Sky Bet Handicap – Dundalk (AW)

Dundalk (AW)

19:00

Sky Bet Handicap

Date 2024-03-22

Distance 1m

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize €8,850

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (7)	Natural Ruler Bay J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	137	—	97-2	69	85	32	14d	—	—	-22	26	0.23/1	10/11 52%
C&D comeback run a fortnight ago filled with promise; likely big player on handicap debut
6 (1)	Mary Bagot Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:M Halford & T Collins	J:Ronan Whelan T:M Halford & T Collins	134	—	06-221	66	79	54	21d	—	—	-6	8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
C&D winner 3 weeks ago; 7lb rise makes this tougher but good draw and should run her race
8 (5)	Galician Girl Grey J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Adrian McGuinness	130	—	089-3	62	76	52	21d	—	—	-2	9.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Comeback C&D third to Mary Bagot, could get a lot closer this time
9 (10)	Aisling Oscar Bay J:Danny Sheehy T:Craig O'Neill	J:Danny Sheehy T:Craig O'Neill	127	—	000-11	59	71	43	49d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-4	4.8	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Hat-trick seeker now 12lb higher but has the scope to improve again
5 (4)	Fivecromwellplace Bay J:Nathan Crosse T:P F McEnery	J:Nathan Crosse T:P F McEnery	135	—	000-1	67	80	41	7d	—	—	+9	16.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Shock winner here a week ago; up 9lb but should stay and respected
2 (11)	Blue Soul Bay J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	137	—	93-635	69	76	53	21d	—	—	-1	6.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Didn't appear to get home over 1m three weeks ago so stamina questions again here
3 (8)	Hoover Dam Chestnut J:Scott McCullagh(3) T:Luke Comer	J:Scott McCullagh(3) T:Luke Comer	137	—	6-2443	69	80	61	14d	—	—	0	6.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Quite well handicapped on his best maiden form so likely each-way value
7 (6)	Special Angel Bay J:Wayne Hassett(7) T:Adrian Murray	J:Wayne Hassett(7) T:Adrian Murray	132	b	60-246	64	77	53	21d	—	—	0	4.7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
C&D second but recent form leaves her with a bit to find and blinkers now reached for
11 (3)	Hanoi Bay J:Leigh Roche T:Padraig Roche	J:Leigh Roche T:Padraig Roche	119	—	0-989	51	79	32	21d	—	—	-4	1.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Plenty to find with several of these on handicap debut run here three weeks ago; 4lb wrong
1 (12)	Zenato Chestnut J:W J Lee T:Henry De Bromhead	J:W J Lee T:Henry De Bromhead	138	—	079-	70	71	40	100d	—	—	+3	5.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Potential for improvement on handicap debut with encouraging jockey booking
10 (9)	The Man Above Bay J:Neve Bennett(7) T:Jarlath P Fahey	J:Neve Bennett(7) T:Jarlath P Fahey	123	—	00-07	55	75	31	21d	—	—	0	1.6	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Mild improvement latest but doesn't appeal as one to make immediate impact in handicaps
NR (2)	Rogerwaswrong Bay J:TBC T:Sean Davis	J: T:Sean Davis	119	—	6036-7	51	66	23	49d	—	—	—	0.3	—	—
Didn't count on last month's handicap debut here; 4lb wrong and makes little appeal

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Natural Ruler	10/11	5/6	10/11	5/6	10/11
Mary Bagot	7/1	6/1	11/2	13/2	6/1
Galician Girl	8/1	13/2	15/2	7/1	13/2
Aisling Oscar	8/1	17/2	17/2	9/1	8/1
Fivecromwellplace	10/1	11/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Blue Soul	12/1	10/1	12/1	11/1	10/1
Hoover Dam	14/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1
Special Angel	25/1	20/1	16/1	22/1	20/1
Hanoi	25/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	20/1
Zenato	40/1	33/1	28/1	33/1	28/1
The Man Above	100/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Natural Ruler

OR: 4.8 Form: 5 Odds: 16.3

10/11

2nd

Fivecromwellplace

16.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 10 Odds: 2.1

12/1

3rd

Galician Girl

9.1

OR: 3 Form: 3 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Mary Bagot

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 4

7/1

Blue Soul

6.9

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Hoover Dam

6.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Zenato

5.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Aisling Oscar

4.8

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Special Angel

4.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Hanoi

1.9

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

25/1

The Man Above

1.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125/1

Rogerwaswrong

0.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Zenato	70	71	40
Natural Ruler	69	85	32
Blue Soul	69	76	53
Hoover Dam	69	80	61
Fivecromwellplace	67	80	41
Mary Bagot	66	79	54
Special Angel	64	77	53
Galician Girl	62	76	52
Aisling Oscar	59	71	43
The Man Above	55	75	31
Hanoi	51	79	32
Rogerwaswrong	51	66	23

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fivecromwellplace	7d ago	Quick return
Natural Ruler	14d ago	Fit
Hoover Dam	14d ago	Fit
Mary Bagot	21d ago	Fit
Galician Girl	21d ago	Fit
Blue Soul	21d ago	Fit
Special Angel	21d ago	Fit
Hanoi	21d ago	Fit
The Man Above	21d ago	Fit
Aisling Oscar	49d ago	Fresh
Rogerwaswrong	49d ago	Fresh
Zenato	100d ago	Long break