Quinnbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)

Newcastle

16:35

Date 2024-02-15

Distance 2m4f62y

Class Class 4

Going Heavy

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,066

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8	Yealand Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:Jennie Candlish	J:Sean Quinlan T:Jennie Candlish	162	—	2-541	103	104	89	40d	—	—	-2	24.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Kept on best in muddling race to make winning handicap debut over C&D; can improve again
10	Follow Charlie Bay J:Ben Smith(10) T:R Mike Smith	J:Ben Smith(10) T:R Mike Smith	157	—	-09421	98	113	93	44d	—	—	+10	32.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Won readily by 10l when upped to 2m4f at Ayr last month and remains lightly raced
4	Forged Well Bay J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Martin Todhunter	J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Martin Todhunter	165	—	313	106	107	91	40d	—	—	+13	30.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Unexposed 5yo who won on rules debut in December; makes handicap debut today
7	North Parade Brown J:William Maggs(7) T:Sue Smith	J:William Maggs(7) T:Sue Smith	162	—	U4-011	103	113	105	54d	—	—	+3	17.3	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Ended last year with two C&D wins and commands respect
9	Bonne Vitesse Bay J:Emma Smith-Chaston(3) T:Micky Hammond	J:Emma Smith-Chaston(3) T:Micky Hammond	159	—	064-46	100	113	69	35d	—	—	+6	14.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Ought to benefit from today's drop back in trip but others appeal more all the same
2	Paddy The Horse Bay J:Jonathon Bewley T:George Bewley	J:Jonathon Bewley T:George Bewley	166	—	43P-46	107	105	-	48d	—	—	+10	16	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Given a chance by the handicapper but yet to get going this season
3	Juge Et Parti Grey J:Danny McMenamin T:James Ewart	J:Danny McMenamin T:James Ewart	165	p	P-P216	106	109	69	40d	—	—	+11	15.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Dug deep to win off much-reduced mark in December but has become unreliable
1	Moonlight Spirit Bay J:Charlotte Jones(3) T:James Moffatt	J:Charlotte Jones(3) T:James Moffatt	168	b	F9F-P7	109	103	8	228d	—	—	+12	15.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Out of form when last seen last summer; had wind op during his break; hard to weigh up
11	Star Vantage Bay J:Conor O'Farrell T:George Bewley	J:Conor O'Farrell T:George Bewley	148	—	05F-6F	89	106	-	112d	—	—	+7	10.6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
0-8 over hurdles but was in front before final-flight fall over C&D last April
NR	Midnight Shuffle Brown J:TBC T:Stuart Coltherd	J: T:Stuart Coltherd	163	p	24-733	104	110	92	8d	—	—	—	13.5	—	—
Not in peak form this season but was placed last week; might be aided by refitted headgear
NR	Valleyview Tommy Bay J:TBC T:Sandy Thomson	J: T:Sandy Thomson	162	—	F232	103	102	78	59d	—	—	—	22.4	—	—
Placed on both hurdling starts and should have improvement to come in handicaps

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Yealand	9/4	9/4	5/2	9/4	9/4
Follow Charlie	10/3	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Forged Well	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
North Parade	9/2	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Bonne Vitesse	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1	10/1
Paddy The Horse	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Juge Et Parti	28/1	20/1	18/1	20/1	18/1
Moonlight Spirit	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1	25/1
Star Vantage	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Follow Charlie

32.2

OR: 12 Form: 13.5 Odds: 6.7

10/3

2nd

Forged Well

30.5

OR: 14 Form: 11.5 Odds: 5

4/1

3rd

Yealand

24.8

OR: 13.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 8

5/2

Valleyview Tommy

22.4

OR: 13.3 Form: 9.2 Odds: 0

—

North Parade

17.3

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Paddy The Horse

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Moonlight Spirit

15.6

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Juge Et Parti

15.2

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

28/1

Bonne Vitesse

14.9

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Midnight Shuffle

13.5

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Star Vantage

10.6

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Moonlight Spirit	109	103	8
Paddy The Horse	107	105	—
Forged Well	106	107	91
Juge Et Parti	106	109	69
Midnight Shuffle	104	110	92
Yealand	103	104	89
North Parade	103	113	105
Valleyview Tommy	103	102	78
Bonne Vitesse	100	113	69
Follow Charlie	98	113	93
Star Vantage	89	106	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Midnight Shuffle	8d ago	Quick return
Bonne Vitesse	35d ago	Fit
Yealand	40d ago	Fit
Forged Well	40d ago	Fit
Juge Et Parti	40d ago	Fit
Follow Charlie	44d ago	Fit
Paddy The Horse	48d ago	Fresh
North Parade	54d ago	Fresh
Valleyview Tommy	59d ago	Fresh
Star Vantage	112d ago	Long break
Moonlight Spirit	228d ago	Long break