Always Gamble Responsibly With BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:45

Always Gamble Responsibly With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-03-22

Distance 5f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,862

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (9)	Golden Rainbow Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Clifford Lee T:Rebecca Menzies	128	tv	097121	55	72	65	4d	—	—	-5	31.2	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Dual C&D classified winner this year but more to do back in handicap under 5lb penalty
9 (4)	Mumcat Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Jacqueline Coward	J:Joanna Mason T:Jacqueline Coward	126	b	65-833	53	75	68	24d	—	—	-13	6.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
6f winner at this venue and running well of late; blinkers on but drop back to 5f a worry
6 (6)	Phoenix Star Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Jessica Macey	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Jessica Macey	133	p	932412	60	75	62	14d	—	—	+6	21	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Running well of late, winning over C&D before a solid second to Latin Five here last time
3 (7)	Latin Five Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Paul Midgley	J:Ryan Sexton T:Paul Midgley	134	—	142-51	61	76	62	14d	—	—	-6	6.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Multiple turf winner who notched first AW success over C&D two weeks ago; good chance
7 (2)	Warminster Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Katie Scott	J:Phil Dennis T:Katie Scott	132	—	224635	59	74	67	14d	—	—	-2	8.2	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Hard to fault on the score of consistency but may again find one or two too good
1 (3)	Starsong Bay J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	135	—	017322	62	76	60	8d	—	—	+9	17.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Multiple 6f winner; touched off over 7f last week; drop back to 5f is the worry
2 (5)	Blazing Hot Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	135	p	-17639	62	74	69	14d	—	—	+4	8.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Multiple AW winner over 5f but below best since last win in January; more to do
4 (1)	Enraged Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Julie Camacho	J:Cam Hardie T:Julie Camacho	133	p	1306-0	60	75	21	29d	—	—	+1	3.1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Dual turf winner who has won over C&D; below best last three times, though
NR (8)	Modular Magic Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Jim Goldie	J:NON-RUNNER T:Jim Goldie	133	—	67680-	60	71	-	133d	—	—	—	2.5	—	—
Has had plenty of chances since last win and well beaten on first run for this trainer

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Golden Rainbow	11/8	6/4	11/8	6/4	5/4
Mumcat	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Phoenix Star	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Latin Five	15/2	13/2	7/1	7/1	7/1
Warminster	17/2	8/1	9/1	17/2	8/1
Starsong	16/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	9/1
Blazing Hot	20/1	22/1	20/1	25/1	22/1
Enraged	40/1	33/1	40/1	40/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Golden Rainbow

31.2

OR: 1.3 Form: 18.5 Odds: 11.4

6/4

2nd

Phoenix Star

OR: 2.5 Form: 14.1 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Starsong

17.2

OR: 3 Form: 12 Odds: 2.2

16/1

Warminster

8.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 3.1 Odds: 2.9

9/1

Blazing Hot

8.1

OR: 3 Form: 4.1 Odds: 1

25/1

Mumcat

6.5

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

4/1

Latin Five

6.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Enraged

3.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Modular Magic

2.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Starsong	62	76	60
Blazing Hot	62	74	69
Latin Five	61	76	62
Phoenix Star	60	75	62
Enraged	60	75	21
Modular Magic	60	71	—
Warminster	59	74	67
Golden Rainbow	55	72	65
Mumcat	53	75	68

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Golden Rainbow	4d ago	Quick return
Starsong	8d ago	Quick return
Phoenix Star	14d ago	Fit
Latin Five	14d ago	Fit
Warminster	14d ago	Fit
Blazing Hot	14d ago	Fit
Mumcat	24d ago	Fit
Enraged	29d ago	Fit
Modular Magic	133d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.