Build Your Acca With BetUK Novice Stakes – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

17:30

Build Your Acca With BetUK Novice Stakes

Date 2024-03-05

Distance 1m4f14y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £6,156

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (3)	Secret Squirrel Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Hughie Morrison	J:Rossa Ryan T:Hughie Morrison	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-25	11.8	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Useful in bumpers/hurdles; dam won an AW bumper; market useful
2 (7)	Caustic Bay J:David Probert T:Owen Burrows	J:David Probert T:Owen Burrows	136	t	3-1	-	86	60	29d	—	—	+1	16.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Showed ability before narrowly beating Eleanor Cross at Lingfield; could confirm the form
12 (9)	Eleanor Cross Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	125	—	43-622	75	93	60	13d	—	—	-11	13.5	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Short head behind Caustic on penultimate outing and 6lb better off; shouldn't be far away
3 (4)	Little Peter Bay J:Luke Catton(5) T:John Berry	J:Luke Catton(5) T:John Berry	131	—	2-4	-	84	58	55d	—	—	-2	5.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Bumper winner and in the frame in both starts on AW; a bit to find with Caustic on form
1 (10)	Cannon Rock Bay J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:James Owen	J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:James Owen	136	—	61/	-	90	-	503d	—	—	+5	11.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Turf winner for Charlie Appleby in October 2022; market instructive on stable debut
4 (6)	Marble Sands Grey J:Billy Loughnane T:David Killahena & Graeme McPherson	J:Billy Loughnane T:David Killahena & Graeme McPherson	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Smart performer over jumps and won over fences last month; market interesting
9 (8)	Emaculate Soldier Bay J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	130	t	5-	-	60	-	322d	—	—	-2	0.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Well held on debut last spring but should enjoy the longer trip on pedigree; tongue-tie on
5 (11)	Mr Zippi Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Sara Ender	J:Joanna Mason T:Sara Ender	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Won two small-field bumpers last year, but well beaten in a Listed bumper in December
7 (1)	Rotten Row Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Gary Hanmer	J:Josephine Gordon T:Gary Hanmer	131	tp	4-	-	80	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Bumper/hurdles/chase winner in Ireland; watch market on stable/AW debut; new headgear
6 (2)	Ridge Hill Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	131	—	0-6	-	55	-	29d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
A long way behind a couple of these at Lingfield last month; look elsewhere
11 (5)	Storm Spirit Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Micky Hammond	J:Hayley Turner T:Micky Hammond	126	h	5	-	71	60	12d	—	—	-1	0.4	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Placed in two of three bumpers and some ability on Flat debut, but looks one for handicaps
10 (12)	Royal Observatory Chestnut J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Kevin Frost	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Kevin Frost	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Well held in two soft-ground bumpers this year (tailed off last time); little appeal

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Secret Squirrel	11/8	11/8	6/4	11/8	11/8
Caustic	9/2	4/1	9/2	9/2	4/1
Eleanor Cross	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2	5/2
Little Peter	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Cannon Rock	14/1	11/1	12/1	11/1	10/1
Marble Sands	9/1	10/1	11/1	10/1	10/1
Emaculate Soldier	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Mr Zippi	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Rotten Row	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	66/1
Ridge Hill	66/1	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Storm Spirit	100/1	100/1	125/1	100/1	100/1
Royal Observatory	250/1	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Caustic

16.5

OR: 0 Form: 12.1 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Eleanor Cross

13.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Cannon Rock

11.9

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Secret Squirrel

11.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 11.8

6/4

Little Peter

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Marble Sands

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Emaculate Soldier

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Mr Zippi

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Rotten Row

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ridge Hill

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Storm Spirit

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125/1

Royal Observatory

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Eleanor Cross	75	93	60
Secret Squirrel	—	—	—
Caustic	—	86	60
Little Peter	—	84	58
Cannon Rock	—	90	—
Marble Sands	—	—	—
Emaculate Soldier	—	60	—
Mr Zippi	—	—	—
Rotten Row	—	80	—
Ridge Hill	—	55	—
Storm Spirit	—	71	60
Royal Observatory	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Storm Spirit	12d ago	Quick return
Eleanor Cross	13d ago	Quick return
Caustic	29d ago	Fit
Ridge Hill	29d ago	Fit
Little Peter	55d ago	Fresh
Emaculate Soldier	322d ago	Long break
Cannon Rock	503d ago	Long break
Secret Squirrel	—	—
Marble Sands	—	—
Mr Zippi	—	—
Rotten Row	—	—
Royal Observatory	—	—