Capital Windscreens Supports Muscular Dystrophy Charity Mares' Handicap Hurdle (Challenger Qual')

Chepstow

15:00

Date 2024-03-17

Distance 2m3f100y

Class Class 3

Going Heavy

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,651

Winning Time 5m 7.81s (slow by 30.81s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Regal Renaissance (GB) Sam Twiston-Davies · Henry Daly	18/5	Won
2nd	Endless Escape (IRE) Joe Anderson · Ben Clarke	7/1	8
3rd	Followango (IRE) Isabel Williams · Evan Williams	5/2F	4.75
4th	Sedge Wren (GB) Ciaran Gethings · Stuart Edmunds	7/1	12
5th	Tilly Toughnut (GB) Richard Patrick · Henry Daly	13/2	0.2

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
Fell	Sammy's Guarantee (GB) Stan Sheppard · Tom Lacey	16/5

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Sammy's Guarantee Bay J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	162	t	-76912	114	119	106	21d	—	—	+13	34.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Much improved since wind op, excellent Hereford second latest; up 3lb but rates a player
6	Followango Bay J:Isabel Williams(3) T:Evan Williams	J:Isabel Williams(3) T:Evan Williams	154	—	1-1322	106	114	110	33d	—	—	+6	27.2	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Brought along steadily, edged out at Lingfield latest; more to offer now handicapping
7	Regal Renaissance Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Henry Daly	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Henry Daly	150	—	-82423	102	119	112	39d	—	—	+7	26.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
In good nick, third at Ludlow last month; she ought to be in the shake-up once more
1	Endless Escape Bay J:Joe Anderson(5) T:Ben Clarke	J:Joe Anderson(5) T:Ben Clarke	168	tp	7-5422	120	119	86	23d	—	—	+8	21.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Not discredited when runner-up at Exeter 23 days ago; shortlisted off an unchanged mark
5	Tilly Toughnut Bay J:Richard Patrick T:Henry Daly	J:Richard Patrick T:Henry Daly	156	—	1/6361	108	120	89	23d	—	—	+12	25.5	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Won on handicap debut at Exeter latest; up 7lb but not taken lightly back up in trip
2	Sedge Wren Bay J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	163	—	33/11-	115	119	96	403d	—	—	+9	18.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Won 2m4f novices at Huntingdon/Southwell; off 13 months but still very much respected
NR	Blue Beach Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Mel Rowley	J:NON-RUNNER T:Mel Rowley	160	p	25-332	112	120	106	26d	—	—	—	15.5	—	—
Cheekpieces back on when narrow 2nd at Market Rasen latest; bold showing is on the cards

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Sammy's Guarantee	3/1	11/4	7/2	11/4	3/1
Followango	11/4	3/1	11/4	3/1	11/4
Regal Renaissance	4/1	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2
Endless Escape	11/2	5/1	5/1	11/2	5/1
Tilly Toughnut	7/1	9/2	6/1	6/1	11/2
Sedge Wren	9/1	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sammy's Guarantee

34.2

OR: 16 Form: 12 Odds: 6.2

7/2

2nd

Followango

27.2

OR: 14 Form: 7 Odds: 6.2

3/1

3rd

Regal Renaissance

26.7

OR: 13 Form: 8 Odds: 5.7

4/1

Tilly Toughnut

25.5

OR: 14.5 Form: 7 Odds: 4

7/1

Endless Escape

21.1

OR: 17.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Sedge Wren

18.9

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Blue Beach

15.5

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Endless Escape	120	119	86
Sedge Wren	115	119	96
Sammy's Guarantee	114	119	106
Blue Beach	112	120	106
Tilly Toughnut	108	120	89
Followango	106	114	110
Regal Renaissance	102	119	112

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sammy's Guarantee	21d ago	Fit
Endless Escape	23d ago	Fit
Tilly Toughnut	23d ago	Fit
Blue Beach	26d ago	Fit
Followango	33d ago	Fit
Regal Renaissance	39d ago	Fit
Sedge Wren	403d ago	Long break