Payne Crop Nutrition Ltd Novices' Handicap Hurdle – Fakenham · The Final Fence

Fakenham

15:40

Payne Crop Nutrition Ltd Novices' Handicap Hurdle

Date 2024-02-16

Distance 2m7f95y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,225

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Silk	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5		Hermes Le Gris Grey J:Liam Harrison T:Robbie Llewellyn	J:Liam Harrison T:Robbie Llewellyn	158	t	P-35F1	90	105	64	8d	—	—	-22	26.3	0.21/1	5/6 55%
Looked way ahead of his mark at Huntingdon and might well deal with this 12lb rise
3		For Gina Bay J:Mr Alex Chadwick(7) T:Lucy Wadham	J:Mr Alex Chadwick(7) T:Lucy Wadham	164	p	321214	96	100	82	18d	—	—	+13	30	1.13/1	9/2 18%
C&D winner who looks well handicapped with Alex Chadwick taking off 7lb
6		Mistymal Bay J:Alan Johns T:Tim Vaughan	J:Alan Johns T:Tim Vaughan	151	—	-3P602	83	102	94	30d	—	—	+1	18.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Left previous hurdle form behind when runner-up on handicap debut at Southwell
4		Little Talks Bay J:Jack Quinlan T:Neil King	J:Jack Quinlan T:Neil King	160	t	2P533	92	97	81	37d	—	—	+9	19	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Lightly raced and best form yet when a rallying third of 15 upped to 3m at Doncaster
1		Crem Fresh Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Barry Brennan	J:Tom Bellamy T:Barry Brennan	168	—	5-12P4	100	104	97	15d	—	—	+10	13.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Course winner but her guard has dropped the last twice and she has a lot of weight
7		Eurkash Bay J:James Best T:Paul Webber	J:James Best T:Paul Webber	143	p	3-244P	75	-	-	35d	—	—	+5	9.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Only 1-26; two good runs this season but twice poor as well, including last time
2		Mountain Bay Bay J:Micheal Nolan T:Seamus Mullins	J:Micheal Nolan T:Seamus Mullins	165	—	7-7506	97	93	60	18d	—	—	+10	12.3	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Unraced beyond 2m4f but doesn't look obviously well treated for this handicap debut

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Hermes Le Gris	5/6	8/11	8/11
For Gina	9/2	9/2	9/2
Mistymal	5/1	9/2	4/1
Little Talks	17/2	17/2	17/2
Crem Fresh	25/1	20/1	20/1
Eurkash	20/1	18/1	18/1
Mountain Bay	33/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

For Gina

30

OR: 11.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Hermes Le Gris

26.3

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 16.3

5/6

3rd

Little Talks

19

OR: 10.5 Form: 5.7 Odds: 2.9

17/2

4

Mistymal

18.4

OR: 8.3 Form: 5.2 Odds: 5

5/1

5

Crem Fresh

13.6

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

6

Mountain Bay

12.3

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

7

Eurkash

9.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Crem Fresh	100	104	97
Mountain Bay	97	93	60
For Gina	96	100	82
Little Talks	92	97	81
Hermes Le Gris	90	105	64
Mistymal	83	102	94
Eurkash	75	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Hermes Le Gris	8d ago	Quick return
Crem Fresh	15d ago	Fit
For Gina	18d ago	Fit
Mountain Bay	18d ago	Fit
Mistymal	30d ago	Fit
Eurkash	35d ago	Fit
Little Talks	37d ago	Fit