Killinan Handicap Hurdle – Thurles

Thurles

4:15

Killinan Handicap Hurdle

Date 2024-02-13

Distance 2m6f88y

Class

Going Soft To Heavy

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (19)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
11	Lily's Choice b J:Carl Millar(7) T:David Harry Kelly	J:Carl Millar(7) T:David Harry Kelly	159	—	P00863	86	91	-	20d	—	—	+3	15.6	5/1 17%
Better ground would help but has an each-way chance on the basis of Fairyhouse third
14	Colline Fleurie b J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Brendan Maurice Walsh	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Brendan Maurice Walsh	157	—	-P0900	84	89	-	65d	—	—	+1	11.4	13/2 13%
Very disappointing; certainly capable of better and perhaps a market watch may tell more
6	Toor Moon b J:Liam Quinlan(5) T:Ms M Flynn	J:Liam Quinlan(5) T:Ms M Flynn	165	h	0323P2	92	102	70	43d	—	—	+10	21.1	6/1 14%
Runner-up at Tramore last month; a run to that level will leave him thereabouts here
R19	Wanchu Bach b J:Donagh Meyler T:Padraig Roche	J:Donagh Meyler T:Padraig Roche	157	—	3P0/0F	84	91	-	2d	—	—	0	11.7	7/1 13%
Third reserve, made mistakes at Punchestown, due to run in the 3.15 at Navan on Sunday
3	Brogue Man River b J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	166	—	0000	93	91	54	29d	—	—	+5	12.9	9/1 10%
Big price when down the field on handicap debut, may be capable of better
7	Scarbrook b J:Sean Flanagan T:Paul Nolan	J:Sean Flanagan T:Paul Nolan	164	—	509PP-	91	92	65	353d	—	—	+4	12.6	8/1 11%
Off for a year and debuts here for Paul Nolan; worth a market check up in trip
9	Winter Carnival b J:Diarmuid Moloney(7) T:John Neilan	J:Diarmuid Moloney(7) T:John Neilan	161	—	PU0099	88	100	44	84d	—	—	+5	11.2	11/1 8%
Poor handicap form since returning from a very brief spell chasing; makes no appeal.
5	Rising Dust b J:Jack G Gilligan(7) T:Michael Hourigan	J:Jack G Gilligan(7) T:Michael Hourigan	166	p	703075	93	88	69	14d	—	—	+7	13.3	12/1 8%
Two moderate runs over fences before well beaten in a handicap hurdle on latest
16	Seangoell b J:Robbie Geoghegan(7) T:Norman Lee	J:Robbie Geoghegan(7) T:Norman Lee	157	tb	864-06	84	94	-	46d	—	—	+2	10.9	8/1 11%
Quite soundly beaten in a hurdle and a chase since returning from her summer break
2	Soldat Flamboyant br J:Mr J G Murphy(7) T:Daniel G Murphy	J:Mr J G Murphy(7) T:Daniel G Murphy	167	p	0-084P	94	84	64	77d	—	—	+7	12.6	12/1 8%
Pulled up over fences; cheekpieces tried in his first handicap hurdle; not a forlorn hope
8	Navy Waves b J:Evan Dwan(7) T:Mrs Julie Cashin	J:Evan Dwan(7) T:Mrs Julie Cashin	161	—	-00000	88	89	74	103d	—	—	+7	10.5	20/1 5%
Won maiden hurdle last season here but really struggling in handicaps since last summer
4	One And Only br J:Phillip Enright T:Oliver McKiernan	J:Phillip Enright T:Oliver McKiernan	166	t	59F7U0	93	91	71	20d	—	—	+9	11.5	25/1 4%
Moderate fifth in a bumper won by the smart Readin Tommy Wrong, problems with his jumping
1	Another Nightmare ch J:Shane Fenelon(7) T:John Joseph Hanlon	J:Shane Fenelon(7) T:John Joseph Hanlon	168	—	0671FP	95	99	4	17d	—	—	+11	14.7	20/1 5%
Listowel winner; pulled up at Fairyhouse last month; respected in a very winnable contest
17	Glorious Singer br J:J J Slevin T:Ms M Flynn	J:J J Slevin T:Ms M Flynn	153	p	705948	80	99	32	15d	—	—	+5	8.3	25/1 4%
First reserve, 23-race maiden; well beaten in a handicap hurdle and chase last twice
12	Toor Moment br J:Ethan O'Sullivan(7) T:Ms M Flynn	J:Ethan O'Sullivan(7) T:Ms M Flynn	159	—	9-4090	86	101	75	158d	—	—	+7	9.7	28/1 3%
Most of her better form is on goodish ground; best watched on first run since September.
15	On The Banks gr J:Ryan Treacy T:Robert Tyner	J:Ryan Treacy T:Robert Tyner	157	—	-0000P	84	79	29	33d	—	—	+7	9	40/1 2%
Has shown nothing so far; in good hands but has a huge amount to prove at this stage
18	Janverlil b J:Conor McNamara T:E McNamara	J:Conor McNamara T:E McNamara	153	t	P-0080	80	87	54	46d	—	—	+6	7.9	50/1 2%
Second reserve, tailed off in a maiden hurdle at Limrick, handicap form is unappealing
13	Silverfort Lady gr J:E Walsh T:John M Burke	J:E Walsh T:John M Burke	158	—	-0P900	85	64	45	31d	—	—	+8	8.9	100/1 1%
Has shown nothing in six starts at huge odds so far; impossible to make a case for her.
NR	Oneforgonzo b J:TBC T:Sean Aherne	J: T:Sean Aherne	160	—	888	87	95	66	43d	—	—	—	9.3	—
First couple of runs last summer were respectable; tailed off last time; handicap debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Lily's Choice	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Colline Fleurie	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Toor Moon	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Wanchu Bach	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Brogue Man River	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Scarbrook	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Winter Carnival	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Rising Dust	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Seangoell	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Soldat Flamboyant	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Navy Waves	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
One And Only	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Another Nightmare	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Glorious Singer	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Toor Moment	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
On The Banks	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Janverlil	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Silverfort Lady	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Toor Moon

21.1

OR: 10.5 Form: 7.6 Odds: 3.1

6/1

2nd

Lily's Choice

15.6

OR: 9 Form: 3 Odds: 3.6

5/1

3rd

Another Nightmare

14.7

OR: 11.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1

20/1

Rising Dust

13.3

OR: 10.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Brogue Man River

12.9

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Scarbrook

12.6

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Soldat Flamboyant

12.6

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Wanchu Bach

11.7

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.2

7/1

One And Only

11.5

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Colline Fleurie

11.4

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Winter Carnival

11.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Seangoell

10.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Navy Waves

10.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

Toor Moment

9.7

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Oneforgonzo

9.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

On The Banks

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Silverfort Lady

8.9

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Glorious Singer

8.3

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Janverlil

7.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Another Nightmare Top Rated	95	99	4
Soldat Flamboyant	94	84	64
Brogue Man River	93	91	54
Rising Dust	93	88	69
One And Only	93	91	71
Toor Moon	92	102	70
Scarbrook	91	92	65
Winter Carnival	88	100	44
Navy Waves	88	89	74
Oneforgonzo	87	95	66
Lily's Choice	86	91	—
Toor Moment	86	101	75
Silverfort Lady	85	64	45
Colline Fleurie	84	89	—
Wanchu Bach	84	91	—
Seangoell	84	94	—
On The Banks	84	79	29
Glorious Singer	80	99	32
Janverlil	80	87	54

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Wanchu Bach	2d ago	Quick return
Rising Dust	14d ago	Fit
Glorious Singer	15d ago	Fit
Another Nightmare	17d ago	Fit
Lily's Choice	20d ago	Fit
One And Only	20d ago	Fit
Brogue Man River	29d ago	Fit
Silverfort Lady	31d ago	Fit
On The Banks	33d ago	Fit
Toor Moon	43d ago	Fit
Oneforgonzo	43d ago	Fit
Seangoell	46d ago	Fresh
Janverlil	46d ago	Fresh
Colline Fleurie	65d ago	Fresh
Soldat Flamboyant	77d ago	Fresh
Winter Carnival	84d ago	Fresh
Navy Waves	103d ago	Long break
Toor Moment	158d ago	Long break
Scarbrook	353d ago	Long break