Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

19:45

Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-03-14

Distance 4f214y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,711

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (8)	Tees Douge Bay J:Paddy Mathers T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Paddy Mathers T:Adrian Nicholls	132	—	3779-3	62	76	63	30d	—	—	-9	12.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Good 3rd back from a break at Newcastle last month; drops in class; more to come on AW
2 (7)	Musical Diva Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	134	v	93-113	64	74	64	38d	—	—	-7	7.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two wins this year and also ran well for third off this mark last time (6f); considered
4 (4)	Via Blanca Grey J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	132	—	221-2U	62	75	66	59d	—	—	-5	6.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Reared in stalls and unseated rider last time; running well beforehand; new yard today
7 (11)	Desert Master Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	130	—	70-412	60	77	52	11d	—	—	-4	5.2	1.75/1	7/1 13%
First and second in 5f h'caps at Newcastle the last twice; more needed in this better race
6 (6)	Horse Whisperer Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Chris Dwyer	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Chris Dwyer	131	—	12657-	61	71	64	118d	—	—	0	8.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Turf nursery winner last summer but didn't really kick on; still relatively low mileage
3 (1)	Exponential Brown J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	132	—	6-732	62	72	62	13d	—	—	-3	5.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Placed on Tapeta the last twice; could progress further now handicapping; considered
8 (3)	Drinkable Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	129	—	054-	59	69	-	236d	—	—	-2	4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Whiff of promise in 5f maidens last summer; makes handicap debut at a realistic level
1 (10)	Split The Profit Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Callum Shepherd T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	135	p	547-47	65	76	45	20d	—	—	0	5.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Held in three handicaps but this is his first dip into a Class 6
9 (2)	Smooth Silesie Chestnut J:Alex Jary(5) T:Lisa Williamson	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Lisa Williamson	128	—	6-3213	58	73	51	23d	—	—	0	2.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Comes here in good form & would have got closer to Desert Master last time with clear run
11 (5)	Belvoir Kitten Bay J:Mia Nicholls(5) T:Derek Shaw	J:Mia Nicholls(5) T:Derek Shaw	116	—	68400-	46	69	49	126d	—	—	-2	0.6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Best effort came over C&D but he starts out for this yard with something to prove
10 (9)	Dash Power Bay J:James Sullivan T:Derek Shaw	J:James Sullivan T:Derek Shaw	116	—	68600-	46	71	27	76d	0W/1P 1 run	—	-1	0.4	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Poor form for R Hannon and D Griffiths; plenty to prove starting out for his new yard

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Tees Douge	11/4	11/4	11/4
Musical Diva	9/2	9/2	9/2
Via Blanca	6/1	6/1	6/1
Desert Master	7/1	7/1	7/1
Horse Whisperer	15/2	15/2	15/2
Exponential	9/1	9/1	9/1
Drinkable	11/1	11/1	11/1
Split The Profit	12/1	12/1	12/1
Smooth Silesie	25/1	25/1	25/1
Belvoir Kitten	33/1	33/1	33/1
Dash Power	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tees Douge

12.2

OR: 3 Form: 3 Odds: 6.2

11/4

2nd

Horse Whisperer

8.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.5

15/2

3rd

Musical Diva

7.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Via Blanca

6.1

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Split The Profit

5.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Desert Master

5.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Exponential

5.1

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Drinkable

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Smooth Silesie

2.8

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Belvoir Kitten

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Dash Power

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Split The Profit	65	76	45
Musical Diva	64	74	64
Tees Douge	62	76	63
Via Blanca	62	75	66
Exponential	62	72	62
Horse Whisperer	61	71	64
Desert Master	60	77	52
Drinkable	59	69	—
Smooth Silesie	58	73	51
Belvoir Kitten	46	69	49
Dash Power	46	71	27

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Desert Master	11d ago	Quick return
Exponential	13d ago	Quick return
Split The Profit	20d ago	Fit
Smooth Silesie	23d ago	Fit
Tees Douge	30d ago	Fit
Musical Diva	38d ago	Fit
Via Blanca	59d ago	Fresh
Dash Power	76d ago	Fresh
Horse Whisperer	118d ago	Long break
Belvoir Kitten	126d ago	Long break
Drinkable	236d ago	Long break