BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:00

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap

Date 2024-03-05

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £7,851

Winning Time 1m 39.12s (slow by 1.42s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Borgi (IRE) Robert Havlin · S Woods	4/1	Won
2nd	Gincident (IRE) Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	7/1	0.3
3rd	Master Of Combat (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Kevin Frost	7/1	.75
4th	Tropez Power (IRE) Jason Hart · John & Sean Quinn	5/2F	.75
5th	Perseverants (FR) Billy Loughnane · Scott Dixon	28/1	.5
6th	Three Yorkshiremen (IRE) Adam Farragher · Michael Wigham	125/1	2.75
7th	Vecchio (IRE) Luke Morris · Scott Dixon	100/1	0.05
8th	Assessment (GB) Hollie Doyle · Archie Watson	100/30	1
9th	Life On The Rocks (IRE) Cam Hardie · Richard Fahey	40/1	.75
10th	Leap Day (GB) David Allan · Tim Easterby	6/1	1.75

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (2)	Tropez Power Bay J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	137	—	226-95	90	101	68	45d	—	—	-6	16.7	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Record over C&D reads 131; seems likely to get the solid pace he needs; interesting
1 (10)	Assessment Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	137	—	13/1P-	90	101	-	285d	—	—	-3	15.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Makes stable debut after another long absence, but has a fine record fresh; watch market
6 (7)	Leap Day Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	122	p	31-422	75	103	75	21d	—	—	-2	9.3	1.50/1	6/1 14%
C&D novice winner in December and narrowly beaten the last twice, but up another 3lb
3 (3)	Borgi Bay J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	132	—	29-152	85	99	79	15d	—	—	-2	13.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Course winner over 7f; only just lost out to a progressive rival last time and shortlisted
4 (1)	Gincident Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	129	—	5584-5	82	103	76	35d	—	—	+2	10.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Three wins on Tapeta last winter; worth a second look back off his last winning mark
5 (8)	Master Of Combat Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Kevin Frost	J:Rossa Ryan T:Kevin Frost	127	—	61-538	80	101	76	25d	—	—	+1	10.2	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Seen more often at Wolverhampton but has run well over C&D; each-way claims
9 (6)	Life On The Rocks Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	117	—	6300/7	70	100	46	18d	—	—	+4	5.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
3lb below sole winning mark, but well held on return from mammoth absence last month
7 (5)	Perseverants Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Scott Dixon	J:Billy Loughnane T:Scott Dixon	122	—	2027-0	75	99	57	10d	—	—	+4	7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
1lb below last winning mark but well beaten on his return over C&D ten days ago
8 (9)	Vecchio Bay J:Luke Morris T:Scott Dixon	J:Luke Morris T:Scott Dixon	119	—	4/47-8	72	98	26	40d	—	—	+5	5.7	25.00/1	100/1 1%
0-7 and failed to beat a rival on his stable/AW debut in January; look elsewhere
10 (4)	Three Yorkshiremen Bay J:Adam Farragher T:Michael Wigham	J:Adam Farragher T:Michael Wigham	116	—	1686-6	69	95	51	34d	—	—	+4	5	25.00/1	100/1 1%
1-15 and has beaten just one rival in two starts on Polytrack; others preferred

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Tropez Power	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Assessment	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Leap Day	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Borgi	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Gincident	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Master Of Combat	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Life On The Rocks	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Perseverants	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Vecchio	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
Three Yorkshiremen	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tropez Power

16.7

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

5/2

2nd

Assessment

15.2

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

10/3

3rd

Borgi

13.2

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

4/1

Gincident

10.4

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Master Of Combat

10.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Leap Day

9.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Perseverants

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Vecchio

5.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Life On The Rocks

5.5

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Three Yorkshiremen

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tropez Power	90	101	68
Assessment	90	101	—
Borgi	85	99	79
Gincident	82	103	76
Master Of Combat	80	101	76
Leap Day	75	103	75
Perseverants	75	99	57
Vecchio	72	98	26
Life On The Rocks	70	100	46
Three Yorkshiremen	69	95	51

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Perseverants	10d ago	Quick return
Borgi	15d ago	Fit
Life On The Rocks	18d ago	Fit
Leap Day	21d ago	Fit
Master Of Combat	25d ago	Fit
Three Yorkshiremen	34d ago	Fit
Gincident	35d ago	Fit
Vecchio	40d ago	Fit
Tropez Power	45d ago	Fit
Assessment	285d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.