BetUK. Home Of The Acca Handicap – Newcastle (AW) · The Final Fence

Newcastle (AW)

17:00

BetUK. Home Of The Acca Handicap

Date 2024-03-12

Distance 1m4f98y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,815

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Silk	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (1)		Easter Island Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	131	tp	7-2543	58	74	55	5d	—	—	-22	13.4	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Found his level now and is closely matched with Bobby Shaftoe on C&D running last month
3 (4)		Bella Bluesky Brown J:Rowan Scott T:Ewan Whillans	J:Rowan Scott T:Ewan Whillans	133	t	/59112	60	74	60	18d	—	—	+1	27.5	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Straightforward and in form, and has a decent chance of defying a further 3lb rise
2 (2)		Bobby Shaftoe Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	134	b	-54217	61	75	58	18d	—	—	-2	18.4	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Five-time course winner; bigger field would have been ideal but holds claims
1 (3)		Night Bear Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Tony Carroll	J:Tom Eaves T:Tony Carroll	137	p	/69-87	64	69	41	36d	—	—	0	4.8	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Now 8lb lower than when winning at Southwell 18 months ago but for good reason
6 (6)		Balranald Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:Alison Hamilton	J:James Sullivan T:Alison Hamilton	130	p	4/5/77	57	64	36	18d	—	—	+1	2.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Hurdle/chase winner who's struggled in two runs back on the Flat; hard to recommend
NR (5)		Elusive Truth Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Gemma Tutty	J:NON-RUNNER T:Gemma Tutty	133	—	6/6-84	61	71	-	31d	—	—	—	2.8	—	—
The unknown quantity against some exposed sorts in a weak race, so merits consideration

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Easter Island	5/4	5/4	5/4
Bella Bluesky	2/1	2/1	2/1
Bobby Shaftoe	11/4	11/4	11/4
Night Bear	16/1	16/1	16/1
Balranald	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bella Bluesky

27.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 17 Odds: 8

2/1

2nd

Bobby Shaftoe

18.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 9.5 Odds: 6.2

11/4

3rd

Easter Island

13.4

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 11.4

5/4

4

Night Bear

4.8

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

16/1

5

Elusive Truth

2.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

6

Balranald

2.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Night Bear	64	69	41
Bobby Shaftoe	61	75	58
Elusive Truth	61	71	—
Bella Bluesky	60	74	60
Easter Island	58	74	55
Balranald	57	64	36

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Easter Island	5d ago	Quick return
Bella Bluesky	18d ago	Fit
Bobby Shaftoe	18d ago	Fit
Balranald	18d ago	Fit
Elusive Truth	31d ago	Fit
Night Bear	36d ago	Fit