BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

16:50

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap

Date 2024-02-23

Distance 7f1y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,527

Winning Time 1m 25.37s (slow by 3.37s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Island Native (IRE) Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	9/2	Won
2nd	Conquest Of Power (GB) Tyler Heard · Mark Usher	7/1	2
3rd	Intoxicata (FR) Robert Havlin · Ed Dunlop	11/2	.75
4th	Carry On Aitch (IRE) Rhiain Ingram · Roger Ingram	80/1	1.25
5th	Bernie The Bear (IRE) Tommie Jakes · Linda Perratt	7/2F	0.3
6th	Swiss Pride (IRE) Sean Levey · Roger Teal	4/1	0.2
7th	Sir Titan (GB) Molly Gunn · Tony Carroll	11/2	1.25
8th	Waleyfa (GB) Kieran O'Neill · Alice Haynes	10/1	0.2
9th	Fly The Nest (IRE) Tom Queally · Tony Carroll	33/1	1.5

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (8)	Bernie The Bear Chestnut J:Tommie Jakes(7) T:Linda Perratt	J:Tommie Jakes(7) T:Linda Perratt	126	—	1-8234	53	77	63	10d	—	—	-9	15	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Running well in defeat for his new yard; likely to be in the thick of it
3 (4)	Island Native Grey J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	134	p	371326	61	76	65	11d	—	—	-2	16	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Better than he showed last time and each-way shout on this winter's best efforts
1 (9)	Swiss Pride Bay J:Sean Levey T:Roger Teal	J:Sean Levey T:Roger Teal	135	v	46-353	62	78	62	18d	—	—	-10	8.2	1.25/1	5/1 17%
All wins at 6f but stays this far; return to Class 6 is a plus; one to consider
4 (2)	Intoxicata Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Ed Dunlop	J:Robert Havlin T:Ed Dunlop	133	p	3-6136	60	73	63	8d	—	—	-5	8.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Two C&D wins to her name; consistency is hard to fault; new headgear could give her a lift
5 (7)	Sir Titan Bay J:Molly Gunn(7) T:Tony Carroll	J:Molly Gunn(7) T:Tony Carroll	132	—	227-12	59	74	65	21d	—	—	-8	6.3	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Two good runs here this year and this veteran should make another bold bid
2 (1)	Conquest Of Power Chestnut J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Mark Usher	J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Mark Usher	135	p	3-3515	62	75	64	22d	—	—	-3	8.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Chelmsford win last month looks solid enough but he couldn't back it up last time
8 (3)	Waleyfa Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	126	p	04-467	53	76	49	7d	—	—	-6	3.3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Chance on the pick of this winter's efforts; new headgear tried; best recent form over 1m
6 (6)	Fly The Nest Bay J:Tom Queally T:Tony Carroll	J:Tom Queally T:Tony Carroll	130	—	109-00	57	72	52	13d	—	—	-1	2.7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Conditions to suit; yet to fire this winter but he needs a look in the betting
9 (5)	Carry On Aitch Bay J:Rhiain Ingram(3) T:Roger Ingram	J:Rhiain Ingram(3) T:Roger Ingram	119	—	086-66	46	75	54	41d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Unconvincing in recent starts and she remains opposable for win purposes

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Bernie The Bear	3/1	5/2	3/1	3/1	3/1
Island Native	4/1	4/1	9/2	4/1	7/2
Swiss Pride	9/2	4/1	9/2	5/1	9/2
Intoxicata	6/1	11/2	11/2	6/1	11/2
Sir Titan	6/1	11/2	11/2	6/1	9/2
Conquest Of Power	8/1	15/2	15/2	17/2	15/2
Waleyfa	10/1	17/2	9/1	10/1	9/1
Fly The Nest	28/1	22/1	22/1	25/1	22/1
Carry On Aitch	100/1	50/1	66/1	50/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Island Native

OR: 2.8 Form: 8 Odds: 5.2

9/2

2nd

Bernie The Bear

OR: 0.8 Form: 7 Odds: 7.3

3/1

3rd

Intoxicata

8.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4

6/1

Swiss Pride

8.2

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

5/1

Conquest Of Power

8.2

OR: 3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.1

17/2

Sir Titan

6.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

6/1

Waleyfa

3.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Fly The Nest

2.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Carry On Aitch

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Swiss Pride	62	78	62
Conquest Of Power	62	75	64
Island Native	61	76	65
Intoxicata	60	73	63
Sir Titan	59	74	65
Fly The Nest	57	72	52
Bernie The Bear	53	77	63
Waleyfa	53	76	49
Carry On Aitch	46	75	54

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Waleyfa	7d ago	Quick return
Intoxicata	8d ago	Quick return
Bernie The Bear	10d ago	Quick return
Island Native	11d ago	Quick return
Fly The Nest	13d ago	Quick return
Swiss Pride	18d ago	Fit
Sir Titan	21d ago	Fit
Conquest Of Power	22d ago	Fit
Carry On Aitch	41d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 7f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.