Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Novice Hurdle (IRE Incentive Race)

Leopardstown

13:40

Date 2024-03-03

Distance 2m

Class

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €11,800

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Captain Cody Bay J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	158	—	160-12	-	135	66	22d	—	—	-30	15.3	0.21/1	5/6 55%
6th in Champion Bumper last year; 2 of these in behind at Naas latest and sets standard
2	Blizzard Of Oz Bay J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	160	—	212-15	-	131	114	22d	—	—	-21	9.4	0.41/1	13/8 38%
2nd in Gr 2 Aintree bumper and promise this season; better than result latest; drops to 2m
3	Backtonormal b/br J:Donagh Meyler T:Ms Margaret Mullins	J:Donagh Meyler T:Ms Margaret Mullins	159	—	231-23	-	130	66	22d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Ballinrobe bumper winner last season; split two of these rivals latest; 2m may not help
1	The Other Mozzie Brown J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	164	—	-52613	122	127	108	40d	—	—	+27	30.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Maiden hurdle win who finished distant 3rd in novice latest; jumping could improve
7	Purse Price Bay J:Danny Gilligan(5) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Danny Gilligan(5) T:Gordon Elliott	151	tp	74U315	109	133	115	25d	—	—	+21	23.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Career best with Thurles win; struggled at Fairyhouse since; gets weight but bit to find
6	Mill House Creek Bay J:J J Slevin T:Stephen Gerard Carey	J:J J Slevin T:Stephen Gerard Carey	152	t	4160	-	-	-	106d	—	—	+5	5.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Won mares' bumper at Stratford last summer but hasn't got the form to play a part in this
5	Drumgill Bay J:Philip Donovan(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Philip Donovan(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	153	—	86	-	-	-	106d	—	—	0	0.1	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Modest form in bumpers and has a mountain to climb in this; off 106 days

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Captain Cody	5/6	5/6	5/6	5/6	5/6
Blizzard Of Oz	13/8	13/8	13/8	13/8	13/8
Backtonormal	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
The Other Mozzie	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Purse Price	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Mill House Creek	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1
Drumgill	250/1	250/1	250/1	250/1	250/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

The Other Mozzie

30.6

OR: 18 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1.1

18/1

2nd

Purse Price

23.4

OR: 14.8 Form: 8.1 Odds: 0.6

33/1

3rd

Captain Cody

15.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 15.3

5/6

Blizzard Of Oz

9.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4

13/8

Mill House Creek

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Backtonormal

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Drumgill

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
The Other Mozzie	122	127	108
Purse Price	109	133	115
Captain Cody	—	135	66
Blizzard Of Oz	—	131	114
Backtonormal	—	130	66
Mill House Creek	—	—	—
Drumgill	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Captain Cody	22d ago	Fit
Blizzard Of Oz	22d ago	Fit
Backtonormal	22d ago	Fit
Purse Price	25d ago	Fit
The Other Mozzie	40d ago	Fit
Mill House Creek	106d ago	Long break
Drumgill	106d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Captain Cody	Mid-Pack
Blizzard Of Oz	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 7 runners classified.