NSL Investments Handicap – Naas

Naas

16:55

NSL Investments Handicap

Date 2024-03-24

Distance 7f

Class

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €6,195

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (2)	Atbay Chestnut J:Shane Foley T:Mark Fahey	J:Shane Foley T:Mark Fahey	128	—	0247-4	48	73	56	16d	—	—	-16	6.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
All of his best form is on better ground but likely to go well if he handles the surface
9 (9)	Master Garvey Bay J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Joseph Anthony Murray	J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Joseph Anthony Murray	131	—	7495-3	51	75	63	6d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-12	9.9	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Third in a 6f handicap at the Curragh on Monday; will go close with a reproduction
1 (4)	Chicago Storm Bay J:Ben Coen T:Chris Timmons	J:Ben Coen T:Chris Timmons	142	tp	654-75	62	78	57	6d	—	—	-9	7.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Good Curragh run; likely to try do it from the front here and could give it a bold show
4 (13)	One For Mum Bay J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	138	—	36730-	58	75	56	221d	—	—	-2	7.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Not been at her best first time out but has an obvious chance if she can run to form here
8 (5)	Angel On Fire Bay J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:P F McEnery	J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:P F McEnery	131	t	3015-0	51	70	26	6d	—	—	-4	2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Ran better than his finish position over 6f at the Curragh on Monday; not without a chance
2 (6)	Adnaan Bay J:W J Lee T:John Joseph Hanlon	J:W J Lee T:John Joseph Hanlon	140	—	/590-0	60	73	54	44d	—	—	-2	4.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
No impression on his stable debut at Dundalk last month; others preferred
7 (10)	The Stray Sod Grey J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:John C McConnell	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:John C McConnell	133	—	900-07	53	72	51	6d	—	—	-5	3.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Encouragement from his run in a 6f handicap at the Curragh on Monday; could go well
5 (1)	Manhattan Dandy b/br J:James Ryan(5) T:Thomas Coyle	J:James Ryan(5) T:Thomas Coyle	136	—	2138-0	56	66	52	16d	—	—	-3	3.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Acts on any ground and should come on for his return at Dundalk two weeks ago; contender
11 (12)	Drish Melody Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:Donal Commins	J:Andrew Slattery T:Donal Commins	127	—	/0600-	47	65	35	114d	—	—	-3	1.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Out of form last year but back down to a nice mark if he could rediscover his best
3 (7)	Dutch Glory Bay J:Gary Halpin T:Sean Davis	J:Gary Halpin T:Sean Davis	139	—	53-790	59	75	59	9d	—	—	-1	3.3	5.00/1	20/1 5%
No show on either start for his current trainer in Dundalk handicaps; hard to recommend
6 (11)	Beaumadier Bay J:Danny Sheehy T:M C Grassick	J:Danny Sheehy T:M C Grassick	135	ht	66600-	55	77	66	158d	—	—	-1	2.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Down to a mark of 59 now but hard to know what to expect after five months off
12 (3)	Man Is King Bay J:Chloe Byrne(10) T:Thomas Dowling	J:Chloe Byrne(10) T:Thomas Dowling	127	ht	087-69	47	62	17	37d	—	—	-2	0.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Ordinary form over the winter at Dundalk; probably okay on the surface but hard to fancy
13 (8)	Spring Collection Bay J:Wayne Hassett(7) T:David Harry Kelly	J:Wayne Hassett(7) T:David Harry Kelly	127	—	0/090	47	62	-	30d	—	—	-2	0.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
No show in three maidens and a handicap at Dundalk; best watched on her first try on turf

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Atbay	11/4	3/1	3/1
Master Garvey	7/2	10/3	10/3
Chicago Storm	9/2	9/2	9/2
One For Mum	9/1	7/1	15/2
Angel On Fire	12/1	12/1	12/1
Adnaan	16/1	12/1	12/1
The Stray Sod	9/1	12/1	12/1
Manhattan Dandy	16/1	14/1	14/1
Drish Melody	20/1	18/1	18/1
Dutch Glory	20/1	20/1	20/1
Beaumadier	28/1	22/1	22/1
Man Is King	33/1	33/1	33/1
Spring Collection	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Master Garvey

9.9

OR: 0.3 Form: 3 Odds: 6.7

7/2

2nd

Chicago Storm

7.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

9/2

3rd

One For Mum

7.4

OR: 2 Form: 2.7 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Atbay

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Adnaan

4.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Dutch Glory

3.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

The Stray Sod

3.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Manhattan Dandy

3.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Beaumadier

2.1

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Angel On Fire

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Drish Melody

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Spring Collection

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Man Is King

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Chicago Storm	62	78	57
Adnaan	60	73	54
Dutch Glory	59	75	59
One For Mum	58	75	56
Manhattan Dandy	56	66	52
Beaumadier	55	77	66
The Stray Sod	53	72	51
Master Garvey	51	75	63
Angel On Fire	51	70	26
Atbay	48	73	56
Drish Melody	47	65	35
Man Is King	47	62	17
Spring Collection	47	62	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Master Garvey	6d ago	Quick return
Chicago Storm	6d ago	Quick return
Angel On Fire	6d ago	Quick return
The Stray Sod	6d ago	Quick return
Dutch Glory	9d ago	Quick return
Atbay	16d ago	Fit
Manhattan Dandy	16d ago	Fit
Spring Collection	30d ago	Fit
Man Is King	37d ago	Fit
Adnaan	44d ago	Fit
Drish Melody	114d ago	Long break
Beaumadier	158d ago	Long break
One For Mum	221d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Naas over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.