Happy Valley

13:10

Percival Handicap (Div I) (Class 4) (3yo+) (Course C+3) (Turf)

Date 2024-03-20
Distance 1m55y
Class
Going Good
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £65,915

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
R13 (13)
Royal Pride
Bay
J:TBC
T:C Fownes
J:
T:C Fownes
120 t 7-5058
45
91
-
14d
0
Yet to add to his C&D win in November 2022 and recent efforts have been underwhelming
R14 (14)
Brave Witness
Chestnut
J:TBC
T:C S Shum
J:
T:C S Shum
120 t 706204
45
77
-
7d
2.5
Twice in the frame over C&D since upped in trip last month; each-way claims
1 (8)
Loyal Baby
Bay
J:Angus Chung(5)
T:W K Mo
J:Angus Chung(5)
T:W K Mo
135 t 00-000
60
87
-
28d
2.5
Out of sorts for new stable this term; drops in grade today; needs to turn a corner
2 (12)
Red Majesty
Bay
J:Karis Teetan
T:David A Hayes
J:Karis Teetan
T:David A Hayes
133 tb 000-52
58
93
-
34d
2
Lost out only by a neck after running a big race over C&D last month; considered
3 (3)
Gallant Valour
Bay
J:Zac Purton
T:Jamie Richards
J:Zac Purton
T:Jamie Richards
130 tb 31-333
55
74
-
28d
1.3
Stayed on strongly for third over C&D when upped in trip last month; Zac Purton booked
4 (9)
Super Baby
Bay
J:Ellis Wong(10)
T:Mark Newnham
J:Ellis Wong(10)
T:Mark Newnham
129 tb 81-400
54
74
-
14d
1
C&D winner off much-reduced mark in December but has gone right off the boil again lately
5 (4)
All Riches
b/br
J:K C Leung
T:P F Yiu
J:K C Leung
T:P F Yiu
126 tp 040-53
51
82
-
10d
0.3
Rallied well for third over 7f last week but yet fully to convince stamina-wise over 1m
6 (10)
Invincible Missile
Bay
J:Brenton Avdulla
T:C Fownes
J:Brenton Avdulla
T:C Fownes
126 40-986
51
85
-
14d
0.3
Regressive 8yo who is yet to be placed after eight starts this season
7 (6)
Kasa Papa
Brown
J:Jerry Chau(2)
T:T P Yung
J:Jerry Chau(2)
T:T P Yung
126 t 766-46
51
84
-
42d 0W/0P 2 runs 0W/0P 1 run
0.3
0-17 in HK but recent efforts have been very respectable; probably won't be far away
8 (1)
Concerto
Chestnut
J:L J Ferraris
T:Jimmy Ting
J:L J Ferraris
T:Jimmy Ting
125 tp 5504-6
50
76
-
49d
0
Yet to hit top gear this season but has the inside draw today; not ruled out
9 (2)
Dublin Star
Brown
J:Matthew Chadwick
T:K L Man
J:Matthew Chadwick
T:K L Man
119 tv 001-04
44
80
-
28d
0
Fair fourth over C&D when upped in trip last month but others appeal more all the same
10 (11)
Legion Of Merit
Grey
J:Harry Bentley
T:W Y So
J:Harry Bentley
T:W Y So
118 tb 644-07
43
77
-
34d
0
Dual C&D winner; back on a good mark now but has not fired on either start this year
11 (7)
Sunny Shines
Bay
J:Andrea Atzeni
T:P C Ng
J:Andrea Atzeni
T:P C Ng
118 00-00
43
60
-
31d
0
A down-the-field outsider on all four starts (6f-7f); tries a new trip today
12 (5)
Northern Beast
Black
J:Matthew Poon(2)
T:D J Hall
J:Matthew Poon(2)
T:D J Hall
117 05-058
41
84
-
17d 0W/0P 2 runs 0W/0P 2 runs
0
Not disgraced over 6f the last twice and this return to 1m ought to suit

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Brave Witness
2.5
OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0
2nd Loyal Baby
2.5
OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
3rd Red Majesty
2
OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0
4 Gallant Valour
1.3
OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
5 Super Baby
1
OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0
6 All Riches
0.3
OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
7 Invincible Missile
0.3
OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
8 Kasa Papa
0.3
OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
9 Royal Pride
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
10 Concerto
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
11 Dublin Star
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
12 Legion Of Merit
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
13 Sunny Shines
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
14 Northern Beast
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Loyal Baby
60
87
Red Majesty
58
93
Gallant Valour
55
74
Super Baby
54
74
All Riches
51
82
Invincible Missile
51
85
Kasa Papa
51
84
Concerto
50
76
Royal Pride
45
91
Brave Witness
45
77
Dublin Star
44
80
Legion Of Merit
43
77
Sunny Shines
43
60
Northern Beast
41
84

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Brave Witness 7d ago Quick return
All Riches 10d ago Quick return
Royal Pride 14d ago Fit
Super Baby 14d ago Fit
Invincible Missile 14d ago Fit
Northern Beast 17d ago Fit
Loyal Baby 28d ago Fit
Gallant Valour 28d ago Fit
Dublin Star 28d ago Fit
Sunny Shines 31d ago Fit
Red Majesty 34d ago Fit
Legion Of Merit 34d ago Fit
Kasa Papa 42d ago Fit
Concerto 49d ago Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 1m55y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.