Ashcroft Services Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap Hurdle (Racing Excellence Series)

Chepstow

14:15

Date 2024-03-21

Distance 2m11y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,248

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Hawk Stone Bay J:Freddie Gingell T:Harriet Dickin	J:Freddie Gingell T:Harriet Dickin	166	—	066792	98	103	95	14d	—	—	-1	25	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Lightly raced and chased home a well-backed favourite on handicap debut at Wincanton
6	My Granny Lily Bay J:Thomasina Eyston T:Nigel Hawke	J:Thomasina Eyston T:Nigel Hawke	145	p	3-4F13	77	104	80	13d	—	—	-6	15	0.69/1	11/4 27%
In form and should give her running but perhaps vulnerable off current mark
8	Queen Of Steel Bay J:Isabelle Ryder(5) T:Mark Usher	J:Isabelle Ryder(5) T:Mark Usher	143	—	2P7352	85	105	93	13d	—	—	+3	20	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Looked a non-stayer at 2m3f in her second handicap but placed in the other two at 2m
1	Double Click Chestnut J:Will Featherstone(8) T:Jamie Snowden	J:Will Featherstone(8) T:Jamie Snowden	168	p	139024	100	105	80	28d	—	—	+11	18.7	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Dual winner; can't be sure what to expect but ability is respected
9	Dance Havana Bay J:Dylan Johnston T:Grace Harris	J:Dylan Johnston T:Grace Harris	142	—	434	84	104	74	21d	—	—	+6	12.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Two Flat wins; stable debut when not getting home in a 2m3f handicap at Taunton
7	Mac Be Lucky Bay J:James Turner T:Evan Williams	J:James Turner T:Evan Williams	143	—	/147P-	75	-	-	455d	—	—	+5	9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Off a long time but close to his winning mark and the yard won this last year
5	Naturally High Bay J:Luke Scott T:Paddy Butler	J:Luke Scott T:Paddy Butler	161	—	P-6135	93	102	90	53d	—	—	+8	11.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Dead-heated at Fontwell on Boxing Day (2m3f, good to soft); well held next time; new yard
3	Schelem Bay J:Rob Hargreaves(6) T:Gary Moore	J:Rob Hargreaves(6) T:Gary Moore	165	—	1/7-F	97	96	-	16d	—	—	+13	16	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Still early days but a good bit of guesswork involved to make a case
4	Come To Pass Chestnut J:Freddie Gordon T:Tony Carroll	J:Freddie Gordon T:Tony Carroll	163	—	44	95	92	79	24d	—	—	+9	12	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Dual AW winner; beaten 20l in two hurdles and this mark is not obviously lenient

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Hawk Stone	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1
My Granny Lily	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Queen Of Steel	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Double Click	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Dance Havana	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Mac Be Lucky	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Naturally High	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Schelem	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Come To Pass	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hawk Stone

OR: 12 Form: 5 Odds: 8

2/1

2nd

Queen Of Steel

OR: 8.8 Form: 6.2 Odds: 5

7/2

3rd

Double Click

18.7

OR: 12.5 Form: 4.1 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Schelem

OR: 11.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.8

25/1

My Granny Lily

OR: 6.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 6.2

11/4

Dance Havana

12.2

OR: 8.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Come To Pass

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Naturally High

11.6

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Mac Be Lucky

OR: 6.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Double Click	100	105	80
Hawk Stone	98	103	95
Schelem	97	96	—
Come To Pass	95	92	79
Naturally High	93	102	90
Queen Of Steel	85	105	93
Dance Havana	84	104	74
My Granny Lily	77	104	80
Mac Be Lucky	75	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
My Granny Lily	13d ago	Quick return
Queen Of Steel	13d ago	Quick return
Hawk Stone	14d ago	Fit
Schelem	16d ago	Fit
Dance Havana	21d ago	Fit
Come To Pass	24d ago	Fit
Double Click	28d ago	Fit
Naturally High	53d ago	Fresh
Mac Be Lucky	455d ago	Long break