St. James's Place Festival Challenge Cup Open Hunters' Chase

Cheltenham

16:10

Date 2024-03-15

Distance 3m2f70y

Class Class 2

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £24,445

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5	Its On The Line Brown J:Mr Derek O'Connor T:Emmet Mullins	J:Mr Derek O'Connor T:Emmet Mullins	168	p	1-2111	142	145	85	34d	—	—	+7	40.6	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Would have been a rare 6yo winner when going close last year; prolific since
3	Ferns Lock Bay J:Mr B O'Neill T:D M Christie	J:Mr B O'Neill T:D M Christie	168	t	13-121	142	152	33	54d	—	—	+10	28.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
An emerging force in this division but stamina will be tested over this longer distance
6	Premier Magic Bay J:Mr Bradley Gibbs T:Bradley Gibbs	J:Mr Bradley Gibbs T:Bradley Gibbs	168	tp	11-111	142	144	125	—	—	—	+16	25.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
No fluke about his 66-1 win 12 months ago and he has won all three subsequent starts
1	Billaway Bay J:Mr P W Mullins T:W P Mullins	J:Mr P W Mullins T:W P Mullins	168	tp	F2U-12	140	144	85	34d	—	—	+16	25.2	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Regular in this race; usually preps at Naas and that run last month was encouraging
12	Sine Nomine Grey J:Mr John Dawson T:Fiona Needham	J:Mr John Dawson T:Fiona Needham	161	—	1-2121	124	135	105	41d	—	—	+20	27.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Impressive last time and could be progressive enough to hold her own at this level
9	Samcro Chestnut J:Mr T Hamilton T:Gordon Elliott	J:Mr T Hamilton T:Gordon Elliott	168	t	111-13	142	142	-	—	—	—	+20	24	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Former class act who has got his mojo back in points; might get outstayed when it matters
7	Quintin's Man Bay J:Mr Darren Andrews T:J Heard	J:Mr Darren Andrews T:J Heard	168	—	153313	131	130	100	27d	—	—	+31	33.4	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Progressive 7yo who has won over C&D; running well and could join the party
10	Shantou Flyer Bay J:Miss Olive Nicholls T:S Loxton	J:Miss Olive Nicholls T:S Loxton	168	tb	211511	133	133	104	—	—	—	+41	43.2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Placed three times in this but, now a 14yo, his chance of winning this has probably passed
11	Time Leader Bay J:Mr Toby McCain-Mitchell T:Miss Hannah Roach	J:Mr Toby McCain-Mitchell T:Miss Hannah Roach	168	—	-111P1	128	129	85	46d	—	—	+37	39	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Record of 5-7 in hunter chase and his close fifth at Aintree last season bodes well
2	D'Jango Brown J:Miss Immy Robinson T:Miss V Collins	J:Miss Immy Robinson T:Miss V Collins	168	t	488214	129	125	102	27d	—	—	+28	29.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Has done well since switched to hunter chases but placed at best if he's lucky
8	Ramillies Grey J:Mr R James T:D M Christie	J:Mr R James T:D M Christie	168	—	141134	140	138	121	6d	—	—	+32	32.8	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Still useful on his day but he ran no race at all at Gowran only last week
4	From The Heart Bay J:Miss Natalie Parker T:Mrs L Jones	J:Miss Natalie Parker T:Mrs L Jones	168	p	12-1P2	107	120	89	—	—	—	+14	14.4	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Nothing in his profile - under rules or between the flags - to believe he'll be a factor

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Its On The Line	11/8	11/8	11/8	11/8	11/8
Ferns Lock	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Premier Magic	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Billaway	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Sine Nomine	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Samcro	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Quintin's Man	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Shantou Flyer	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Time Leader	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
D'Jango	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Ramillies	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
From The Heart	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Shantou Flyer

43.2

OR: 20.8 Form: 22 Odds: 0.5

40/1

2nd

Its On The Line

40.6

OR: 23 Form: 7 Odds: 10.6

11/8

3rd

Time Leader

OR: 19.5 Form: 19 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Quintin's Man

33.4

OR: 20.3 Form: 12.4 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Ramillies

32.8

OR: 22.5 Form: 10.1 Odds: 0.2

80/1

D'Jango

29.6

OR: 19.8 Form: 9.5 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Ferns Lock

28.2

OR: 23 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

10/3

Sine Nomine

27.7

OR: 18.5 Form: 7 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Premier Magic

25.9

OR: 23 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Billaway

25.2

OR: 22.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Samcro

OR: 23 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

From The Heart

14.4

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Its On The Line	142	145	85
Ferns Lock	142	152	33
Premier Magic	142	144	125
Samcro	142	142	—
Billaway	140	144	85
Ramillies	140	138	121
Shantou Flyer	133	133	104
Quintin's Man	131	130	100
D'Jango	129	125	102
Time Leader	128	129	85
Sine Nomine	124	135	105
From The Heart	107	120	89

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ramillies	6d ago	Quick return
Quintin's Man	27d ago	Fit
D'Jango	27d ago	Fit
Its On The Line	34d ago	Fit
Billaway	34d ago	Fit
Sine Nomine	41d ago	Fit
Time Leader	46d ago	Fresh
Ferns Lock	54d ago	Fresh
Premier Magic	—	—
Samcro	—	—
Shantou Flyer	—	—
From The Heart	—	—