Samco And PRB Horseboxes Open Hunters' Chase (For The Ludlow Gold Cup)

Ludlow

17:20

Date 2024-03-21

Distance 2m4f11y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £3,388

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Espoir De Guye Bay J:Miss Natalie Parker(3) T:S Loxton	J:Miss Natalie Parker(3) T:S Loxton	174	t	856-31	130	134	106	22d	—	—	-17	40	0.14/1	4/7 64%
Smart in his prime and won hunter chase at Wincanton last month; strong claims
8	Missed Tee Bay J:Miss Immy Robinson(5) T:Miss V Collins	J:Miss Immy Robinson(5) T:Miss V Collins	159	—	8-44PP	107	121	104	10d	—	—	+2	19.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Pulled up on both runs this year (hunter chase last time) and others are preferred
1	Captain Tommy Bay J:Mr Toby McCain-Mitchell(7) T:Fred Timmis	J:Mr Toby McCain-Mitchell(7) T:Fred Timmis	174	tp	53P41P	115	119	64	—	—	—	+13	25.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won here (3m, soft) last month and subsequent point-to-point run may have come too soon
7	Shang Tang Bay J:Miss Aimee Jones(7) T:Miss H Brookshaw	J:Miss Aimee Jones(7) T:Miss H Brookshaw	166	t	673251	104	115	41	—	—	—	+20	29.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Second over 3m here last month and this shorter trip may be a better fit; each-way claims
5	Dalahast Chestnut J:Mr James King T:Andrew Leyshon	J:Mr James King T:Andrew Leyshon	166	t	33PP-P	96	98	73	—	—	—	+10	11.9	37.50/1	150/1 1%
No impact under rules last term; pulled up in points the last twice
6	Hazard Collonges Bay J:Mr Jos Lovegrove-Fielden(7) T:R Teague	J:Mr Jos Lovegrove-Fielden(7) T:R Teague	166	p	P-P35P	100	-	-	—	—	—	+12	12.7	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Displayed some ability over hurdles earlier in career but 0-7 in points since
NR	Royal Act Brown J:Miss Jess Stewart(7) T:Sarah-Jayne Davies	J:Miss Jess Stewart(7) T:Sarah-Jayne Davies	170	p	4-P758	69	66	7	58d	—	—	—	4.8	—	—
12yo who has been struggling in modest handicap chases this season
NR	Before Midnight Chestnut J:Mr Ben Sutton(3) T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Mr Ben Sutton(3) T:Fergal O'Brien	166	—	-54935	129	133	100	80d	—	—	—	21.9	—	—
11yo who is on long losing run but nevertheless holds leading claims on this season's best

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Espoir De Guye	1/2	4/7	1/2	1/2	1/2
Missed Tee	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2
Captain Tommy	15/2	13/2	7/1	7/1	15/2
Shang Tang	10/1	17/2	7/1	8/1	9/1
Dalahast	150/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
Hazard Collonges	150/1	150/1	125/1	150/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Espoir De Guye

OR: 20 Form: 0 Odds: 20

4/7

2nd

Shang Tang

29.6

OR: 13.5 Form: 13.4 Odds: 2.7

10/1

3rd

Captain Tommy

25.5

OR: 16.3 Form: 5.7 Odds: 3.6

15/2

Before Midnight

21.9

OR: 19.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Missed Tee

19.5

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Hazard Collonges

12.7

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Dalahast

11.9

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150/1

Royal Act

4.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Espoir De Guye	130	134	106
Before Midnight	129	133	100
Captain Tommy	115	119	64
Missed Tee	107	121	104
Shang Tang	104	115	41
Hazard Collonges	100	—	—
Dalahast	96	98	73
Royal Act	69	66	7

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Missed Tee	10d ago	Quick return
Espoir De Guye	22d ago	Fit
Royal Act	58d ago	Fresh
Before Midnight	80d ago	Fresh
Captain Tommy	—	—
Shang Tang	—	—
Dalahast	—	—
Hazard Collonges	—	—