Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Apprentice Handicap

Newcastle (AW)

16:58

Date 2024-02-13

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,234

Winning Time 1m 28.24s (slow by 4.44s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Pallas Lord (IRE) Archie Young · Donald Whillans	5/2J	Won
2nd	Marie's Jewel (IRE) Ethan Jones · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	18/1	0.3
3rd	Martin's Brig (IRE) Rhys Elliott · David Thompson	12/1	.5
4th	Bernie The Bear (IRE) Tommie Jakes · Linda Perratt	5/2J	.5
5th	Possible Ambition (GB) Gianluca Sanna · John & Sean Quinn	3/1	.75
6th	Kananga (GB) William Pyle · Craig Lidster	16/1	1
7th	Kodebreaker (IRE) Andrea Pinna · Michael Herrington	12/1	.5
8th	Cammy (IRE) Aiden Brookes · Jason Ward	50/1	2.5
9th	Fircombe Hall (GB) Brandon Wilkie · Philip Kirby	16/1	0.1

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (6)	Pallas Lord Bay J:Archie Young(5) T:Donald Whillans	J:Archie Young(5) T:Donald Whillans	139	t	2-2121	59	66	48	3d	—	—	-13	13.8	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Two 1m wins from last 3 starts here; weighted to go well despite penalty back at 7f
1 (4)	Possible Ambition Bay J:Gianluca Sanna(3) T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Gianluca Sanna(3) T:John & Sean Quinn	140	v	398-31	60	65	44	3d	—	—	-13	9.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Ended losing run over 1m here on Saturday; no good thing to repeat it at 7f under penalty
3 (5)	Bernie The Bear Chestnut J:Tommie Jakes(3) T:Linda Perratt	J:Tommie Jakes(3) T:Linda Perratt	134	—	41-823	54	70	58	11d	—	—	-12	6.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Won 3 of final 6 runs for previous yard; in form for this one; worth another go at 7f
6 (2)	Martin's Brig Bay J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:David Thompson	J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:David Thompson	133	b	3246-2	53	67	43	17d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	0	8	2.50/1	10/1 9%
All 3 wins over 7f in 2022, including at Southwell; seems suited by 1m on this track now
7 (1)	Kodebreaker Bay J:Andrea Pinna(7) T:Michael Herrington	J:Andrea Pinna(7) T:Michael Herrington	132	—	33-357	52	71	62	15d	—	—	-5	2.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
In form over 1m/7f earlier; below best last twice; yet to reach the frame in 4 runs here
4 (7)	Fircombe Hall Chestnut J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Philip Kirby	J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Philip Kirby	133	p	2126-0	53	70	53	39d	—	—	-5	2.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Three 6f wins here but not as effective at 7f on this track so far; ran flat latest
5 (9)	Marie's Jewel Bay J:Ethan Jones(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Ethan Jones(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	133	—	05/8-6	53	55	26	36d	—	—	-3	2.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Yet to finish near the winner in 5 starts but not disgraced after layoff over C&D latest
8 (8)	Kananga Bay J:William Pyle T:Craig Lidster	J:William Pyle T:Craig Lidster	130	p	903-85	50	70	48	8d	—	—	-4	1.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Best handicap run over 1m at Wolverhampton in December; yet to shine over C&D
9 (3)	Cammy Chestnut J:Aiden Brookes T:Jason Ward	J:Aiden Brookes T:Jason Ward	126	—	673/98	46	56	23	3d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Maiden; had 1m form here in 2021 but missed 2022 and 2023; minor form since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Pallas Lord	9/4	9/4	9/4	85/40	9/4
Possible Ambition	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Bernie The Bear	10/3	7/2	4/1	10/3	7/2
Martin's Brig	10/1	9/1	9/1	10/1	9/1
Kodebreaker	12/1	11/1	10/1	14/1	12/1
Fircombe Hall	16/1	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1
Marie's Jewel	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1	14/1
Kananga	20/1	14/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Cammy	40/1	40/1	33/1	50/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Pallas Lord

13.8

OR: 2.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Possible Ambition

9.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

3rd

Martin's Brig

OR: 0.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Bernie The Bear

6.2

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Fircombe Hall

2.9

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

16/1

Kodebreaker

2.6

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Marie's Jewel

2.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Kananga

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Cammy

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Possible Ambition	60	65	44
Pallas Lord	59	66	48
Bernie The Bear	54	70	58
Martin's Brig	53	67	43
Fircombe Hall	53	70	53
Marie's Jewel	53	55	26
Kodebreaker	52	71	62
Kananga	50	70	48
Cammy	46	56	23

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Pallas Lord	3d ago	Quick return
Possible Ambition	3d ago	Quick return
Cammy	3d ago	Quick return
Kananga	8d ago	Quick return
Bernie The Bear	11d ago	Quick return
Kodebreaker	15d ago	Fit
Martin's Brig	17d ago	Fit
Marie's Jewel	36d ago	Fit
Fircombe Hall	39d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.