Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

Newcastle (AW)

17:30

Date 2024-02-13

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £6,156

Winning Time 1m 26.74s (slow by 2.94s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Quiet Resolve (IRE) Jack Garritty · Richard Fahey	5/1	Won
2nd	My Cloud (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian	4/9F	0.3
3rd	Welcome Dream (IRE) Robert Havlin · Kevin Ryan	9/4	4
4th	Mayo County (GB) Cam Hardie · Julie Camacho	66/1	3
5th	Diligent Henry (GB) Lewis Edmunds · Jessica Macey	250/1	8
6th	Notion In Motion (GB) Jason Hart · John & Sean Quinn	66/1	5
7th	Nobodys Girl (GB) Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	250/1	1
8th	Ideal Dragon (GB) Sean Kirrane · John Davies	250/1	1.25
9th	Court Of Roseann (IRE) Tom Kiely-Marshall · Julie Camacho	250/1	0.05
10th	Coramento (GB) Tom Eaves · Ray Craggs	150/1	.75
11th	Manhattan Sunday (GB) Ryan Sexton · Julie Camacho	125/1	2.5
12th	Diamond Annie (GB) Hollie Doyle · Dominic Ffrench Davis	50/1	0.3

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (2)	My Cloud Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-38	20	0.11/1	4/9 69%
325,000euros 2yo; half-brother to five winners, notably top-class Palace Pier; interesting
8 (10)	Welcome Dream Chestnut J:Robert Havlin T:Kevin Ryan	J:Robert Havlin T:Kevin Ryan	133	—	3623-	81	85	46	88d	—	—	-2	22.4	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Each of his four 2yo runs produced an RPR higher than his rivals have achieved; solid
7 (6)	Quiet Resolve Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	133	—	3-3	-	81	56	17d	—	—	-4	8.7	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Two promising runs over 6f this winter; 7f should suit; more appealing than most
6 (12)	Notion In Motion Bay J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	133	—	66	-	65	23	3d	—	—	-1	0.3	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Whiff of promise in two runs this month; one for handicaps after today
11 (11)	Mayo County Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Julie Camacho	J:Cam Hardie T:Julie Camacho	128	—	77	-	72	58	17d	—	—	-1	0.3	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Seventh in two runs last month, showing some promise; more appealing than some for a place
10 (1)	Diamond Annie Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Hollie Doyle T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	128	—	0-	-	35	15	139d	—	—	-1	0.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Last of ten in a 6f novice in one run for T Ward last season (33-1); enough to prove
4 (5)	Manhattan Sunday Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	133	—	0-	-	9	-	66d	—	—	0	0.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Always behind when last of ten on debut here (6f) last month; only 6-1 that day though
1 (8)	Coramento Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Ray Craggs	J:Tom Eaves T:Ray Craggs	133	—	8-0	-	51	-	9d	—	—	0	0.1	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Huge prices and he's finished down the field in two novice runs this winter
2 (4)	Diligent Henry Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	133	—	8	-	28	-	38d	—	—	0	0.1	50.00/1	200/1 0%
33-1 and always behind when a remote last of eight on his Southwell debut last month (6f)
3 (7)	Ideal Dragon Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:John Davies	J:Sean Kirrane T:John Davies	133	—	89	-	54	-	9d	—	—	0	0.1	50.00/1	200/1 0%
He hasn't shown enough in two course runs this year to think he is the answer
9 (3)	Court Of Roseann Bay J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(7) T:Julie Camacho	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(7) T:Julie Camacho	128	h	00	-	53	-	17d	—	—	0	0.1	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Poor form in two 6f runs last month; hard to recommend
12 (9)	Nobodys Girl Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	128	—	00	-	47	16	17d	—	—	0	0.1	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Poor form in two 6f novice events last month; hard to fancy

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
My Cloud	4/9	4/9	4/9	4/9	4/9
Welcome Dream	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Quiet Resolve	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Notion In Motion	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Mayo County	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Diamond Annie	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Manhattan Sunday	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1
Coramento	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1
Diligent Henry	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1
Ideal Dragon	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1
Court Of Roseann	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1
Nobodys Girl	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Welcome Dream

22.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 7.4 Odds: 7.3

9/4

2nd

My Cloud

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 20

4/9

3rd

Quiet Resolve

8.7

OR: 0 Form: 5.1 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Diamond Annie

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Notion In Motion

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Mayo County

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Manhattan Sunday

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Coramento

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

150/1

Diligent Henry

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

200/1

Ideal Dragon

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

200/1

Court Of Roseann

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

200/1

Nobodys Girl

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Welcome Dream	81	85	46
My Cloud	—	—	—
Quiet Resolve	—	81	56
Notion In Motion	—	65	23
Mayo County	—	72	58
Diamond Annie	—	35	15
Manhattan Sunday	—	9	—
Coramento	—	51	—
Diligent Henry	—	28	—
Ideal Dragon	—	54	—
Court Of Roseann	—	53	—
Nobodys Girl	—	47	16

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Notion In Motion	3d ago	Quick return
Coramento	9d ago	Quick return
Ideal Dragon	9d ago	Quick return
Quiet Resolve	17d ago	Fit
Mayo County	17d ago	Fit
Court Of Roseann	17d ago	Fit
Nobodys Girl	17d ago	Fit
Diligent Henry	38d ago	Fit
Manhattan Sunday	66d ago	Fresh
Welcome Dream	88d ago	Fresh
Diamond Annie	139d ago	Long break
My Cloud	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.