+2	12.4	13/2 13%
Beaten under 2l when third of six on recent handicap debut; a possible off same mark here
1	Wild Polly Chestnut J:Ciaran O'Shea(7) T:Rose Dobbin	J:Ciaran O'Shea(7) T:Rose Dobbin	168	—	64PB-7	100	99	54	38d	—	—	+8	14.2	11/1 8%
Left behind when pace lifted on last month's reappearance; tricky to weigh up at present
9	Vive De Charnie Bay J:Alan Doyle T:Lucinda Russell	J:Alan Doyle T:Lucinda Russell	147	t	42/940	79	90	-	38d	—	—	+5	8.2	20/1 5%
Second in a bumper two years ago but has struggled over hurdles this season
NR	Donso Star Chestnut J:TBC T:R Mike Smith	J: T:R Mike Smith	156	—	35-696	88	100	89	38d	—	—	—	9.5	—
Safely held in first three handicaps; needs to find improvement from somewhere
NR	Turbulent Power Bay J:TBC T:Philip Kirby	J: T:Philip Kirby	150	—	4F6-65	82	100	64	30d	—	—	—	8	—
Unable to justify prominence in betting when beaten about 20l on first two stable starts

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Joie De Vivre	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Fiveafterfour	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Spice Diva	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Carrigeen Kali	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Moroccan Moon	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Wild Polly	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Vive De Charnie	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Fiveafterfour

23.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 7 Odds: 5.7

3/1

2nd

Spice Diva

OR: 12.3 Form: 3.4 Odds: 4.4

4/1

3rd

Carrigeen Kali

15.4

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Wild Polly

14.2

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Joie De Vivre

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

10/3

Moroccan Moon

12.4

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Donso Star

9.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Vive De Charnie

8.2

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

Turbulent Power

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Wild Polly	100	99	54
Spice Diva	99	93	66
Carrigeen Kali	97	95	37
Fiveafterfour	92	97	69
Moroccan Moon	88	99	59
Donso Star	88	100	89
Joie De Vivre	85	105	77
Turbulent Power	82	100	64
Vive De Charnie	79	90	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Moroccan Moon	11d ago	Quick return
Fiveafterfour	30d ago	Fit
Carrigeen Kali	30d ago	Fit
Turbulent Power	30d ago	Fit
Spice Diva	33d ago	Fit
Wild Polly	38d ago	Fit
Vive De Charnie	38d ago	Fit
Donso Star	38d ago	Fit
Joie De Vivre	96d ago	Long break