Every Race Live On Racing TV Novices' Handicap Hurdle

Musselburgh

15:50

Date 2024-02-18

Distance 2m3f171y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,697

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7	Eden Mill Chestnut J:Craig Nichol T:Donald Whillans	J:Craig Nichol T:Donald Whillans	155	t	3P-215	86	100	85	57d	—	—	-3	14	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Easy win at Kelso in November; below par since but no surprise if he bounces back
5	Theirshegoes Bay J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	157	—	3-4555	88	101	89	48d	—	—	+2	15.6	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Merely fifth over 3m here the last twice but could benefit from this drop back in trip
3	Beat The Retreat Bay J:Danny McMenamin T:N W Alexander	J:Danny McMenamin T:N W Alexander	160	t	42-417	91	101	73	47d	—	—	+3	13.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Won at Ayr on second handicap start and hampered twice when well beaten there since
1	Sanosuke Bay J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	168	v	-2P513	99	102	91	62d	—	—	+15	25.7	1.63/1	13/2 13%
A win and a fair 3rd over 3m here the last twice and should be fine now back down in trip
10	Everyonesacritic Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Evan Williams	J:Brian Hughes T:Evan Williams	151	p	1-540	82	89	29	41d	—	—	+8	17.7	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Hasn't shown much over hurdles but this point winner goes handicapping off a basement mark
8	Wotyoudunnow Buddy Bay J:Sam Coltherd T:Susan Corbett	J:Sam Coltherd T:Susan Corbett	154	b	7PP6P2	85	99	76	16d	—	—	+6	14.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Kept on for encouraging 2nd on handicap debut and could be in the mix now back up in trip
4	Barney Stinson Bay J:Derek Fox T:Adam Nicol	J:Derek Fox T:Adam Nicol	157	—	32-558	88	101	80	24d	—	—	+5	11.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Hasn't really shone this winter but on a dangerous mark and not discounted
9	Dot Cotton Bay J:Richie McLernon T:R Mike Smith	J:Richie McLernon T:R Mike Smith	153	t	75472U	84	103	82	44d	—	—	+7	11.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Runner-up to progressive winner over C&D two starts ago but inconsistent and now 0-17
11	Kian Calling Bay J:Conor Rabbitt(5) T:Nicky Richards	J:Conor Rabbitt(5) T:Nicky Richards	144	—	4975/P	75	-	-	66d	—	—	+4	7.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Pulled up in December when back from long absence but not a forlorn hope off basement mark
2	Blow The Budget Bay J:Alan Doyle(5) T:Lucinda Russell	J:Alan Doyle(5) T:Lucinda Russell	166	t	4-P358	97	99	76	35d	—	—	+9	12.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Disappointing on last month's handicap debut but promise previously and not written off
6	Donso Star Chestnut J:Ben Smith(10) T:R Mike Smith	J:Ben Smith(10) T:R Mike Smith	157	—	35-696	88	102	88	43d	—	—	+7	10.4	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Has hinted at promise here but soundly beaten in all 3 handicaps and needs something extra
12	Kurphy Bay J:Conor O'Farrell T:Iain Jardine	J:Conor O'Farrell T:Iain Jardine	142	p	-6589P	73	96	59	54d	—	—	+4	6.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Has struggled in first two handicaps and lots of improvement is needed now in cheekpieces

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Eden Mill	7/2	7/2	7/2
Theirshegoes	9/2	9/2	9/2
Beat The Retreat	13/2	13/2	13/2
Sanosuke	13/2	13/2	13/2
Everyonesacritic	7/1	7/1	7/1
Wotyoudunnow Buddy	9/1	9/1	9/1
Barney Stinson	11/1	11/1	11/1
Dot Cotton	14/1	14/1	14/1
Kian Calling	20/1	20/1	20/1
Blow The Budget	22/1	22/1	22/1
Donso Star	22/1	22/1	22/1
Kurphy	25/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sanosuke

25.7

OR: 12.3 Form: 10.6 Odds: 2.9

13/2

2nd

Everyonesacritic

17.7

OR: 8 Form: 7 Odds: 2.7

7/1

3rd

Theirshegoes

15.6

OR: 9.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4

9/2

Wotyoudunnow Buddy

14.1

OR: 8.8 Form: 3.2 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Eden Mill

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Beat The Retreat

13.1

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Blow The Budget

12.6

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Dot Cotton

11.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 2 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Barney Stinson

11.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Donso Star

10.4

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Kian Calling

7.2

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

Kurphy

6.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sanosuke	99	102	91
Blow The Budget	97	99	76
Beat The Retreat	91	101	73
Theirshegoes	88	101	89
Barney Stinson	88	101	80
Donso Star	88	102	88
Eden Mill	86	100	85
Wotyoudunnow Buddy	85	99	76
Dot Cotton	84	103	82
Everyonesacritic	82	89	29
Kian Calling	75	—	—
Kurphy	73	96	59

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Wotyoudunnow Buddy	16d ago	Fit
Barney Stinson	24d ago	Fit
Blow The Budget	35d ago	Fit
Everyonesacritic	41d ago	Fit
Donso Star	43d ago	Fit
Dot Cotton	44d ago	Fit
Beat The Retreat	47d ago	Fresh
Theirshegoes	48d ago	Fresh
Kurphy	54d ago	Fresh
Eden Mill	57d ago	Fresh
Sanosuke	62d ago	Fresh
Kian Calling	66d ago	Fresh