Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

20:30

Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-03-20

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £6,700

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	Endless Power Bay J:Clifford Lee T:James Tate	J:Clifford Lee T:James Tate	137	—	581-01	84	92	42	26d	—	—	-8	15.8	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Nosed ahead in the final strides at Wolverhampton last month; open to further progress
5 (11)	Francesi Grey J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	130	—	89273-	77	97	76	133d	—	—	+1	16.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Interesting on reappearance, having performed well on seasonal debut in the last two years
2 (10)	Moktasaab Chestnut J:J F Egan T:Phil McEntee	J:J F Egan T:Phil McEntee	134	—	096-95	81	91	-	33d	—	—	+1	10.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Something to prove back at 1m but he's attractively treated off a reduced mark
8 (2)	Visibility Bay J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	128	—	-47072	75	97	83	10d	—	—	+4	14.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Strong-finishing second over 7f here ten days ago; major contender back up in distance
9 (9)	Goldsmith Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Alice Haynes	J:Rossa Ryan T:Alice Haynes	127	h	044106	74	93	77	7d	—	—	+5	13.3	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Form dipped the last twice but may redound with Rossa Ryan up for first time
4 (1)	Master Of Combat Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Kevin Frost	J:Jack Mitchell T:Kevin Frost	133	—	1-5383	80	95	70	15d	—	—	+8	17	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Best efforts this year when close third over C&D on two occasions; solid contender
6 (6)	Dumfries Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	129	—	18434-	76	92	-	201d	—	—	+5	12.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Sole win for Marcus Tregoning came in C&D maiden last March; debut for new yard
10 (5)	War Of Words Bay J:George Wood T:Alex French	J:George Wood T:Alex French	127	—	1266/	74	-	-	602d	—	—	+9	12.4	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Absent since July 2022; returns to the scene of debut win; check the betting
7 (7)	Baileysgutfeeling Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	129	tb	0508-0	76	95	41	39d	—	—	+5	7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Ran dismally in cheekpieces on debut for this stable; now goes in blinkers
11 (8)	Life On The Rocks Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	119	—	300/79	66	92	54	15d	—	—	+3	4.4	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Efforts this year suggest he'll be more interesting when returned to 1m2f
NR (3)	Larado Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Michael Appleby	J:NON-RUNNER T:Michael Appleby	134	v	6-4157	81	-	-	19d	—	—	—	7.8	—	—
Return to Class 4 looks a plus, having gained his most recent win at this level

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Endless Power	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Francesi	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Moktasaab	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Visibility	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Goldsmith	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Master Of Combat	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Dumfries	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
War Of Words	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Baileysgutfeeling	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Life On The Rocks	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Master Of Combat

OR: 7.5 Form: 7 Odds: 2.5

15/2

2nd

Francesi

16.7

OR: 6.8 Form: 5.5 Odds: 4.4

4/1

3rd

Endless Power

15.8

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

9/4

Visibility

14.1

OR: 6.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Goldsmith

13.3

OR: 6 Form: 5 Odds: 2.3

9/1

Dumfries

12.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 4.1 Odds: 2.3

17/2

War Of Words

12.4

OR: 6 Form: 5.5 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Moktasaab

10.3

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.6

15/2

Larado

7.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Baileysgutfeeling

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Life On The Rocks

4.4

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Endless Power	84	92	42
Moktasaab	81	91	—
Larado	81	—	—
Master Of Combat	80	95	70
Francesi	77	97	76
Dumfries	76	92	—
Baileysgutfeeling	76	95	41
Visibility	75	97	83
Goldsmith	74	93	77
War Of Words	74	—	—
Life On The Rocks	66	92	54

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Goldsmith	7d ago	Quick return
Visibility	10d ago	Quick return
Master Of Combat	15d ago	Fit
Life On The Rocks	15d ago	Fit
Larado	19d ago	Fit
Endless Power	26d ago	Fit
Moktasaab	33d ago	Fit
Baileysgutfeeling	39d ago	Fit
Francesi	133d ago	Long break
Dumfries	201d ago	Long break
War Of Words	602d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.