Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle – Leopardstown

Leopardstown

14:15

Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle

Date 2024-03-03

Distance 2m

Class

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize €7,670

Runners (18)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Crooked Tannie Bay J:Danny Gilligan T:Cian Collins	J:Danny Gilligan T:Cian Collins	166	—	731592	-	114	98	19d	—	—	-27	28	0.14/1	4/7 64%
Won Tipperary bumper last summer and showed he handles this ground when 2nd latest
9	Lord Vader Chestnut J:Conor Clarke(4) T:Emmet Mullins	J:Conor Clarke(4) T:Emmet Mullins	166	—	—	-	109	85	68d	—	—	-7	2.7	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Flat winner; ran with credit on hurdle bow here, shaping like he would improve for the run
15	Zeeband Bay J:Jack G Gilligan(4) T:Paul John Gilligan	J:Jack G Gilligan(4) T:Paul John Gilligan	166	t	750326	101	104	73	21d	—	—	+11	20.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Shown he's capable from mark in 100s in h'caps but this is tougher in maiden company
11	Master Otis Grey J:Charlie O'Dwyer(2) T:Thomas Mullins	J:Charlie O'Dwyer(2) T:Thomas Mullins	166	—	250069	-	113	93	35d	—	—	-5	1.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
0-10; promise in C&D maiden hurdle and ran well behind Tullyhill but poor bumper run since
8	Gabriel Ranger Bay J:Cian Quirke(2) T:Joseph G Murphy	J:Cian Quirke(2) T:Joseph G Murphy	166	—	30-P7F	-	104	7	19d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
In the process of running well before coming down at Thurles last time; may build on that
2	Brave Adam Bay J:Conor Stone-Walsh(2) T:Thomas Cooper	J:Conor Stone-Walsh(2) T:Thomas Cooper	166	t	58	-	89	63	49d	—	—	-4	1.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Well beaten in three maiden hurdle starts; likely more at home in handicaps
16	Banada Bridge Bay J:Jake Coen T:Mrs Denise Foster	J:Jake Coen T:Mrs Denise Foster	159	—	232550	85	102	86	80d	—	—	+9	11.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Went close on better ground earlier in season but struggled on testing ground recently
18	Tina Meehan Chestnut J:Gavin Brouder T:J A Nash	J:Gavin Brouder T:J A Nash	159	h	1-738	-	110	100	14d	—	—	+5	7.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Won Tramore bumper for Willie Mullins; okay yard debut before in too deep latest
10	Lummi Island Bay J:Philip Byrnes T:D Deacon	J:Philip Byrnes T:D Deacon	166	—	6535	-	-	-	165d	—	—	+1	2.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Distant 3rd in Killarney bumper but didn't build on that at Listowel; off 165 days
12	Not My Problem Brown J:Tom Harney(4) T:Ross O'Sullivan	J:Tom Harney(4) T:Ross O'Sullivan	166	—	09	-	105	29	21d	—	—	-1	0.4	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Some improvement from low-key debut when 9th 3 weeks ago; needs further progress
13	Targa Flavio Chestnut J:Shane O'Callaghan(2) T:Ross O'Sullivan	J:Shane O'Callaghan(2) T:Ross O'Sullivan	166	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Ocovango gelding; newcomer that is bred for further
5	Desert Cave Bay J:Niall Prendergast(4) T:Declan Queally	J:Niall Prendergast(4) T:Declan Queally	166	—	122-0	-	47	4	11d	—	—	0	0.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Point winner but was tailed off when 50s on rules debut last week; must leave that behind
1	Ballyeden Close Bay J:Liam Quinlan T:Liz Doyle	J:Liam Quinlan T:Liz Doyle	166	—	09	-	59	-	35d	—	—	0	0.1	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Tailed off at huge odds in two runs so far and others preferred
17	My Policy Bay J:Patrick M O'Brien(4) T:Patrick Rooney	J:Patrick M O'Brien(4) T:Patrick Rooney	159	—	P-PPP	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.1	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Pulled up all four point starts and impossible to build a case for
14	Who's In Midfield Bay J:Philip Donovan(2) T:Shane Ryder	J:Philip Donovan(2) T:Shane Ryder	166	t	00	-	18	-	94d	—	—	0	0.1	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Triple figure odds both starts so far and shown nothing; now tried with tongue-tie
NR	Clonshire River Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	J:NON-RUNNER T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	166	—	390-02	114	112	-	19d	—	—	—	16	—	—
Definite promise last term and back to form when 2nd latest; may gain compensation here
NR	Do The Math Bay J:TBC T:Shane Crawley	J: T:Shane Crawley	166	—	00	-	-	-	39d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Shown nothing in two starts at triple figure odds; can only be watched
NR	Emeric Brown J:TBC T:Paul W Flynn	J: T:Paul W Flynn	166	—	0-0	-	69	18	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
3-time Flat winner; shown nothing in 2 runs in this sphere; likely one for h'caps now

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Crooked Tannie	4/7	4/7	4/7	4/7	4/7
Lord Vader	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Zeeband	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Master Otis	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Gabriel Ranger	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Brave Adam	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Banada Bridge	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Tina Meehan	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Lummi Island	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Not My Problem	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Targa Flavio	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Desert Cave	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1
Ballyeden Close	250/1	250/1	250/1	250/1	250/1
My Policy	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1
Who's In Midfield	250/1	250/1	250/1	250/1	250/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Crooked Tannie

OR: 0 Form: 8.6 Odds: 19.4

4/7

2nd

Zeeband

20.4

OR: 12.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

7/1

3rd

Clonshire River

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Banada Bridge

11.4

OR: 8.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Tina Meehan

7.8

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Lord Vader

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Lummi Island

2.6

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Master Otis

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Gabriel Ranger

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Brave Adam

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Not My Problem

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Targa Flavio

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

80/1

Desert Cave

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Ballyeden Close

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

My Policy

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

150/1

Who's In Midfield

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

Do The Math

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Emeric

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Clonshire River	114	112	—
Zeeband	101	104	73
Banada Bridge	85	102	86
Crooked Tannie	—	114	98
Lord Vader	—	109	85
Master Otis	—	113	93
Gabriel Ranger	—	104	7
Brave Adam	—	89	63
Tina Meehan	—	110	100
Lummi Island	—	—	—
Not My Problem	—	105	29
Targa Flavio	—	—	—
Desert Cave	—	47	4
Ballyeden Close	—	59	—
My Policy	—	—	—
Who's In Midfield	—	18	—
Do The Math	—	—	—
Emeric	—	69	18

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Desert Cave	11d ago	Quick return
Tina Meehan	14d ago	Fit
Crooked Tannie	19d ago	Fit
Gabriel Ranger	19d ago	Fit
Clonshire River	19d ago	Fit
Zeeband	21d ago	Fit
Not My Problem	21d ago	Fit
Master Otis	35d ago	Fit
Ballyeden Close	35d ago	Fit
Do The Math	39d ago	Fit
Brave Adam	49d ago	Fresh
Lord Vader	68d ago	Fresh
Banada Bridge	80d ago	Fresh
Who's In Midfield	94d ago	Long break
Lummi Island	165d ago	Long break
Targa Flavio	—	—
My Policy	—	—
Emeric	—	—